Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for COSME-19
Off-shore
08 Jul 2019 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone COSME-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 86 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (08 Jul 01:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 86 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 0.5
GFS Overall 86 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

86 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 08 Jul 2019 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico644 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Jul 2019 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 06 Jul 2019 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 07 Jul 2019 00:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 07 Jul 2019 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 07 Jul 2019 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 07 Jul 2019 18:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 08 Jul 2019 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 08 Jul 2019 06:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 08 Jul 2019 12:00 29 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 08 Jul 2019 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Jul 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 06 Jul 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 07 Jul 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 07 Jul 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 07 Jul 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 07 Jul 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 08 Jul 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 08 Jul 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 9 08 Jul 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in San Rafael, Mexico. This height is estimated for 08 Jul 2019 01:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 08 Jul 2019 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
08 Jul 2019 01:00 San Rafael Mexico  0.4
08 Jul 2019 01:00 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2019 00:30 Guasimas Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2019 00:30 Empalme Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2019 00:45 Tastiota Mexico  0.3
10 Jul 2019 02:45 Puertecitos Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2019 00:45 Los Dolores Mexico  0.3
10 Jul 2019 02:30 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2019 00:45 Mulege Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2019 02:30 Tecomate Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2019 02:30 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.3
09 Jul 2019 21:45 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2019 00:45 Guaymas Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2019 00:45 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2019 00:45 El Barril Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2019 00:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2019 00:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2019 04:30 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2019 04:30 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2019 00:30 Atanacio Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2019 00:30 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2019 00:30 Borabampo Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2019 02:45 Molino Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2019 02:45 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2019 00:45 San Jose Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2019 00:45 Liliba Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2019 12:00 Datilito Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2019 12:00 La Paz Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2019 12:00 Rosario Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2019 01:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2019 00:45 San Ignacio Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2019 12:15 Cachoana Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2019 16:45 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2019 22:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2019 22:15 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2019 22:30 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2019 12:30 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2019 01:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2019 01:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2019 01:45 Los Burros Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2019 12:00 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2019 12:00 La Florida Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2019 12:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2019 22:30 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
06 Jul 2019 19:30 Novillero Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2019 11:00 San Blas Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2019 11:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2019 12:00 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2019 00:30 Loreto Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2019 03:45 El Aquajito Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2019 00:30 Ligui Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2019 00:30 Tripui Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2019 11:15 San Francisco Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2019 11:15 Monteon Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2019 11:15 La Lima Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2019 01:15 San Cosme Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2019 02:30 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2019 04:00 Las Bocas Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2019 03:45 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2019 19:00 Topolobampo Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2019 03:45 Santa Marta Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2019 04:15 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2019 12:30 La Boca Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2019 12:00 Altata Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2019 10:45 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2019 03:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2019 03:30 La Ventana Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2019 10:45 Jarilla Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2019 10:45 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2019 08:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2019 08:45 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2019 08:45 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2019 11:30 Perihuete Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2019 11:00 Caimanero Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2019 11:15 Dimas Mexico  0.2
06 Jul 2019 20:45 Santa Marie Mexico  0.2
06 Jul 2019 20:45 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2019 10:15 Rancho San Francisco Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2019 10:15 Colonia Camalu Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2019 03:45 Tambobiche Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2019 11:15 Punta Mita Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2019 11:15 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2019 11:00 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2019 11:15 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2019 12:00 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2019 11:15 Marmol Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2019 11:15 Florida Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2019 20:45 La Playa Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2019 03:45 El Desemboque Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2019 08:15 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2019 08:15 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2019 11:30 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2019 12:00 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2019 12:00 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2019 05:30 Cedros Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2019 00:45 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2019 00:45 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2019 11:30 La Trinadad Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2019 11:30 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2019 11:30 Las Palmas Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2019 11:30 La Ribera Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2019 11:30 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2019 05:45 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2019 11:30 Los Tesos Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2019 11:15 Barron Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2019 11:30 Los Frailes Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2019 00:00 Santa Catarina Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2019 11:15 Puerto Vallarta Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2019 19:45 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2019 12:00 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2019 19:15 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2019 11:30 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2019 21:30 Pizota Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2019 11:30 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2019 20:45 El Rosario Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2019 19:15 Quinones Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2019 21:30 Cuitzmala Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2019 21:30 La Manzanilla Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2019 21:45 Corrales Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2019 17:00 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2019 17:00 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1