Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LORNA-19
Off-shore
29 Apr 2019 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LORNA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 137 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.9 m (29 Apr 02:45 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 137 km/h 0.9 m 559 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 137 km/h 0.9 m 559 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 29 Apr 2019 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 23 Apr 2019 00:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 23 Apr 2019 12:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 24 Apr 2019 00:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 24 Apr 2019 12:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 25 Apr 2019 00:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 25 Apr 2019 12:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 26 Apr 2019 00:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 26 Apr 2019 12:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 27 Apr 2019 00:00 130 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 27 Apr 2019 12:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 28 Apr 2019 00:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 28 Apr 2019 12:00 130 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 29 Apr 2019 00:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 29 Apr 2019 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall

559 mm

Up to 70.9 million can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 29 Apr 2019 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmIndonesia1,500,605 
100-250 mmIndonesia, Cocos (Keeling) Islands69,389,557
+
Indonesia69,388,961 
Cocos (Keeling) Islands596 
50-100 mmIndonesia50,852,026 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 23 Apr 2019 00:00 702 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 23 Apr 2019 12:00 475 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 24 Apr 2019 00:00 469 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 24 Apr 2019 12:00 457 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 25 Apr 2019 00:00 921 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 25 Apr 2019 12:00 496 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 26 Apr 2019 00:00 545 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 26 Apr 2019 12:00 543 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 27 Apr 2019 00:00 614 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 27 Apr 2019 12:00 474 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 28 Apr 2019 00:00 390 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 28 Apr 2019 12:00 305 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 29 Apr 2019 00:00 196 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 29 Apr 2019 12:00 209 2.4 million
- - - - Indonesia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.9 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.9m in Kiluan, Indonesia. This height is estimated for 29 Apr 2019 02:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 29 Apr 2019 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
29 Apr 2019 02:45 Kiluan Indonesia  0.9
29 Apr 2019 02:45 Kekatang Indonesia  0.9
29 Apr 2019 02:45 Menango Indonesia  0.9
29 Apr 2019 02:45 Tandjungkarang Indonesia  0.8
29 Apr 2019 02:45 Telukbetung Indonesia  0.8
29 Apr 2019 02:45 Tarahan Indonesia  0.8
23 Apr 2019 08:00 Serangai Indonesia  0.6
23 Apr 2019 08:00 Penampung Indonesia  0.6
23 Apr 2019 08:00 Lais Indonesia  0.6
23 Apr 2019 08:00 Baru Indonesia  0.6
23 Apr 2019 08:00 Lubuktandjung Indonesia  0.6
23 Apr 2019 08:00 Pasarkerkap Indonesia  0.6
24 Apr 2019 10:00 Umbulan Pepanggar Indonesia  0.6
24 Apr 2019 10:00 Kalianda Indonesia  0.6
23 Apr 2019 07:45 Ketaun Indonesia  0.6
26 Apr 2019 18:30 Tjikawung Indonesia  0.5
26 Apr 2019 18:30 Sumur Indonesia  0.5
27 Apr 2019 04:00 Kerkap Indonesia  0.5
27 Apr 2019 04:00 Bangkahulu Indonesia  0.5
27 Apr 2019 04:00 Pekansaptoe Indonesia  0.5
26 Apr 2019 18:30 Aerdjeruk Indonesia  0.5
26 Apr 2019 18:30 Babakancibeber Indonesia  0.5
23 Apr 2019 07:45 Seblat Indonesia  0.5
26 Apr 2019 18:30 Kolitjaah Indonesia  0.4
26 Apr 2019 18:30 Tjiteureup Indonesia  0.4
26 Apr 2019 18:30 Labuhan Indonesia  0.4
26 Apr 2019 18:30 Kaduperasi Indonesia  0.4
27 Apr 2019 04:00 Pondokkapoer Indonesia  0.4
23 Apr 2019 08:45 Guring Indonesia  0.4
23 Apr 2019 08:45 Kota Agung Indonesia  0.4
23 Apr 2019 07:45 Pasarseblat Indonesia  0.4
27 Apr 2019 03:45 Tiop Indonesia  0.4
27 Apr 2019 03:45 Buriai Indonesia  0.4
27 Apr 2019 03:30 Ipun Indonesia  0.4
27 Apr 2019 03:30 Airrami Indonesia  0.4
25 Apr 2019 13:45 Chilachap Indonesia  0.4
25 Apr 2019 13:45 Adipala Indonesia  0.4
