Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LORNA-19
Off-shore
30 Apr 2019 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LORNA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 140 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (24 Apr 21:45 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 140 km/h 0.7 m 698 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 140 km/h 0.7 m 698 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 30 Apr 2019 18:00 UTC (Overall situation)

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 23 Apr 2019 12:00 173 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 23 Apr 2019 18:00 166 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 24 Apr 2019 00:00 166 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 24 Apr 2019 06:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 24 Apr 2019 12:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 24 Apr 2019 18:00 169 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 25 Apr 2019 00:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 25 Apr 2019 06:00 151 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 25 Apr 2019 12:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 25 Apr 2019 18:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 26 Apr 2019 00:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 26 Apr 2019 06:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 26 Apr 2019 12:00 151 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 26 Apr 2019 18:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 27 Apr 2019 00:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 27 Apr 2019 06:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 27 Apr 2019 12:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 27 Apr 2019 18:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 28 Apr 2019 00:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 28 Apr 2019 06:00 130 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 28 Apr 2019 12:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 28 Apr 2019 18:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 23 29 Apr 2019 00:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 24 29 Apr 2019 06:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 25 29 Apr 2019 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 26 29 Apr 2019 18:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 27 30 Apr 2019 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 28 30 Apr 2019 06:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 29 30 Apr 2019 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 30 30 Apr 2019 18:00 94 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall

698 mm

Up to 27.5 million can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Apr 2019 18:00 UTC (Overall situation)
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmIndonesia1,475,695 
100-250 mmIndonesia, Cocos (Keeling) Islands26,047,686
+
Indonesia26,047,090 
Cocos (Keeling) Islands596 
50-100 mmIndonesia74,679,639 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 23 Apr 2019 12:00 736 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 23 Apr 2019 18:00 843 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 24 Apr 2019 00:00 830 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 24 Apr 2019 06:00 877 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 24 Apr 2019 12:00 783 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 24 Apr 2019 18:00 800 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 25 Apr 2019 00:00 604 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 25 Apr 2019 06:00 606 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 25 Apr 2019 12:00 539 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 25 Apr 2019 18:00 498 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 26 Apr 2019 00:00 528 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 26 Apr 2019 06:00 603 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 26 Apr 2019 12:00 607 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 26 Apr 2019 18:00 628 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 27 Apr 2019 00:00 473 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 27 Apr 2019 06:00 393 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 27 Apr 2019 12:00 455 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 27 Apr 2019 18:00 391 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 28 Apr 2019 00:00 454 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 28 Apr 2019 06:00 326 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 28 Apr 2019 12:00 273 - - - - - - -
Blue 22 28 Apr 2019 18:00 241 - - - - - - -
Blue 23 29 Apr 2019 00:00 159 - - - - - - -
Blue 24 29 Apr 2019 06:00 158 - - - - - - -
Blue 25 29 Apr 2019 12:00 165 - - - - - - -
Blue 26 29 Apr 2019 18:00 166 - - - - - - -
Blue 27 30 Apr 2019 00:00 137 - - - - - - -
Blue 28 30 Apr 2019 06:00 139 - - - - - - -
Blue 29 30 Apr 2019 12:00 129 - - - - - - -
Blue 30 30 Apr 2019 18:00 123 420 thousand
- - - - Indonesia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.7m in Kiluan, Indonesia. This height is estimated for 24 Apr 2019 21:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 30 Apr 2019 18:00 UTC (Overall situation)
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
24 Apr 2019 21:45 Kiluan Indonesia  0.7
24 Apr 2019 21:45 Kekatang Indonesia  0.7
24 Apr 2019 21:45 Menango Indonesia  0.7
24 Apr 2019 21:45 Tandjungkarang Indonesia  0.7
24 Apr 2019 21:45 Telukbetung Indonesia  0.7
24 Apr 2019 21:45 Tarahan Indonesia  0.7
23 Apr 2019 20:00 Serangai Indonesia  0.5
23 Apr 2019 20:00 Penampung Indonesia  0.5
23 Apr 2019 20:00 Lais Indonesia  0.5
23 Apr 2019 20:00 Baru Indonesia  0.5
23 Apr 2019 20:00 Lubuktandjung Indonesia  0.5
