Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KIKO-19
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KIKO-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 72 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.7 m (14 Sep 01:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 72 km/h 1.7 m 88 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 162 km/h 2.5 m 975 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

162 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 14 Sep 2019 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 12 Sep 2019 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 12 Sep 2019 18:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 13 Sep 2019 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 13 Sep 2019 06:00 90 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 5 13 Sep 2019 12:00 86 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 6 13 Sep 2019 18:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 14 Sep 2019 00:00 184 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 14 Sep 2019 00:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 12 Sep 2019 12:00 201 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 12 Sep 2019 18:00 292 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 13 Sep 2019 00:00 193 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 13 Sep 2019 06:00 153 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 13 Sep 2019 12:00 137 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 13 Sep 2019 18:00 104 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 14 Sep 2019 00:00 485 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

1.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.7m in San Francisco, Mexico. This height is estimated for 14 Sep 2019 01:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 14 Sep 2019 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
14 Sep 2019 01:00 San Francisco Mexico  1.7
14 Sep 2019 01:00 Monteon Mexico  1.7
14 Sep 2019 01:00 La Lima Mexico  1.7
14 Sep 2019 01:30 San Blas Mexico  1.4
14 Sep 2019 01:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  1.4
14 Sep 2019 00:45 Punta Mita Mexico  1.3
14 Sep 2019 00:45 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  1.3
14 Sep 2019 01:30 El Nuevo Mexico  0.9
14 Sep 2019 01:30 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.9
14 Sep 2019 00:30 Puerto Vallarta Mexico  0.9
14 Sep 2019 01:30 Cuamecate Mexico  0.8
14 Sep 2019 01:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.8
14 Sep 2019 00:45 Pizota Mexico  0.8
14 Sep 2019 00:45 Corrales Mexico  0.8
14 Sep 2019 00:15 Aquiles Serdan Mexico  0.8
14 Sep 2019 00:15 Ipala Mexico  0.8
14 Sep 2019 00:30 Chamela Mexico  0.7
14 Sep 2019 00:30 Cuitzmala Mexico  0.7
14 Sep 2019 00:45 Novillero Mexico  0.7
14 Sep 2019 00:45 Cuantla Mexico  0.7
14 Sep 2019 00:15 La Puerta Mexico  0.6
14 Sep 2019 00:30 Chola Mexico  0.6
14 Sep 2019 00:15 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.5
14 Sep 2019 05:00 El Real Mexico  0.5
14 Sep 2019 05:00 Chupadero Mexico  0.5
14 Sep 2019 04:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.5
14 Sep 2019 04:30 Buenaventura Mexico  0.5
14 Sep 2019 00:30 La Manzanilla Mexico  0.5
14 Sep 2019 06:00 Los Burros Mexico  0.5
14 Sep 2019 05:00 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.5
14 Sep 2019 04:30 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.4
14 Sep 2019 02:15 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.4
14 Sep 2019 02:15 La Boca Mexico  0.4
14 Sep 2019 05:45 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.4
14 Sep 2019 05:45 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.4
14 Sep 2019 02:30 San Cosme Mexico  0.4
14 Sep 2019 02:30 Santa Marta Mexico  0.4
14 Sep 2019 06:00 Altata Mexico  0.4
14 Sep 2019 04:45 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.4
14 Sep 2019 05:15 Caimanero Mexico  0.4
14 Sep 2019 05:15 Jarilla Mexico  0.4
14 Sep 2019 04:45 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.4
14 Sep 2019 05:00 Tambobiche Mexico  0.4
14 Sep 2019 00:30 Estrecho Mexico  0.4
14 Sep 2019 00:30 Santiago Mexico  0.4
14 Sep 2019 00:30 Manzanillo Mexico  0.4
14 Sep 2019 00:45 El Ciruelo Mexico  0.4
14 Sep 2019 00:45 Cuyutlan Mexico  0.4
14 Sep 2019 06:00 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.4
14 Sep 2019 06:00 Quinones Mexico  0.4
14 Sep 2019 05:00 La Fortuna Mexico  0.4
14 Sep 2019 05:00 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.4
14 Sep 2019 05:00 Los Frailes Mexico  0.4
14 Sep 2019 04:30 Queretaro Mexico  0.4
14 Sep 2019 02:30 Tripui Mexico  0.4
14 Sep 2019 01:00 Barra de Navidad Mexico  0.4
14 Sep 2019 01:45 La Palmita Mexico  0.4
14 Sep 2019 02:45 Datilito Mexico  0.4
14 Sep 2019 02:45 La Paz Mexico  0.4
14 Sep 2019 05:30 Florida Mexico  0.4
14 Sep 2019 05:30 Mazatlan Mexico  0.4
14 Sep 2019 03:45 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.4
14 Sep 2019 05:45 El Castillo Mexico  0.4
14 Sep 2019 02:45 Rosario Mexico  0.4
14 Sep 2019 05:30 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.3
14 Sep 2019 05:30 Punta Arena Mexico  0.3
14 Sep 2019 05:30 Los Tesos Mexico  0.3
14 Sep 2019 05:30 Perihuete Mexico  0.3
14 Sep 2019 00:45 Loreto Mexico  0.3
14 Sep 2019 00:45 Ligui Mexico  0.3
14 Sep 2019 05:45 Barron Mexico  0.3
14 Sep 2019 04:15 La Florida Mexico  0.3
14 Sep 2019 05:30 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.3
14 Sep 2019 05:30 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.3
14 Sep 2019 05:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.3
14 Sep 2019 05:00 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.3
14 Sep 2019 02:30 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.3
14 Sep 2019 03:15 Marmol Mexico  0.3
14 Sep 2019 05:30 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.3
14 Sep 2019 02:15 Dimas Mexico  0.3
14 Sep 2019 05:45 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.3
14 Sep 2019 04:15 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.3
14 Sep 2019 04:15 Cunano Mexico  0.3
14 Sep 2019 04:30 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.3
14 Sep 2019 04:30 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.3
14 Sep 2019 04:30 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.3
14 Sep 2019 04:15 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.3
14 Sep 2019 03:45 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 03:15 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 03:15 La Trinadad Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 05:30 El Tomale Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 05:15 Las Palmas Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 01:15 San Ignacio Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 01:15 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 03:30 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 01:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 01:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 01:15 San Jose Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 02:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 02:45 La Ventana Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 06:00 Topolobampo Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 00:45 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 00:45 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 00:45 Borabampo Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 05:15 Todos Santos Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 05:15 El Pescadero Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 01:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 01:00 Mulege Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 00:15 El Aquajito Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 01:00 Los Dolores Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 01:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 01:15 Atanacio Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 00:45 Las Bocas Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 05:45 San Lucas Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 05:45 El Tule Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 05:45 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 01:15 Liliba Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 03:00 La Ribera Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 03:00 La Tinaja Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 03:00 Pozo de Cota Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2019 06:00 Cachoana Mexico  0.1