Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for LORENA-19
in Mexico
19 Sep 2019 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LORENA-19 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population Few people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 148 km/h
Maximum storm surge 4.7 m (19 Sep 18:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 148 km/h 4.7 m 449 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 122 km/h 4.7 m 269 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

122 km/h

Up to Few people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 19 Sep 2019 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 1Mexico399 
Tropical StormMexico142,915 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 17 Sep 2019 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 17 Sep 2019 18:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 18 Sep 2019 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 18 Sep 2019 06:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 18 Sep 2019 12:00 122 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 6 18 Sep 2019 18:00 166 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 7 19 Sep 2019 00:00 151 Few people
- - - - Mexico
GREEN 8 19 Sep 2019 06:00 126 Few people
- - - - Mexico
GREEN 9 19 Sep 2019 12:00 148 Few people
- - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 19 Sep 2019 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmMexico194 
250-500 mmMexico18,923 
100-250 mmMexico57,152 
50-100 mmMexico248,928 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 17 Sep 2019 12:00 297 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 17 Sep 2019 18:00 365 1 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 3 18 Sep 2019 00:00 504 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 4 18 Sep 2019 06:00 667 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 18 Sep 2019 12:00 459 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 6 18 Sep 2019 18:00 606 30 thousand
- - - Mexico
Blue 7 19 Sep 2019 00:00 326 90 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 8 19 Sep 2019 06:00 345 360 thousand
- - - Mexico
Blue 9 19 Sep 2019 12:00 764 80 thousand
- - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

