Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for TREVOR-19
in Australia

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TREVOR-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Australia
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 202 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.3 m (23 Mar 02:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 202 km/h 1.3 m n.a. 0.5
HWRF Overall 201 km/h 1.8 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 22 Mar 2019 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormAustralia2,081 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 17 Mar 2019 18:00 151 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 18 Mar 2019 00:00 168 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 18 Mar 2019 06:00 195 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 18 Mar 2019 12:00 181 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 18 Mar 2019 18:00 191 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 19 Mar 2019 00:00 177 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 19 Mar 2019 06:00 191 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 19 Mar 2019 12:00 239 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 19 Mar 2019 18:00 247 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 20 Mar 2019 00:00 227 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 20 Mar 2019 06:00 209 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 20 Mar 2019 12:00 212 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 20 Mar 2019 18:00 165 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 21 Mar 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 21 Mar 2019 06:00 184 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 21 Mar 2019 12:00 206 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 21 Mar 2019 18:00 216 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 22 Mar 2019 00:00 210 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 22 Mar 2019 06:00 215 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 22 Mar 2019 12:00 215 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 22 Mar 2019 18:00 202 -
- - - - - Australia
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

-1 mm

Up to 2 thousand can be affected rain lower than 100mm





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 22 Mar 2019 18:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 17 Mar 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 18 Mar 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 18 Mar 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 18 Mar 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 18 Mar 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 19 Mar 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 19 Mar 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 19 Mar 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 9 19 Mar 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 10 20 Mar 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 11 20 Mar 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 12 20 Mar 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 13 20 Mar 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 14 21 Mar 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 15 21 Mar 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 16 21 Mar 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 17 21 Mar 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 18 22 Mar 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 19 22 Mar 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 20 22 Mar 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 21 22 Mar 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

1.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.3m in Karumba, Australia. This height is estimated for 23 Mar 2019 02:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 22 Mar 2019 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
23 Mar 2019 02:15 Karumba Australia  1.3
23 Mar 2019 10:00 Numbulwar Australia  0.9
23 Mar 2019 10:00 Alyangula Australia  0.9
23 Mar 2019 06:45 Bing Bong Australia  0.7
23 Mar 2019 08:00 Caburinga Village Australia  0.5
22 Mar 2019 20:45 Kowanyama Australia  0.5
22 Mar 2019 19:15 Kulinchin Australia  0.5
22 Mar 2019 22:45 Weipa Australia  0.4
22 Mar 2019 22:45 Weipa South Australia  0.4
22 Mar 2019 22:00 Mapoon Australia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 07:30 Nhulunbuy Australia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 07:30 Gove Australia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 07:30 Yirrkala Mission Australia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 07:30 Yirrkala Australia  0.3
22 Mar 2019 18:00 Hammond I Australia  0.3
22 Mar 2019 18:00 Port Kennedy Australia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 13:30 Badu Australia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 13:30 Bula Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Mar 2019 13:30 Jara Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Mar 2019 14:00 Mari Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 18:00 Cowel Creek Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 18:00 Seisia Australia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 13:15 Bamaga Australia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 13:15 Cape York Australia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 13:45 Kondomiraf Indonesia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 14:00 Barattar Indonesia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 09:15 Tamerau Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 20:30 Sarire Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 20:30 Tamarike Indonesia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 07:00 Matara Indonesia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 07:00 Urum Indonesia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 07:00 Merauke Indonesia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 07:00 Daub Indonesia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 05:30 Dumande Indonesia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 05:30 Onggalie Indonesia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 05:30 Kumbe Indonesia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 07:00 Anansai Indonesia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 07:00 Wendu Indonesia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 05:45 Kotad Indonesia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 06:45 Alakoe Indonesia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 06:45 Alatepi Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 20:15 Soeam Indonesia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 16:30 Boigu Australia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 16:30 Bugi Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Mar 2019 15:15 Tais Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 22:15 Aibinio Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 22:15 Gesco Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 22:15 Dameramuda Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 22:15 Umuda I Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Mar 2019 05:45 Moegaigare Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 22:00 Coolbie Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 22:00 Mutarnee Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 22:00 Moongobulla Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 20:30 Mossman Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 20:30 Miallo Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 20:30 Wonga Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 20:30 Port Douglas Australia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 06:15 Okaba Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 20:15 Heits Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 22:15 Cassady Australia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 19:15 Pallarenda Australia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 19:15 Belgian Gardens Australia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 19:15 Townsville Australia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 19:15 Oonoonba Australia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 19:15 Cluden Australia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 19:15 Oolbun Australia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 06:30 Kobiem Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 22:30 Halifax Australia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 22:30 Lucinda Australia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 20:30 Elim Australia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 22:15 Segero Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 22:15 Dibiri Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 22:15 Oropai Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 22:15 Tirere Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 22:15 Maipani Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 20:15 Cooktown Australia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 22:00 Rollingstone Australia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 22:00 Kinduro Australia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 17:00 Dauan Australia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 01:45 Lower Tully Australia  0.1
24 Mar 2019 01:45 Cardwell Australia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 12:30 Wan Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 12:30 Konerau Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 12:30 Selemit Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 14:45 Kandala Jawal Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 14:45 Wamal Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 14:45 Gelib Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 14:45 Dokib Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 12:00 Komoran Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 11:30 Welab Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 11:45 Papisote Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 20:45 Sidabadu Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 20:45 Saibai Australia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 20:45 Hamlet of Togo Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 20:45 Mabaduan Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 22:15 Amagoa Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 22:15 Tugara Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 22:15 Bina No 1 Papua New Guinea  0.1
25 Mar 2019 10:45 Dodalim Indonesia  0.1
25 Mar 2019 10:45 Yulbabuti Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 18:30 Sabon Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 18:00 Taroea Anim Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 12:30 Tor Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 12:30 Kladar Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 07:30 Hockley Australia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 23:00 Waidoro Papua New Guinea  0.1
23 Mar 2019 07:15 Misiki Papua New Guinea  0.1
23 Mar 2019 07:15 Giwaretore Papua New Guinea  0.1
23 Mar 2019 07:15 Gibu Papua New Guinea  0.1
23 Mar 2019 07:15 Morigio I Papua New Guinea  0.1
23 Mar 2019 07:15 Mapoi'a Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 20:45 Running Creek Australia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 12:00 Pasirputih Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 18:30 Innisfail Australia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 23:30 South Mission Beach Australia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 20:00 Aloszville Australia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 12:45 Trinity Beach Australia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 12:45 Barron Falls Australia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 12:45 Freshwater Australia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 12:45 Yorkeys Knob Australia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 12:45 Stratford Australia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 12:45 Woree Australia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 12:45 Edge Hill Australia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 12:45 White Rock Australia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 12:45 Cairns Australia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 12:45 Yarrabah Aboriginal Community Australia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 23:00 Ture Ture Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 23:00 Boze Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 23:00 Ume Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 23:00 Daru Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 23:00 Dorogari Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 22:45 Kadawa Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 18:00 Ok Village Australia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 21:15 Auti Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 21:15 Daware Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 21:15 Mibu Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 21:15 Iasa Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 22:45 Orapoi Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 22:45 Bunigi Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 21:15 Sepi Papua New Guinea  0.1