Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for LORENA-19
in Mexico
19 Sep 2019 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LORENA-19 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population Few people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 126 km/h
Maximum storm surge 4.7 m (19 Sep 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 126 km/h 4.7 m 345 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 122 km/h 4.7 m 269 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

122 km/h

Up to Few people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 19 Sep 2019 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 1Mexico438 
Tropical StormMexico818,416 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 17 Sep 2019 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 17 Sep 2019 18:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 18 Sep 2019 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 18 Sep 2019 06:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 18 Sep 2019 12:00 122 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 6 18 Sep 2019 18:00 166 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 7 19 Sep 2019 00:00 151 Few people
- - - - Mexico
GREEN 8 19 Sep 2019 06:00 162 Few people
- - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 19 Sep 2019 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
750-1000 mmMexico82 
500-750 mmMexico16,114 
250-500 mmMexico521,331 
100-250 mmMexico1,038,020 
50-100 mmMexico204,558 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 17 Sep 2019 12:00 297 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 17 Sep 2019 18:00 365 1 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 3 18 Sep 2019 00:00 504 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 4 18 Sep 2019 06:00 667 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 18 Sep 2019 12:00 459 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 6 18 Sep 2019 18:00 606 30 thousand
- - - Mexico
Blue 7 19 Sep 2019 00:00 326 90 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 8 19 Sep 2019 06:00 874 1.6 million
- Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

