Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for LORENA-19
in Mexico
19 Sep 2019 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LORENA-19 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population 6 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 133 km/h
Maximum storm surge 4.7 m (20 Sep 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 133 km/h 4.7 m 440 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 122 km/h 4.7 m 269 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

122 km/h

Up to 6 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 19 Sep 2019 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 1Mexico6,187 
Tropical StormMexico103,027 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 17 Sep 2019 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 17 Sep 2019 18:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 18 Sep 2019 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 18 Sep 2019 06:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 18 Sep 2019 12:00 122 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 6 18 Sep 2019 18:00 166 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 7 19 Sep 2019 00:00 151 Few people
- - - - Mexico
GREEN 8 19 Sep 2019 06:00 126 Few people
- - - - Mexico
GREEN 9 19 Sep 2019 12:00 148 Few people
- - - - Mexico
GREEN 10 19 Sep 2019 18:00 158 6 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 19 Sep 2019 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmMexico5,725 
100-250 mmMexico135,008 
50-100 mmMexico134,868 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 17 Sep 2019 12:00 297 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 17 Sep 2019 18:00 365 1 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 3 18 Sep 2019 00:00 504 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 4 18 Sep 2019 06:00 667 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 18 Sep 2019 12:00 459 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 6 18 Sep 2019 18:00 606 30 thousand
- - - Mexico
Blue 7 19 Sep 2019 00:00 326 90 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 8 19 Sep 2019 06:00 345 360 thousand
- - - Mexico
Blue 9 19 Sep 2019 12:00 449 30 thousand
- - - Mexico
Blue 10 19 Sep 2019 18:00 493 140 thousand
- - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

