Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for JOANINHA-19
in , Mauritius
01 Apr 2019 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone JOANINHA-19 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Mauritius,
Exposed population 40 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 176 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (22 Mar 19:30 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 176 km/h 0.6 m 970 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 176 km/h 0.6 m 970 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

176 km/h

Up to 40 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 01 Apr 2019 06:00 UTC (Overall situation)
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 1Mauritius43,508
+
Mauritius43,361 
Other countries147 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 22 Mar 2019 00:00 198 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 22 Mar 2019 06:00 184 - - - - - - -
ORANGE 3 22 Mar 2019 12:00 187 - - - - - - -
ORANGE 4 22 Mar 2019 18:00 184 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 23 Mar 2019 00:00 173 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 23 Mar 2019 06:00 176 - - - - - - -
ORANGE 7 23 Mar 2019 12:00 184 - - - - - - -
ORANGE 8 23 Mar 2019 18:00 184 - - - - - - -
ORANGE 9 24 Mar 2019 00:00 180 - - - - - - -
ORANGE 10 24 Mar 2019 06:00 180 - - - - - - -
ORANGE 11 24 Mar 2019 12:00 180 - - - - - - -
ORANGE 12 24 Mar 2019 18:00 180 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 25 Mar 2019 00:00 176 - - - - - - -
ORANGE 14 25 Mar 2019 06:00 180 - - - - - - -
ORANGE 15 25 Mar 2019 12:00 184 - - - - - - -
ORANGE 16 25 Mar 2019 18:00 187 - - - - - - -
ORANGE 17 26 Mar 2019 00:00 187 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 26 Mar 2019 06:00 180 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 26 Mar 2019 12:00 180 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 26 Mar 2019 18:00 180 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 27 Mar 2019 00:00 180 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 27 Mar 2019 06:00 180 - - - - - - -
GREEN 23 27 Mar 2019 12:00 194 - - - - - - -
GREEN 24 27 Mar 2019 18:00 191 - - - - - - -
GREEN 25 28 Mar 2019 00:00 191 - - - - - - -
GREEN 26 28 Mar 2019 06:00 187 - - - - - - -
GREEN 27 28 Mar 2019 12:00 187 - - - - - - -
GREEN 28 28 Mar 2019 18:00 169 - - - - - - -
GREEN 29 29 Mar 2019 00:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 30 29 Mar 2019 06:00 151 - - - - - - -
GREEN 31 29 Mar 2019 12:00 169 - - - - - - -
GREEN 32 29 Mar 2019 18:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 33 30 Mar 2019 00:00 151 - - - - - - -
GREEN 34 30 Mar 2019 06:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 35 30 Mar 2019 12:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 36 30 Mar 2019 18:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 37 31 Mar 2019 00:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 38 31 Mar 2019 06:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 39 31 Mar 2019 12:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 40 31 Mar 2019 18:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 41 01 Apr 2019 00:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 42 01 Apr 2019 06:00 104 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 01 Apr 2019 06:00 UTC (Overall situation)
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmMauritius43,508
+
Mauritius43,361 
Other countries147 
100-250 mmSeychelles, Mauritius, Reunion82,902
+
Seychelles238 
Mauritius295 
Reunion82,369 
50-100 mmMauritius, Reunion432,383
+
Mauritius134,251 
