Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for TREVOR-19
in Australia

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TREVOR-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Australia
Exposed population Few people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 206 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.0 m (23 Mar 02:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 206 km/h 1.0 m n.a. 0.5
HWRF Overall 201 km/h 1.8 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

201 km/h

Up to Few people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 21 Mar 2019 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 1Australia02 
Tropical StormAustralia1,994 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 17 Mar 2019 18:00 151 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 18 Mar 2019 00:00 168 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 18 Mar 2019 06:00 195 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 18 Mar 2019 12:00 181 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 18 Mar 2019 18:00 191 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 19 Mar 2019 00:00 177 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 19 Mar 2019 06:00 191 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 19 Mar 2019 12:00 239 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 19 Mar 2019 18:00 247 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 20 Mar 2019 00:00 227 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 20 Mar 2019 06:00 209 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 20 Mar 2019 12:00 212 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 20 Mar 2019 18:00 165 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 21 Mar 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 21 Mar 2019 06:00 184 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 21 Mar 2019 12:00 206 Few people
- - - - Australia
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 21 Mar 2019 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 17 Mar 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 18 Mar 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 18 Mar 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 18 Mar 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 18 Mar 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 19 Mar 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 19 Mar 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 19 Mar 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 9 19 Mar 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 10 20 Mar 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 11 20 Mar 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 12 20 Mar 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 13 20 Mar 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 14 21 Mar 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 15 21 Mar 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 16 21 Mar 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.0m in Karumba, Australia. This height is estimated for 23 Mar 2019 02:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 21 Mar 2019 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
23 Mar 2019 02:00 Karumba Australia  1.0
23 Mar 2019 09:15 Bing Bong Australia  0.7
23 Mar 2019 09:45 Numbulwar Australia  0.7
23 Mar 2019 09:15 Alyangula Australia  0.7
21 Mar 2019 15:15 Hammond I Australia  0.5
21 Mar 2019 15:15 Port Kennedy Australia  0.5
23 Mar 2019 00:15 Kowanyama Australia  0.5
21 Mar 2019 18:00 Mapoon Australia  0.4
21 Mar 2019 17:15 Sarire Indonesia  0.4
21 Mar 2019 17:15 Tamarike Indonesia  0.4
21 Mar 2019 17:15 Tamerau Indonesia  0.4
22 Mar 2019 02:00 Weipa Australia  0.4
22 Mar 2019 02:00 Weipa South Australia  0.4
21 Mar 2019 17:15 Matara Indonesia  0.4
21 Mar 2019 17:15 Urum Indonesia  0.4
21 Mar 2019 17:15 Merauke Indonesia  0.4
21 Mar 2019 17:15 Daub Indonesia  0.4
21 Mar 2019 17:45 Kumbe Indonesia  0.4
21 Mar 2019 17:45 Anansai Indonesia  0.4
21 Mar 2019 17:45 Wendu Indonesia  0.4
21 Mar 2019 16:45 Barattar Indonesia  0.4
21 Mar 2019 18:00 Onggalie Indonesia  0.4
21 Mar 2019 15:30 Badu Australia  0.4
21 Mar 2019 19:15 Kotad Indonesia  0.4
21 Mar 2019 19:15 Dumande Indonesia  0.4
22 Mar 2019 23:15 Kulinchin Australia  0.4
21 Mar 2019 19:00 Alatepi Indonesia  0.4
21 Mar 2019 19:00 Alakoe Indonesia  0.4
21 Mar 2019 15:30 Kondomiraf Indonesia  0.4
21 Mar 2019 15:45 Bula Papua New Guinea  0.4
21 Mar 2019 15:45 Jara Papua New Guinea  0.4
21 Mar 2019 18:15 Moegaigare Indonesia  0.3
21 Mar 2019 16:00 Mari Papua New Guinea  0.3
21 Mar 2019 18:30 Okaba Indonesia  0.3
22 Mar 2019 02:00 Cowel Creek Australia  0.3
22 Mar 2019 02:00 Seisia Australia  0.3
21 Mar 2019 17:45 Kandala Jawal Indonesia  0.3
21 Mar 2019 17:45 Wamal Indonesia  0.3
21 Mar 2019 17:45 Gelib Indonesia  0.3
21 Mar 2019 17:45 Dokib Indonesia  0.3
21 Mar 2019 18:15 Kobiem Indonesia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 07:30 Caburinga Village Australia  0.3
21 Mar 2019 17:45 Papisote Indonesia  0.3
21 Mar 2019 17:45 Welab Indonesia  0.3
21 Mar 2019 17:30 Dodalim Indonesia  0.3
21 Mar 2019 17:30 Yulbabuti Indonesia  0.3
21 Mar 2019 16:45 Soeam Indonesia  0.3
21 Mar 2019 16:15 Komoran Indonesia  0.3
22 Mar 2019 02:00 Bamaga Australia  0.3
22 Mar 2019 02:00 Cape York Australia  0.3
21 Mar 2019 16:30 Wan Indonesia  0.3
21 Mar 2019 16:30 Konerau Indonesia  0.3
21 Mar 2019 16:30 Selemit Indonesia  0.3
21 Mar 2019 17:00 Heits Indonesia  0.3
21 Mar 2019 12:00 Running Creek Australia  0.3
21 Mar 2019 16:30 Tor Indonesia  0.3
21 Mar 2019 17:30 Sabon Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 16:00 Pasirputih Indonesia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 07:15 Nhulunbuy Australia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 07:15 Gove Australia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 07:15 Yirrkala Mission Australia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 07:15 Yirrkala Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 16:30 Kladar Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 19:30 Aloszville Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 19:00 Dolatanden Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 12:30 Cooktown Australia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 16:45 Boigu Australia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 16:45 Bugi Papua New Guinea  0.2
21 Mar 2019 16:15 Taroea Anim Indonesia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 16:45 Tais Papua New Guinea  0.2