23 Apr 2019 20:00 Pasarkerkap Indonesia  0.5
23 Apr 2019 20:15 Kerkap Indonesia  0.5
23 Apr 2019 20:15 Bangkahulu Indonesia  0.5
23 Apr 2019 20:15 Pekansaptoe Indonesia  0.5
29 Apr 2019 14:45 Umbulan Pepanggar Indonesia  0.5
29 Apr 2019 14:45 Kalianda Indonesia  0.5
23 Apr 2019 19:45 Ketaun Indonesia  0.5
29 Apr 2019 22:15 Tjikawung Indonesia  0.5
29 Apr 2019 22:15 Sumur Indonesia  0.5
27 Apr 2019 16:00 Aerdjeruk Indonesia  0.4
27 Apr 2019 16:00 Babakancibeber Indonesia  0.4
29 Apr 2019 09:00 Tiop Indonesia  0.4
29 Apr 2019 09:00 Buriai Indonesia  0.4
28 Apr 2019 09:15 Muarabinuangeun Indonesia  0.4
29 Apr 2019 09:15 Pondokkapoer Indonesia  0.4
23 Apr 2019 19:45 Seblat Indonesia  0.4
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Chilachap Indonesia  0.4
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Adipala Indonesia  0.4
25 Apr 2019 13:45 Kolitjaah Indonesia  0.4
25 Apr 2019 13:45 Tjiteureup Indonesia  0.4
25 Apr 2019 13:45 Labuhan Indonesia  0.4
25 Apr 2019 13:45 Kaduperasi Indonesia  0.4
30 Apr 2019 10:00 Guring Indonesia  0.4
30 Apr 2019 10:00 Kota Agung Indonesia  0.4
23 Apr 2019 19:45 Pasarseblat Indonesia  0.4
24 Apr 2019 09:30 Binangoen Indonesia  0.4
28 Apr 2019 21:15 Belowa Indonesia  0.4
28 Apr 2019 21:15 Taoabi Indonesia  0.4
28 Apr 2019 21:15 Poelaudoea Indonesia  0.4
23 Apr 2019 19:45 Ipun Indonesia  0.4
23 Apr 2019 19:45 Airrami Indonesia  0.4
25 Apr 2019 15:45 Maringgai Indonesia  0.4
30 Apr 2019 10:00 Waiharoe Indonesia  0.3
30 Apr 2019 10:00 Karangberak Indonesia  0.3
30 Apr 2019 10:00 Sawangbalak Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:45 Ajah Indonesia  0.3
25 Apr 2019 16:00 Merak Indonesia  0.3
25 Apr 2019 16:00 Domas Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 22:00 Ketapang Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 09:30 Pasartalo Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 09:30 Pasaralas Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 09:30 Pasarpino Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 09:30 Mana Indonesia  0.3
01 May 2019 14:30 Bandjaragung Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:00 Bakau Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:30 Petanahan Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 09:00 Karbang Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 09:00 Walur Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 09:00 Pasarpulaupisang Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 09:00 Wainapal Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 09:00 Krui Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 09:00 Kerbang Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 09:00 Padangnegeri Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 09:00 Tandjungbaringin Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 00:00 Umbulan Padulmanan Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 16:00 Waibatang Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 09:00 Tandjungaur Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 09:00 Beriang Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 09:00 Tandjungraja Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:30 Cijulang Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:30 Cikalong Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:30 Pangadaran Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:30 Kaliputjang Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:30 Sindangsari Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:15 Bendungan Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:15 Galur Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:15 Srandakan Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:15 Kebonongan Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:15 Tirtohardjo Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:45 Ngalam Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:15 Djagalaja Indonesia  0.3
30 Apr 2019 10:00 Putih Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 15:45 Pasarseluma Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:30 Anjer-Kidu Indonesia  0.3
30 Apr 2019 10:00 Tampang Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 07:45 Ngadirodjo Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 07:45 Panggul Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 07:45 Mundjungan Indonesia  0.3
30 Apr 2019 16:00 La Roche Godon French Southern and Antarctic Lands  0.3
02 May 2019 07:30 Mutua Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 16:15 Belimbing Indonesia  0.3
01 May 2019 19:45 Tandjoengselaka Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 06:00 Kalak Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 06:00 Patjitan Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 09:00 Pandanganget Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 09:00 Bintuhan Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:00 Tasikmadoe Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 09:00 Bandjarnegeri Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 09:00 Ngaras Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 09:00 Negeriratoe Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 09:00 Kotodjawa Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 09:00 Bandaragung Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 09:00 Tjampang Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 05:45 Deliugo Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Popoh Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:15 Djepitoe Indonesia  0.3
02 May 2019 09:30 Cilancang Indonesia  0.3