4.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  4.7m in Rancho Nuevo, Mexico. This height is estimated for 20 Sep 2019 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 19 Sep 2019 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Rancho Nuevo Mexico  4.7
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Rancho de Piedra Mexico  4.7
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Tecolutla Mexico  4.5
20 Sep 2019 00:00 La Guadalupe Mexico  4.5
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Monte Gordo Mexico  4.5
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Buen Pais Mexico  4.1
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Alvarado Mexico  4.1
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Conejo Mexico  4.1
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Las Barrillas Mexico  3.6
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Coatzacoalcos Mexico  3.6
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Pueblo Viejo Mexico  3.4
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Primero de Mayo Mexico  3.4
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Tampico Alta Mexico  3.4
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Tamiahua Mexico  2.7
20 Sep 2019 00:00 El Naranjal Mexico  2.7
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Nautla Mexico  2.6
20 Sep 2019 00:00 El Laurel Mexico  2.6
20 Sep 2019 00:00 La Pesca Mexico  2.3
20 Sep 2019 00:00 San Cosme Mexico  2.3
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Santa Marta Mexico  2.3
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Tepeguahe Mexico  1.7
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Los Pericos Mexico  1.7
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Ursulo Galvan Mexico  1.5
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Fraccionamiento Nuevo Leon Mexico  1.3
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Laja Mexico  1.3
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Chiltepec Mexico  0.9
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Laguna Heights United States  0.9
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Port Isabel United States  0.9
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Kopernik Shores United States  0.9
20 Sep 2019 00:00 South Padre Island United States  0.9
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Boca Chica United States  0.9
20 Sep 2019 00:00 La Presita Mexico  0.7
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Las Guayabas Mexico  0.5
19 Sep 2019 18:15 Arista Mexico  0.4
19 Sep 2019 18:15 Cachimba Mexico  0.4
19 Sep 2019 21:15 Anton Lizardo Mexico  0.4
19 Sep 2019 21:15 Salinas Mexico  0.4
19 Sep 2019 18:30 El Roble Mexico  0.4
19 Sep 2019 21:15 Solo Dios Mexico  0.4
19 Sep 2019 18:30 Huajapan Mexico  0.4
19 Sep 2019 18:00 Buenavista Mexico  0.4
19 Sep 2019 21:15 Boqueron Mexico  0.3
19 Sep 2019 21:00 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.3
19 Sep 2019 21:30 La Majada Mexico  0.3
19 Sep 2019 21:30 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.3
19 Sep 2019 22:15 Monte de Oro Mexico  0.3
19 Sep 2019 22:15 San Bruno Mexico  0.3
19 Sep 2019 21:00 Pesqueria Mexico  0.3
19 Sep 2019 21:15 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.3
19 Sep 2019 21:00 El Tornillal Mexico  0.3
19 Sep 2019 21:00 Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.3
19 Sep 2019 21:15 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.3
19 Sep 2019 23:45 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.3
19 Sep 2019 23:45 Novillero Mexico  0.3
19 Sep 2019 23:45 Cuantla Mexico  0.3
19 Sep 2019 20:45 San Felipe Mexico  0.3
19 Sep 2019 23:45 Cuamecate Mexico  0.3
19 Sep 2019 23:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 23:15 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 18:30 Garrapateras Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 23:45 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 21:15 Lagarto Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 23:45 Jarilla Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 21:30 Costa Rica Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 18:00 Barra de San Jose Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 23:00 Tecomate Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 23:00 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 19:00 La Choya Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 19:00 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 21:00 La Concepion Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 19:15 Puertecitos Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 23:30 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 18:45 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 23:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 23:45 Loreto Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 23:30 San Blas Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 23:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 22:15 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 22:15 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 22:15 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 22:15 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 18:30 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 21:30 Hidalgo Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 21:30 Francisco I. Madero Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 23:30 Ayutla Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 23:30 Rosario Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 23:45 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 23:45 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 23:45 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 22:30 Aguaje Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 22:30 Ojo de Liebre Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 22:45 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 21:00 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 23:15 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 23:15 Punta Arena Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 23:15 Los Tesos Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 21:45 Bajo de Arenal Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 21:45 Tangolunda Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 21:45 Mirador Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 19:15 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 23:45 Altata Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 23:45 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 22:15 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 21:15 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 22:15 San Jose Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 22:15 Atanacio Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 22:15 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 23:30 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 21:30 El Barril Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 23:45 Caimanero Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 20:00 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 18:00 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 23:30 La Ribera Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 22:45 Monteon Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 00:00 La Ventana Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 21:45 Tastiota Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 22:45 Datilito Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 22:45 La Paz Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 22:15 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 23:30 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 20:30 Punta Mita Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 20:30 San Francisco Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 20:30 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 22:30 Mulege Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 23:15 La Palmita Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 23:45 Barron Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 18:45 El Tule Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 18:45 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 18:45 La Fortuna Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Cachoana Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 19:30 Perihuete Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 19:30 Dimas Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 22:00 Johnson's Bayou United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 22:00 Constance Beach United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 22:00 Peveto Beach United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 21:45 Guaymas Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 21:45 Empalme Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 18:30 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 22:00 Holly Beach United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 22:45 El Desemboque Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 22:45 Florida Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 22:45 Mazatlan Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 23:00 Las Bocas Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 23:00 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 23:45 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 19:45 La Lima Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 23:45 La Boca Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 20:30 Cameron United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 22:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 22:15 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 23:00 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 19:00 Veracruz Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 22:15 Ligui Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 21:30 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 19:15 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 21:00 Tenixtepec Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 22:15 La Florida Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 21:45 Sabine United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 22:15 Los Burros Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 18:00 Rancho Cepeda Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 18:00 Rancho San Francisco Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 18:00 Colonia Camalu Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 23:30 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 22:30 Guasimas Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 20:45 El Tular Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 20:45 Cabo Rojito Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 23:30 Molino Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 23:30 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 21:15 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 19:15 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 20:30 Tonala Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 20:30 Sanchez Magallanes Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 22:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 18:30 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 23:15 Tambobiche Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 19:15 Marmol Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 00:00 El Aquajito Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 23:00 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 23:00 Cunano Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 19:00 Quinones Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 23:15 Los Frailes Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 19:00 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 19:00 Cedros Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 18:30 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 18:30 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 22:45 La Trinadad Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 20:00 Montepio Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Red Fish Cove United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Bay Harbor United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Sea Isle United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Jamaica Beach United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Anderson Ways United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 22:15 Orange Grove United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 22:15 Peary Place United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 22:15 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 23:00 Puerto Vallarta Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 21:30 San Ignacio Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 19:00 Port San Luis United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 19:00 Avila Beach United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 19:00 Sycamore Springs United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 19:00 Pismo Beach United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 19:00 Oceano United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 19:00 Grover City United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 19:00 Callender United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 18:00 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 18:15 Coronado United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 18:15 Imperial Beach United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 18:15 Boal United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 18:15 Rosarito Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 21:00 Oak Grove United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 22:30 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 18:15 Santa Catarina Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 22:30 Borabampo Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Tripui Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Texas City United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Virginia Point United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Galveston United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Port Bolivar United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Fort Travis United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 19:00 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Hitchcock United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 18:45 Avalon United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 23:00 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 20:15 Grand Chenier United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 18:15 Azure Vista United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 18:15 Ocean Beach United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 18:15 Mission Beach United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 18:15 Fort Rosecrans United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 18:15 Roseville United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 18:15 Loma Portal United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 18:15 San Diego United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 18:00 Salmoral Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 18:15 El Rosario Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Flake United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Crystal Beach United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Patton United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 23:15 Las Palmas Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 19:30 Agua Dulce Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 23:00 Liliba Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Hoskins United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Port Morris United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 19:30 El Mezquital Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 23:30 Quintana United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 23:30 Surfside United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 23:30 Mims United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 23:30 Surfside Beach United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 19:15 Montecito United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 19:15 Summerland United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 19:15 Serena Park United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 19:15 Franciscan Village United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 19:15 Carpinteria United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 19:15 Rincon United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 19:15 Shepards United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 19:15 Punta United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 19:15 Faria United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 19:15 Dulah United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 23:00 Santiago Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 23:00 Manzanillo Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 23:00 El Ciruelo Mexico  0.1