Reunion298,132 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 22 Mar 2019 00:00 1685 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 22 Mar 2019 06:00 1824 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 22 Mar 2019 12:00 1728 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 22 Mar 2019 18:00 1273 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 23 Mar 2019 00:00 1274 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 23 Mar 2019 06:00 1134 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 23 Mar 2019 12:00 1183 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 23 Mar 2019 18:00 1410 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 24 Mar 2019 00:00 961 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 24 Mar 2019 06:00 911 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 24 Mar 2019 12:00 836 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 24 Mar 2019 18:00 768 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 25 Mar 2019 00:00 601 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 25 Mar 2019 06:00 600 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 25 Mar 2019 12:00 749 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 25 Mar 2019 18:00 831 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 26 Mar 2019 00:00 955 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 26 Mar 2019 06:00 1032 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 26 Mar 2019 12:00 1416 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 26 Mar 2019 18:00 1324 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 27 Mar 2019 00:00 1374 - - - - - - -
Blue 22 27 Mar 2019 06:00 1000 - - - - - - -
Blue 23 27 Mar 2019 12:00 1032 - - - - - - -
Blue 24 27 Mar 2019 18:00 874 - - - - - - -
Blue 25 28 Mar 2019 00:00 853 - - - - - - -
Blue 26 28 Mar 2019 06:00 827 - - - - - - -
Blue 27 28 Mar 2019 12:00 1028 - - - - - - -
Blue 28 28 Mar 2019 18:00 794 - - - - - - -
Blue 29 29 Mar 2019 00:00 896 - - - - - - -
Blue 30 29 Mar 2019 06:00 1080 - - - - - - -
Blue 31 29 Mar 2019 12:00 857 - - - - - - -
Blue 32 29 Mar 2019 18:00 695 - - - - - - -
Blue 33 30 Mar 2019 00:00 702 - - - - - - -
Blue 34 30 Mar 2019 06:00 755 - - - - - - -
Blue 35 30 Mar 2019 12:00 470 - - - - - - -
Blue 36 30 Mar 2019 18:00 511 - - - - - - -
Blue 37 31 Mar 2019 00:00 497 - - - - - - -
Blue 38 31 Mar 2019 06:00 471 - - - - - - -
Blue 39 31 Mar 2019 12:00 370 - - - - - - -
Blue 40 31 Mar 2019 18:00 498 - - - - - - -
Blue 41 01 Apr 2019 00:00 449 - - - - - - -
Blue 42 01 Apr 2019 06:00 439 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.6m in Anse Volbert Village, Seychelles. This height is estimated for 22 Mar 2019 19:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 01 Apr 2019 06:00 UTC (Overall situation)
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
22 Mar 2019 19:30 Anse Volbert Village Seychelles  0.6
22 Mar 2019 19:30 La Reunion Seychelles  0.6
22 Mar 2019 19:45 Victoria Seychelles  0.6
22 Mar 2019 19:45 Anse Boileau Seychelles  0.6
25 Mar 2019 17:15 La Ferme Mauritius  0.3
25 Mar 2019 17:15 Port Mathurin Mauritius  0.3
30 Mar 2019 02:00 Le Port Reunion  0.2
30 Mar 2019 02:00 La Possession Reunion  0.2
30 Mar 2019 02:00 Saint-Denis Reunion  0.2
30 Mar 2019 02:00 Saint-Marie Reunion  0.2
30 Mar 2019 02:00 Sainte-Suzanne Reunion  0.2
25 Mar 2019 18:15 Saint-Antoine Mauritius  0.1
25 Mar 2019 18:15 Riviere du Rempart Mauritius  0.1
02 Apr 2019 17:00 Point Marianne British Indian Ocean Territory  0.1
02 Apr 2019 17:00 East Point Plantation British Indian Ocean Territory  0.1
25 Mar 2019 18:15 Trou aux Biches Mauritius  0.1
28 Mar 2019 19:15 Saint-Andre Reunion  0.1
28 Mar 2019 19:15 Bras-Panon Reunion  0.1
25 Mar 2019 18:15 Port Louis Mauritius  0.1
25 Mar 2019 18:15 Saint-Benoit Reunion  0.1
25 Mar 2019 18:15 Black River Mauritius  0.1
25 Mar 2019 18:15 Choisy Mauritius  0.1
25 Mar 2019 18:15 Chemin Grenier Mauritius  0.1
25 Mar 2019 18:15 Saint-Paul Reunion  0.1
25 Mar 2019 18:15 Saint-Leu Reunion  0.1
25 Mar 2019 18:15 Trois Bassins Reunion  0.1
25 Mar 2019 18:15 Sainte-Rose Reunion  0.1
25 Mar 2019 18:15 Cascades Reunion  0.1
25 Mar 2019 18:15 Grande Reviere Sud Est Mauritius  0.1
25 Mar 2019 18:15 Souillac Mauritius  0.1
25 Mar 2019 18:15 Riche-en-Eau Mauritius  0.1
25 Mar 2019 18:15 Maheboug Mauritius  0.1
25 Mar 2019 18:15 Saint-Philippe Reunion  0.1
25 Mar 2019 18:30 Les Avirons Reunion  0.1
25 Mar 2019 18:30 Etang Sale Reunion  0.1
25 Mar 2019 18:30 Saint-Louis Reunion  0.1
25 Mar 2019 18:30 Saint-Pierre Reunion  0.1
25 Mar 2019 18:30 Petite Ile Reunion  0.1
25 Mar 2019 18:30 Saint-Joseph Reunion  0.1