4.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  4.7m in Rancho Nuevo, Mexico. This height is estimated for 19 Sep 2019 12:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 19 Sep 2019 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Rancho Nuevo Mexico  4.7
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Rancho de Piedra Mexico  4.7
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Tecolutla Mexico  4.5
19 Sep 2019 12:00 La Guadalupe Mexico  4.5
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Monte Gordo Mexico  4.5
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Buen Pais Mexico  4.1
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Alvarado Mexico  4.1
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Conejo Mexico  4.1
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Las Barrillas Mexico  3.6
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Coatzacoalcos Mexico  3.6
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Pueblo Viejo Mexico  3.4
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Primero de Mayo Mexico  3.4
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Tampico Alta Mexico  3.4
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Tamiahua Mexico  2.7
19 Sep 2019 12:00 El Naranjal Mexico  2.7
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Nautla Mexico  2.6
19 Sep 2019 12:00 El Laurel Mexico  2.6
19 Sep 2019 12:00 La Pesca Mexico  2.3
19 Sep 2019 12:00 San Cosme Mexico  2.3
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Santa Marta Mexico  2.3
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Tepeguahe Mexico  1.7
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Los Pericos Mexico  1.7
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Ursulo Galvan Mexico  1.5
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Fraccionamiento Nuevo Leon Mexico  1.3
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Laja Mexico  1.3
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Chiltepec Mexico  0.9
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Laguna Heights United States  0.9
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Port Isabel United States  0.9
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Kopernik Shores United States  0.9
19 Sep 2019 12:00 South Padre Island United States  0.9
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Boca Chica United States  0.9
19 Sep 2019 07:15 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.8
19 Sep 2019 07:15 La Majada Mexico  0.8
19 Sep 2019 07:30 Huajapan Mexico  0.7
19 Sep 2019 12:00 La Presita Mexico  0.7
19 Sep 2019 07:15 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.7
19 Sep 2019 07:15 Lagarto Mexico  0.7
19 Sep 2019 07:30 El Roble Mexico  0.7
19 Sep 2019 07:15 Pesqueria Mexico  0.7
19 Sep 2019 07:15 Cachimba Mexico  0.6
19 Sep 2019 07:30 Arista Mexico  0.6
19 Sep 2019 07:00 Costa Rica Mexico  0.6
19 Sep 2019 07:30 Buenavista Mexico  0.6
19 Sep 2019 07:30 Solo Dios Mexico  0.5
19 Sep 2019 11:30 Boqueron Mexico  0.5
19 Sep 2019 11:30 Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.5
19 Sep 2019 06:30 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.5
19 Sep 2019 06:30 Garrapateras Mexico  0.5
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Las Guayabas Mexico  0.5
19 Sep 2019 11:15 La Concepion Mexico  0.4
19 Sep 2019 06:15 Ayutla Mexico  0.4
19 Sep 2019 11:30 Barra de San Jose Mexico  0.4
19 Sep 2019 07:30 Tonala Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 07:30 Sanchez Magallanes Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 06:45 El Barril Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 07:00 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 08:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 08:45 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 08:45 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 09:30 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 09:30 Punta Arena Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 09:30 Los Tesos Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 06:30 Cuitzmala Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 06:30 La Manzanilla Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 09:30 Johnson's Bayou United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 09:30 Constance Beach United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 09:30 Peveto Beach United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 09:45 Sabine United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 08:00 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 09:15 Holly Beach United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 07:15 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 07:15 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Punta Mita Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 12:00 San Francisco Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Puerto Vallarta Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 09:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 09:30 La Ventana Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 09:30 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 07:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 09:45 High Island United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 09:15 Loreto Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 09:15 Ligui Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 08:45 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 06:45 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 06:15 Barra de Navidad Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 08:45 Cameron United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 08:30 Mulege Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 07:30 Mirador Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 09:30 Bolivar Peninsula United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 09:30 Caplen United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 09:30 Gilchrist United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 08:30 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 09:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Pizota Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 09:15 Anton Lizardo Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 09:15 Salinas Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 08:30 La Fortuna Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 08:30 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Corrales Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 07:45 Oak Grove United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 07:30 Grand Chenier United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 09:45 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 09:45 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 09:45 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 07:00 Avalon United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 09:00 Datilito Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 09:00 La Paz Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 09:00 Rosario Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 09:45 Crystal Beach United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 09:45 Patton United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 06:30 Tastiota Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 07:45 Novillero Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 07:45 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 10:45 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 07:15 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 11:15 La Florida Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 11:15 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 06:00 San Felipe Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 11:00 Quinones Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 11:00 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 09:45 Flake United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 09:45 Elmgrove United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 06:30 Chamela Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 08:00 Cuamecate Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 09:15 Aquiles Serdan Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 09:15 Ipala Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 10:45 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 10:15 El Tornillal Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 09:45 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 06:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 06:00 Aguaje Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 06:00 Ojo de Liebre Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 06:15 Estrecho Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 11:45 Montepio Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 07:30 Monteon Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 07:30 La Lima Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 08:15 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 06:15 Tecomate Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 06:15 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 08:00 Chola Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 08:30 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 07:15 Tupilco Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 08:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 08:00 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 08:00 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 10:00 Bajo de Arenal Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 10:00 Tangolunda Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 08:30 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 08:15 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 07:45 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 07:30 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 06:45 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 07:45 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 10:00 El Tule Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 10:00 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 09:45 Port Bolivar United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 09:45 Fort Travis United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 08:45 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 08:45 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 06:30 Orange Grove United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 06:30 Peary Place United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 06:30 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 11:45 San Blas Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 07:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 06:45 Los Burros Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 07:30 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 09:30 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 08:15 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 09:15 San Jose Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 09:15 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 09:15 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 08:00 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 08:15 Tripui Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 08:45 Barron Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 08:45 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 08:45 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 06:15 Santiago Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 09:30 Galveston United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 06:45 Marmol Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 09:30 Texas City United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 09:30 Anderson Ways United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 09:30 Virginia Point United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 06:45 Dimas Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 07:00 Puertecitos Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 08:00 Los Frailes Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 06:15 Manzanillo Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 06:15 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 11:00 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 11:00 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 09:00 Veracruz Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 07:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Sea Isle United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Hitchcock United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Jamaica Beach United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 08:00 Molino Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 08:00 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Tierra Colorada Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 08:00 Florida Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 08:00 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 08:00 La Boca Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 07:45 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 07:15 El Ciruelo Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 08:45 Hidalgo Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 08:45 Francisco I. Madero Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Red Fish Cove United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Bay Harbor United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 07:45 Tambobiche Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 06:30 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 09:30 San Ignacio Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 06:00 Borabampo Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 08:45 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 08:30 Las Palmas Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 08:30 La Ribera Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 08:45 Altata Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 11:45 Monte de Oro Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 06:00 La Choya Mexico  0.1