25 Apr 2019 13:45 Binangoen Indonesia  0.4
26 Apr 2019 17:45 Tasikmadoe Indonesia  0.4
26 Apr 2019 17:45 Popoh Indonesia  0.4
23 Apr 2019 09:00 Waiharoe Indonesia  0.4
23 Apr 2019 09:00 Karangberak Indonesia  0.4
23 Apr 2019 09:00 Sawangbalak Indonesia  0.4
25 Apr 2019 04:15 Merak Indonesia  0.4
25 Apr 2019 04:15 Domas Indonesia  0.4
25 Apr 2019 04:00 Maringgai Indonesia  0.4
26 Apr 2019 17:45 Mundjungan Indonesia  0.4
23 Apr 2019 09:00 Bandjaragung Indonesia  0.4
26 Apr 2019 18:15 Sindangsari Indonesia  0.4
26 Apr 2019 18:15 Cijulang Indonesia  0.4
26 Apr 2019 18:15 Cikalong Indonesia  0.4
26 Apr 2019 18:15 Pangadaran Indonesia  0.4
27 Apr 2019 03:30 Ngalam Indonesia  0.4
27 Apr 2019 04:15 Ajah Indonesia  0.4
25 Apr 2019 18:30 Umbulan Padulmanan Indonesia  0.4
26 Apr 2019 18:00 Muarabinuangeun Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 03:30 Pasartalo Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 03:30 Pasaralas Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 21:15 Kaliputjang Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 20:45 Pasarpino Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 20:45 Mana Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 20:45 Tandjungaur Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 20:45 Beriang Indonesia  0.3
26 Apr 2019 18:45 Bakau Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 04:00 Anjer-Kidu Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 22:15 Ketapang Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 04:15 Belimbing Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 04:15 Tampang Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:30 Pasarseluma Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 09:00 Putih Indonesia  0.3
30 Apr 2019 03:30 La Roche Godon French Southern and Antarctic Lands  0.3
26 Apr 2019 18:15 Petanahan Indonesia  0.3
26 Apr 2019 18:15 Bendungan Indonesia  0.3
26 Apr 2019 18:15 Galur Indonesia  0.3
26 Apr 2019 18:15 Srandakan Indonesia  0.3
26 Apr 2019 18:15 Kebonongan Indonesia  0.3
26 Apr 2019 18:15 Tirtohardjo Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 09:15 Belowa Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 09:15 Taoabi Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 09:15 Poelaudoea Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 21:00 Djagalaja Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:30 Kabue Indonesia  0.3
29 Apr 2019 09:45 Pahanuma Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 20:45 Bulasat Indonesia  0.3
26 Apr 2019 18:00 Panggul Indonesia  0.3
26 Apr 2019 18:00 Djepitoe Indonesia  0.3
26 Apr 2019 18:00 Deliugo Indonesia  0.3
26 Apr 2019 18:00 Ngadirodjo Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 16:15 Point Marianne British Indian Ocean Territory  0.3
27 Apr 2019 16:15 East Point Plantation British Indian Ocean Territory  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:00 Karanghawu Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:00 Tjimadja Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 08:00 Tjiateul Indonesia  0.3
26 Apr 2019 18:00 Kalak Indonesia  0.3
26 Apr 2019 18:00 Patjitan Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 19:45 Chikalong Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 19:45 Kalapagenep Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 04:30 Bandaragung Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 04:30 Tjampang Indonesia  0.3
02 May 2019 07:15 Pasirputih Indonesia  0.3
02 May 2019 07:15 Muaratjilamaja Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 19:45 Plotot Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 21:45 Waibatang Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 21:45 Karbang Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 21:45 Walur Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 21:45 Pasarpulaupisang Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 21:45 Wainapal Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 21:45 Krui Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 21:45 Kerbang Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 13:30 Mutua Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 13:30 Tandjoengselaka Indonesia  0.3
02 May 2019 06:15 Ketapang Indonesia  0.3
02 May 2019 06:15 Kramat Indonesia  0.3
02 May 2019 06:15 Cengkarengbelakang Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 21:45 Padangnegeri Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 21:45 Tandjungbaringin Indonesia  0.3
02 May 2019 06:15 Tanara Indonesia  0.3
01 May 2019 13:45 Batangan Indonesia  0.3
01 May 2019 13:45 Rembang Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 20:30 Tandjungraja Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 21:00 Chihara Indonesia  0.3
