Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for KIKO-19 Off-shore from 12 Sep 2019 15:00 UTC to 25 Sep 2019 00:00 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KIKO-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	86 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.6 m (13 Sep 19:15 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
HWRF Current	86 km/h	0.6 m	104 mm	0.5
HWRF Overall	162 km/h	2.5 m	975 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

162 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 13 Sep 2019 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	12 Sep 2019 12:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	12 Sep 2019 18:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	13 Sep 2019 00:00	68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	13 Sep 2019 06:00	90	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
5	13 Sep 2019 12:00	86	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
6	13 Sep 2019 18:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000
1	12 Sep 2019 12:00	201	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	12 Sep 2019 18:00	292	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	13 Sep 2019 00:00	193	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	13 Sep 2019 06:00	153	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	13 Sep 2019 12:00	137	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	13 Sep 2019 18:00	372	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.6m in Punta Mita, Mexico. This height is estimated for 13 Sep 2019 19:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 13 Sep 2019 18:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	13 Sep 2019 19:15	Punta Mita	Mexico	0.6
	13 Sep 2019 19:15	San Francisco	Mexico	0.6
	13 Sep 2019 19:15	Cruz de Juanacaxtle	Mexico	0.6
	13 Sep 2019 19:15	Monteon	Mexico	0.6
	13 Sep 2019 19:30	El Real	Mexico	0.5
	13 Sep 2019 19:30	Chupadero	Mexico	0.5
	13 Sep 2019 18:45	La Lima	Mexico	0.5
	13 Sep 2019 18:15	Cuitzmala	Mexico	0.5
	13 Sep 2019 18:15	La Manzanilla	Mexico	0.5
	13 Sep 2019 18:15	Barra de Navidad	Mexico	0.4
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	Chamela	Mexico	0.4
	13 Sep 2019 18:15	Estrecho	Mexico	0.4
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	Manzanillo	Mexico	0.4
	13 Sep 2019 22:15	Agua del Coyote	Mexico	0.4
	13 Sep 2019 22:30	San Juanico	Mexico	0.4
	13 Sep 2019 22:30	Buenaventura	Mexico	0.4
	13 Sep 2019 18:45	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.4
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	Chola	Mexico	0.4
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	El Ciruelo	Mexico	0.4
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	Cuyutlan	Mexico	0.4
	13 Sep 2019 19:30	Santiago	Mexico	0.4
	13 Sep 2019 22:30	Boca del Melgoita	Mexico	0.3
	13 Sep 2019 21:00	Novillero	Mexico	0.3
	13 Sep 2019 21:00	Cuantla	Mexico	0.3
	13 Sep 2019 19:30	San Blas	Mexico	0.3
	13 Sep 2019 20:30	Cuamecate	Mexico	0.3
	13 Sep 2019 20:30	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.3
	13 Sep 2019 20:30	El Nuevo	Mexico	0.3
	13 Sep 2019 22:15	Puerto Magdalena	Mexico	0.3
	13 Sep 2019 22:15	San Carlos	Mexico	0.3
	13 Sep 2019 22:15	Madero Amarillo	Mexico	0.3
	13 Sep 2019 19:15	Pizota	Mexico	0.3
	13 Sep 2019 22:30	Las Tinajas	Mexico	0.3
	13 Sep 2019 19:15	Las Bocas	Mexico	0.3
	13 Sep 2019 19:15	Camahuiroa	Mexico	0.3
	13 Sep 2019 23:30	Rancho Datilari	Mexico	0.3
	13 Sep 2019 23:30	Rancho Conejo	Mexico	0.3
	13 Sep 2019 21:15	Isla de Palmito del Verde	Mexico	0.3
	13 Sep 2019 22:45	Santo Domingo	Mexico	0.3
	13 Sep 2019 18:45	Loreto	Mexico	0.3
	13 Sep 2019 18:45	Ligui	Mexico	0.3
	13 Sep 2019 18:45	Tripui	Mexico	0.3
	14 Sep 2019 00:00	Caimanero	Mexico	0.3
	14 Sep 2019 00:00	Jarilla	Mexico	0.3
	14 Sep 2019 00:00	La Puerta	Mexico	0.3
	13 Sep 2019 23:45	Quinones	Mexico	0.3
	13 Sep 2019 18:45	Tambobiche	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 18:45	Los Burros	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 18:45	Puerto Vallarta	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 23:45	El Castillo	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 22:45	Queretaro	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 21:15	Boca del Rio	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 21:15	La Playa Colorada	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 20:45	San Cosme	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 18:45	Santa Marta	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 23:30	Florida	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 23:30	Mazatlan	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 21:15	Puerto Cortes	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 21:15	El Guatamota	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 19:30	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 23:30	El Tomale	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 20:00	Toro Mocho	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 19:15	El Paredoncito	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 19:15	Borabampo	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 23:30	La Boca	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 23:45	La Palmita	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 22:45	Adolfo Lopez Mateos	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 19:15	Aquiles Serdan	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 19:15	Ipala	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 22:30	Corrales	Mexico	0.2
	14 Sep 2019 00:00	Altata	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 20:00	San Jose	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 20:00	Atanacio	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 23:30	Barron	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 23:30	Agua Fresca	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 23:30	La Florida	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 23:30	Marmol	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 19:45	San Bruno	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 23:45	Perihuete	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 23:45	Dimas	Mexico	0.2
	14 Sep 2019 00:00	Puerto Charley	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 23:45	Las Arenitas	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 22:00	Playa Oceano Pacifico	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 19:30	Mulege	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 19:30	Los Dolores	Mexico	0.2
	14 Sep 2019 00:00	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	14 Sep 2019 00:00	La Ventana	Mexico	0.2
	14 Sep 2019 00:00	Ensenada de los Muertos	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 22:30	Estero la Bocana	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 22:30	Bahia Asuncion	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 23:15	Los Inocentes	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 19:00	El Aquajito	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 19:45	San Juanico	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 19:45	San Bruno	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 23:30	Cunano	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 19:30	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.2
	14 Sep 2019 00:00	Rosario	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 19:30	San Ignacio	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 23:30	La Fortuna	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 23:30	El Cardoncito	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 19:45	Liliba	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 19:30	San Juan de la Costa	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 19:45	Cachoana	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 22:30	Bahia de Tortugas	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 20:45	La Trinadad	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 20:45	Las Palmas	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 23:15	Todos Santos	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 23:15	El Pescadero	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 00:00	La Ribera	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 00:00	Punta Colorada	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 00:00	Punta Arena	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 20:45	Los Tesos	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 20:45	Los Frailes	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 23:45	San Jose del Cabo	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 21:30	Datilito	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 21:30	La Paz	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 21:15	Topolobampo	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 23:15	La Tinaja	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 21:30	Pozo de Cota	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 23:00	El Tule	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 21:30	San Lucas	Mexico	0.1