02 May 2019 09:30 Cirebon Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 16:00 Bulasat Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 16:00 Pahanuma Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 16:00 Kabue Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 09:00 Limau Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 01:00 Topoali Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 09:00 Biha Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 09:30 Kramat Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 09:30 Cengkarengbelakang Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 09:30 Tipar Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 04:30 Point Marianne British Indian Ocean Territory  0.2
28 Apr 2019 04:30 East Point Plantation British Indian Ocean Territory  0.2
02 May 2019 19:30 Kendal Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 19:30 Mangkang-Kulan Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 19:30 Djomblang Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 19:30 Semarang Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 19:30 Karangroto Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 09:00 Marang Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 23:15 Tanara Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 23:15 Ketapang Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Tjikaret Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Babadan Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Lingkungsari Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 09:00 Kalapagenep Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 01:45 Batangan Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 01:45 Rembang Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 08:45 Plotot Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 08:45 Tjiagra Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 08:30 Chihara Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 08:30 Bajah Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 09:15 Losan Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 09:00 Karanganjar Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 09:00 Chikalong Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 09:30 Karangampel Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 09:15 Bulakamba Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 08:45 Karanghawu Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 08:45 Tjimadja Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 08:45 Tjiateul Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 23:00 Tandjungbatuaajer Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 06:30 Pasirputih Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 06:30 Muaratjilamaja Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 09:15 Klampok Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 01:45 Lasem Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 06:15 Patrol Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 06:15 Kandanghaur Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 08:00 Pangkal Dudat Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 08:00 Tandjungkiras Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 08:00 Membalong Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 01:00 Gunung Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 14:30 Taju Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 14:30 Bulumanis Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Pameungpeuk Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Bangbajang Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Tjimari Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 19:00 Wedung Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 19:00 Kedungmalang Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 01:45 Karangsari Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Cidora Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 08:45 Sindangbarang Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 08:45 Gardu Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 08:45 Tjiaun Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 10:45 Simnangpesa Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 10:45 Tandjungklumpang Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 22:00 Djepuh Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 22:00 Tangjungrusa Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 22:00 Dendang Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 15:00 South Point Christmas Island  0.2
01 May 2019 15:00 The Settlement Christmas Island  0.2
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Tjibeber Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 19:45 Balubuk Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 01:30 Padangan-wetan Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 01:30 Kalipang Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 01:30 Lemanbang Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 01:30 Tambakbaja Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 19:45 Pedes Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 19:45 Sungaibuntu Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 06:15 Cangkring Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 02:00 Remen Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 06:15 Indramaju Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 13:15 Jepara Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 13:15 Bugel Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 13:15 Karanggondang Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 08:15 Tegal Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 08:15 Wanasari Indonesia  0.2
03 May 2019 06:30 Petaroekan Indonesia  0.2
03 May 2019 06:30 Sigedang Indonesia  0.2
03 May 2019 06:30 Pekalongan Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 19:00 Sidja Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 08:00 Pemalang Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 08:00 West Island Cocos (Keeling) Islands  0.2