28 Apr 2019 21:00 Bajah Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 04:15 Biha Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 04:15 Marang Indonesia  0.3
25 Apr 2019 21:00 Topoali Indonesia  0.3
01 May 2019 22:00 Cilancang Indonesia  0.3
01 May 2019 22:00 Cirebon Indonesia  0.3
27 Apr 2019 03:45 Karanganjar Indonesia  0.3
02 May 2019 07:30 Balubuk Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 22:30 Kendal Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 22:30 Mangkang-Kulan Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 22:30 Djomblang Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 22:30 Semarang Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 22:30 Karangroto Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 02:45 South Point Christmas Island  0.2
01 May 2019 02:45 The Settlement Christmas Island  0.2
27 Apr 2019 04:30 Bandjarnegeri Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 04:30 Ngaras Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 04:30 Negeriratoe Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 04:30 Kotodjawa Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 07:30 Pedes Indonesia  0.2
30 Apr 2019 10:00 Limau Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 07:30 Sungaibuntu Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 02:15 Patrol Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 02:15 Kandanghaur Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 07:30 Tipar Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 04:00 Pandanganget Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 04:00 Bintuhan Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Babadan Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Lingkungsari Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Tjiagra Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 09:45 Lasem Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 09:45 Padangan-wetan Indonesia  0.2
29 Apr 2019 02:00 Gunung Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 13:45 Kalipang Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 13:45 Lemanbang Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 13:45 Tambakbaja Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 08:00 Tjibeber Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 08:00 Tjikaret Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 21:45 Wedung Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 21:45 Kedungmalang Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 22:00 Pangkal Dudat Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 22:00 Tandjungkiras Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 22:00 Membalong Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 04:30 Pameungpeuk Indonesia  0.2
27 Apr 2019 04:30 Bangbajang Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 22:00 Losan Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 13:30 Remen Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 22:00 Bulakamba Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 02:15 Cangkring Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 09:00 Karangampel Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 22:00 Klampok Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 07:15 Indramaju Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 21:30 Jepara Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 21:30 Bugel Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 21:30 Karanggondang Indonesia  0.2
29 Apr 2019 10:30 West Island Cocos (Keeling) Islands  0.2
01 May 2019 13:45 Karangsari Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 13:45 Taju Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 13:45 Bulumanis Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Cidora Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 08:15 Tjimari Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 08:00 Tjiaun Indonesia  0.2
26 Apr 2019 17:45 Gardu Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 21:00 Sindangbarang Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 09:45 Djepuh Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 09:45 Tangjungrusa Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 09:45 Dendang Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 09:45 Simnangpesa Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 09:45 Tandjungklumpang Indonesia  0.2
28 Apr 2019 05:45 Tandjungbatuaajer Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 07:15 Sidja Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 21:15 Petaroekan Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 21:15 Sigedang Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 21:15 Pekalongan Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 20:30 Tegal Indonesia  0.2
01 May 2019 20:30 Wanasari Indonesia  0.2
02 May 2019 08:45 Pemalang Indonesia  0.2