Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MARIO-19
in Mexico,
17 Sep 2019 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MARIO-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 72 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (17 Sep 22:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 72 km/h 0.3 m 272 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 58 km/h 0.0 m 66 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

58 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 17 Sep 2019 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 17 Sep 2019 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 17 Sep 2019 18:00 115 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 17 Sep 2019 18:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 17 Sep 2019 12:00 447 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 17 Sep 2019 18:00 1070 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Agua del Coyote, Mexico. This height is estimated for 17 Sep 2019 22:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 17 Sep 2019 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
17 Sep 2019 22:15 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.3
17 Sep 2019 22:15 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.3
17 Sep 2019 19:00 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 19:00 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 22:15 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 22:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 22:15 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 22:00 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 22:30 Novillero Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 22:30 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 22:45 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
17 Sep 2019 22:45 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
17 Sep 2019 19:15 La Florida Mexico  0.1
17 Sep 2019 21:30 San Blas Mexico  0.1
17 Sep 2019 21:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
17 Sep 2019 21:45 San Francisco Mexico  0.1
17 Sep 2019 21:45 Monteon Mexico  0.1
17 Sep 2019 21:45 La Lima Mexico  0.1
17 Sep 2019 22:45 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
17 Sep 2019 22:00 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
17 Sep 2019 18:30 Marmol Mexico  0.1
17 Sep 2019 18:30 Florida Mexico  0.1
17 Sep 2019 20:45 Loreto Mexico  0.1
17 Sep 2019 23:30 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
17 Sep 2019 23:30 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
17 Sep 2019 21:45 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
17 Sep 2019 21:45 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
17 Sep 2019 21:45 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
17 Sep 2019 22:45 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
17 Sep 2019 22:00 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
17 Sep 2019 21:45 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1