Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for HIKAA-19
in Oman, Saudi Arabia
23 Sep 2019 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HIKAA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Afghanistan, Oman
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 133 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (23 Sep 10:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Oman)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 133 km/h 0.3 m 91 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 61 km/h 0.6 m 190 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 23 Sep 2019 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormAfghanistan, Oman10,230
+
Afghanistan92 
Oman10,138 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 22 Sep 2019 18:00 94 -
- - - - - Afghanistan, Iran
GREEN 2 23 Sep 2019 00:00 86 -
- - - - - Afghanistan, Iran
GREEN 3 23 Sep 2019 06:00 133 -
- - - - - Afghanistan, Oman
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall

190 mm

Up to 23.9 million can be affected rain lower than 100mm





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 23 Sep 2019 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmMaldives22,057 
100-250 mmIndia, Ethiopia, Maldives272,623
+
India31,837 
Ethiopia149,006 
Maldives91,780 
50-100 mmIndia, Ethiopia23,945,121
+
India4,034,278 
Ethiopia19,910,843 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 22 Sep 2019 18:00 48 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 23 Sep 2019 00:00 126 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 23 Sep 2019 06:00 359 290 thousand
- - - India, Ethiopia, Maldives




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in New Kandla, India. This height is estimated for 23 Sep 2019 10:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 23 Sep 2019 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
23 Sep 2019 10:15 New Kandla India  0.3
23 Sep 2019 10:15 Navlakhi India  0.3
23 Sep 2019 06:15 Kavi India  0.3
23 Sep 2019 06:15 Tankari India  0.3
23 Sep 2019 07:15 Aramda India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 06:00 Asarsa India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 06:00 Dahej India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 06:00 Harinagar India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 06:00 Muler India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 06:00 Suthri India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 06:45 Ghogha India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 09:15 Tuna India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 09:15 Kambhat India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 09:15 Sarod India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 09:30 Pahel Iran  0.2
23 Sep 2019 09:30 Bandar-e Laft Iran  0.2
23 Sep 2019 09:30 Laft Iran  0.2
23 Sep 2019 09:30 Payi Pusht Iran  0.2
23 Sep 2019 06:00 Loyado Djibouti  0.2
23 Sep 2019 06:00 Takhushih Somalia  0.2
23 Sep 2019 06:00 Saylac Somalia  0.2
23 Sep 2019 12:00 Bu Lifiyat United Arab Emirates  0.1
23 Sep 2019 06:00 Gadechi India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 06:00 Okha India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 09:30 Bandar-e Dargaham Iran  0.1
23 Sep 2019 09:30 Dogerdan Iran  0.1
23 Sep 2019 09:30 Deh-Cabo Somalia  0.1
23 Sep 2019 09:30 Hurdiyo Somalia  0.1
23 Sep 2019 06:45 Chudeswar India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 06:45 Salaya India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 06:45 Jhankhar India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 06:15 Mandvi India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 10:15 Damka India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 10:15 Surat India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 10:15 Jalalpur India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 06:30 Bhadia India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 09:00 Jambura India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 06:30 Navinal India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 11:30 Cadayo Somalia  0.1
23 Sep 2019 08:45 Akri India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 09:15 Bargaal Somalia  0.1
23 Sep 2019 07:15 Sika India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 07:00 Qeshm Iran  0.1
23 Sep 2019 07:00 Bandar Abbas Iran  0.1
23 Sep 2019 12:00 Abu Dhabi United Arab Emirates  0.1
23 Sep 2019 07:00 Anjanwel India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 06:00 Jaigarh India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 06:00 Mirya India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 06:00 Ratnagiri India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 06:15 Boria India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 09:45 Dawwah Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 09:45 Dafiyat Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 09:45 Dhuwwah Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 09:45 Shiinzi Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 12:00 Sonmiani Pakistan  0.1
23 Sep 2019 12:00 Naka Kharari Pakistan  0.1
23 Sep 2019 12:00 Gadani Pakistan  0.1
23 Sep 2019 07:30 Agar Panchaitan India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 07:30 Srivardhan India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 08:00 Mundra India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 06:00 Dawanij Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 06:00 Al Liwa Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 06:00 Suhar Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 06:45 Hormoz Iran  0.1
23 Sep 2019 07:00 Bankot India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 07:00 Kelshi India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 11:45 Madgaon India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 11:30 Marmagao India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 11:30 Vasco Da Gama India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 11:30 Agacaim India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 12:00 Ratia India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 12:00 Gorser India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 12:00 Goth Lashkari Pakistan  0.1
23 Sep 2019 12:00 Bambu Khan Pakistan  0.1
23 Sep 2019 06:30 Guhagar India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 08:00 Murud India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 08:45 Nalasopara India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 08:45 Agashi India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 08:45 Dongri India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 08:45 Vasai India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 08:45 Mira Bhayandar India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 08:45 Navghar India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 08:00 Revadanda India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 08:15 Alibag India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 08:45 Eddi Gellei Somalia  0.1
23 Sep 2019 08:45 Bola Cohuan Somalia  0.1
23 Sep 2019 11:45 Panaji India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 06:00 Dwarka India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 09:15 Aiesloho Somalia  0.1
23 Sep 2019 09:15 Mach Somalia  0.1
23 Sep 2019 11:15 Chopdem India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 11:15 Anjuna India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 11:45 Shil India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 11:45 Mangrol India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 08:30 Shirgaon India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 08:30 Palghar India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 08:30 Mahim India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 06:15 Bhagva India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 06:15 Olpad India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 12:00 Isa Pakistan  0.1
23 Sep 2019 11:30 Jazirah United Arab Emirates  0.1
23 Sep 2019 09:30 Xaafuun Somalia  0.1
23 Sep 2019 06:00 Djibouti Djibouti  0.1
23 Sep 2019 07:45 Sala Gon Somalia  0.1
23 Sep 2019 08:45 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 08:45 Mahuva India  0.1