4.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  4.7m in Rancho Nuevo, Mexico. This height is estimated for 19 Sep 2019 18:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 19 Sep 2019 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
19 Sep 2019 18:00 Rancho Nuevo Mexico  4.7
19 Sep 2019 18:00 Rancho de Piedra Mexico  4.7
19 Sep 2019 18:00 Tecolutla Mexico  4.5
19 Sep 2019 18:00 La Guadalupe Mexico  4.5
19 Sep 2019 18:00 Monte Gordo Mexico  4.5
19 Sep 2019 18:00 Buen Pais Mexico  4.1
19 Sep 2019 18:00 Alvarado Mexico  4.1
19 Sep 2019 18:00 Conejo Mexico  4.1
19 Sep 2019 18:00 Las Barrillas Mexico  3.6
19 Sep 2019 18:00 Coatzacoalcos Mexico  3.6
19 Sep 2019 18:00 Pueblo Viejo Mexico  3.4
19 Sep 2019 18:00 Primero de Mayo Mexico  3.4
19 Sep 2019 18:00 Tampico Alta Mexico  3.4
19 Sep 2019 18:00 Tamiahua Mexico  2.7
19 Sep 2019 18:00 El Naranjal Mexico  2.7
19 Sep 2019 18:00 Nautla Mexico  2.6
19 Sep 2019 18:00 El Laurel Mexico  2.6
19 Sep 2019 18:00 La Pesca Mexico  2.3
19 Sep 2019 18:00 San Cosme Mexico  2.3
19 Sep 2019 18:00 Santa Marta Mexico  2.3
19 Sep 2019 18:00 Tepeguahe Mexico  1.7
19 Sep 2019 18:00 Los Pericos Mexico  1.7
19 Sep 2019 18:00 Ursulo Galvan Mexico  1.5
19 Sep 2019 18:00 Fraccionamiento Nuevo Leon Mexico  1.3
19 Sep 2019 18:00 Laja Mexico  1.3
19 Sep 2019 18:00 Chiltepec Mexico  0.9
19 Sep 2019 18:00 Laguna Heights United States  0.9
19 Sep 2019 18:00 Port Isabel United States  0.9
19 Sep 2019 18:00 Kopernik Shores United States  0.9
19 Sep 2019 18:00 South Padre Island United States  0.9
19 Sep 2019 18:00 Boca Chica United States  0.9
19 Sep 2019 18:00 La Presita Mexico  0.7
19 Sep 2019 14:45 Boqueron Mexico  0.6
19 Sep 2019 14:45 Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.6
19 Sep 2019 18:00 Las Guayabas Mexico  0.5
19 Sep 2019 15:15 Anton Lizardo Mexico  0.4
19 Sep 2019 15:15 Salinas Mexico  0.4
19 Sep 2019 18:00 Cachimba Mexico  0.4
19 Sep 2019 18:00 Arista Mexico  0.4
19 Sep 2019 18:00 Buenavista Mexico  0.4
19 Sep 2019 18:00 Solo Dios Mexico  0.4
19 Sep 2019 14:00 La Concepion Mexico  0.3
19 Sep 2019 14:00 Barra de San Jose Mexico  0.3
19 Sep 2019 14:15 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.3
19 Sep 2019 14:15 El Guatamota Mexico  0.3
19 Sep 2019 14:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.3
19 Sep 2019 14:30 Loreto Mexico  0.3
19 Sep 2019 18:00 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.3
19 Sep 2019 18:00 La Majada Mexico  0.3
19 Sep 2019 18:00 Huajapan Mexico  0.3
19 Sep 2019 18:00 El Roble Mexico  0.3
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.3
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Lagarto Mexico  0.3
19 Sep 2019 15:30 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 15:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 15:30 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 15:30 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 15:30 Punta Arena Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 15:30 Los Tesos Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 15:15 Garrapateras Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 15:15 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 16:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 12:15 Pesqueria Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 13:30 Montepio Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 16:15 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 15:15 Punta Mita Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Costa Rica Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 13:15 Ayutla Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 15:30 El Barril Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 14:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 14:30 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 16:15 Tonala Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 18:00 Monte de Oro Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 17:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 17:15 La Ventana Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 17:15 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 12:00 San Francisco Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Puerto Vallarta Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 13:15 Veracruz Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 16:15 Mulege Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 14:45 San Blas Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 14:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 15:15 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 16:00 Florida Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 16:00 Mazatlan Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 16:00 Barron Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 14:00 Monteon Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 16:00 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 18:00 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 16:45 Datilito Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 16:45 La Paz Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 16:45 Rosario Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 12:15 Aquiles Serdan Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 12:15 Ipala Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 12:45 Quinones Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 12:45 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 15:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 15:00 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Pizota Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 15:30 Tastiota Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 15:15 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 18:00 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 17:15 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 17:00 Los Dolores Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 16:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 18:00 Tecomate Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 18:00 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Corrales Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 12:45 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 18:00 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 14:00 El Tule Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 14:00 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 14:00 La Fortuna Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 13:45 Sanchez Magallanes Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 15:30 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 16:45 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 13:45 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 17:15 La Palmita Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 17:15 Caimanero Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 17:15 Jarilla Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 17:30 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 15:45 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:00 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:00 La Boca Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:00 San Jose Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:00 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:00 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:15 Novillero Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 13:15 Salmoral Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 15:45 Cedros Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:00 La Florida Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 18:00 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 14:00 Cuantla Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 14:30 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 14:45 Hidalgo Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 14:45 Francisco I. Madero Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 15:15 Dimas Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 18:00 Rancho Cepeda Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 18:00 Rancho San Francisco Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 18:00 Colonia Camalu Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 15:45 Ligui Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 15:45 Tripui Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:15 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 14:15 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 15:45 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 15:45 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:45 Altata Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:00 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:15 Marmol Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 15:45 Cunano Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 15:45 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 14:15 La Lima Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:30 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:45 Puertecitos Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 12:45 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 14:15 Cuamecate Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 14:30 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 13:00 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 14:00 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 12:45 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 15:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 15:00 El Aquajito Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:30 Guaymas Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:30 Empalme Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 12:45 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 15:30 Borabampo Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 15:30 San Ignacio Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 12:15 Chola Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 12:30 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 18:00 Molino Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 18:00 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Mirador Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 14:45 Tambobiche Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 18:00 La Choya Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:30 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:15 Liliba Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 18:00 El Desemboque Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 15:00 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Sea Isle United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Hitchcock United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Jamaica Beach United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Anderson Ways United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Virginia Point United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Galveston United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 12:15 Orange Grove United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 12:15 Peary Place United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 12:15 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 14:45 Los Burros Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 15:30 Los Frailes Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:30 Guasimas Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Tierra Colorada Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:15 Todos Santos Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 14:15 Tupilco Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:30 Erendria Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 15:45 Rincon United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 15:45 Punta United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 15:45 Faria United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 15:45 Dulah United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:30 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 15:45 San Buenaventura United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 15:45 Ventura United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Red Fish Cove United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Bay Harbor United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:00 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Texas City United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Port Bolivar United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Fort Travis United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 15:45 Hope Ranch United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 15:45 Mission United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 15:45 Montecito United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 15:45 Summerland United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 15:45 Serena Park United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 15:45 Franciscan Village United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 15:45 Carpinteria United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 15:45 Shepards United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:30 El Rosario Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:45 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:15 El Pescadero Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:45 Las Palmas Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:45 La Ribera Mexico  0.1