21 Mar 2019 13:15 Elim Australia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 16:30 Dauan Australia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 17:00 Sidabadu Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Mar 2019 17:00 Saibai Australia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 17:00 Hamlet of Togo Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Mar 2019 17:00 Mabaduan Papua New Guinea  0.2
21 Mar 2019 16:30 Mossman Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 16:30 Miallo Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 16:30 Wonga Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 16:30 Port Douglas Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 06:00 Coolbie Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 06:00 Mutarnee Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 06:00 Moongobulla Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 14:45 Jofar Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 14:45 Per Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 14:45 Agats Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 14:45 Amborip Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 15:15 Jow Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 15:15 Otsjanep Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 15:15 Birab Indonesia  0.2
24 Mar 2019 05:45 Pallarenda Australia  0.2
24 Mar 2019 05:45 Belgian Gardens Australia  0.2
24 Mar 2019 05:45 Townsville Australia  0.2
24 Mar 2019 05:45 Oonoonba Australia  0.2
24 Mar 2019 05:45 Cluden Australia  0.2
24 Mar 2019 05:45 Oolbun Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 17:30 Rita Island Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 16:00 Biwarlaut Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 18:15 Larrakeyah Australia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 18:15 Fannie Bay Australia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 18:15 Parap Australia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 18:15 Darwin Australia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 18:15 Nightcliff Australia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 18:15 Ludmilla Australia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 18:15 Bagot Australia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 18:15 Leanyer Australia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 18:15 Knuckeys Lagoon Australia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 18:15 Berrimah Australia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 14:15 Rollingstone Australia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 14:15 Kinduro Australia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 06:15 Cassady Australia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 06:15 Halifax Australia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 06:15 Lucinda Australia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 17:15 Lower Tully Australia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 17:15 Cardwell Australia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 23:00 Hockley Australia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 05:30 Aibinio Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 05:30 Gesco Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 05:30 Dameramuda Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 05:30 Umuda I Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 20:00 Misiki Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 20:00 Giwaretore Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 20:00 Gibu Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 20:00 Morigio I Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 20:00 Mapoi'a Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 22:00 Minjilang Australia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 05:45 Segero Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 05:45 Dibiri Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 05:45 Oropai Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 05:45 Tirere Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 05:45 Maipani Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 18:15 The Palms Australia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 19:15 Ok Village Australia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 05:45 Amagoa Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 05:45 Tugara Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 05:45 Bina No 1 Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 00:15 Trinity Beach Australia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 00:15 Barron Falls Australia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 00:15 Freshwater Australia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 00:15 Yorkeys Knob Australia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 00:15 Stratford Australia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 00:15 Woree Australia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 00:15 Edge Hill Australia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 00:15 White Rock Australia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 00:15 Cairns Australia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 00:15 Yarrabah Aboriginal Community Australia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 05:15 Orapoi Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 05:15 Buniki Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 05:15 Bunigi Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 05:15 Ibou Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 15:00 Innisfail Australia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 17:45 Waidoro Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 16:45 Ayton Australia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 18:00 Kadawa Papua New Guinea  0.1
23 Mar 2019 18:00 Ture Ture Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 06:15 Iasa Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 06:15 Ipisia Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 06:15 Agobara Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 06:15 Samari Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 06:15 Oromosapuo Papua New Guinea  0.1
23 Mar 2019 18:00 Boze Papua New Guinea  0.1
23 Mar 2019 18:00 Ume Papua New Guinea  0.1
23 Mar 2019 18:30 Daru Papua New Guinea  0.1
23 Mar 2019 18:30 Dorogari Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 17:30 South Mission Beach Australia  0.1