Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for KATIA-17
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KATIA-17 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 83 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (09 Sep 05:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 83 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5
GFS Overall 80 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

80 km/h

Up to 60 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 07 Sep 2017 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico58,347 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 05 Sep 2017 18:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 06 Sep 2017 00:00 66 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 06 Sep 2017 06:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 06 Sep 2017 12:00 78 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 06 Sep 2017 18:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 07 Sep 2017 00:00 71 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 07 Sep 2017 06:00 83 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 07 Sep 2017 06:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 05 Sep 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 06 Sep 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 06 Sep 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 06 Sep 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 06 Sep 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 07 Sep 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 07 Sep 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Tecolutla, Mexico. This height is estimated for 09 Sep 2017 05:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 07 Sep 2017 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
09 Sep 2017 05:15 Tecolutla Mexico  0.3
09 Sep 2017 05:15 La Guadalupe Mexico  0.3
09 Sep 2017 05:15 Monte Gordo Mexico  0.3
09 Sep 2017 05:00 Nautla Mexico  0.3
09 Sep 2017 05:00 El Laurel Mexico  0.3
09 Sep 2017 06:45 Tenixtepec Mexico  0.2
07 Sep 2017 17:45 Balantanche Mexico  0.2
07 Sep 2017 17:30 Johnson's Bayou United States  0.2
07 Sep 2017 17:30 Constance Beach United States  0.2
07 Sep 2017 17:30 Peveto Beach United States  0.2
07 Sep 2017 17:30 Holly Beach United States  0.2
07 Sep 2017 17:30 Cameron United States  0.2
09 Sep 2017 03:30 Buena Vista United States  0.2
08 Sep 2017 16:30 Bay Harbor United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 16:30 Sea Isle United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 16:30 Hitchcock United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 16:30 Jamaica Beach United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 16:30 Bayou Vista United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 16:30 Anderson Ways United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 16:30 Virginia Point United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 16:30 Galveston United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 16:30 Surfside Beach United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 16:30 Hoskins United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 16:30 Port Morris United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 16:30 Red Fish Cove United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 03:00 Laguna Heights United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 03:00 Port Isabel United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 03:00 Kopernik Shores United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 03:00 South Padre Island United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 03:00 Boca Chica United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 05:15 High Island United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 01:15 El Martillo United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 01:15 Yarborough United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 05:30 Flake United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 05:30 Elmgrove United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 05:30 Crystal Beach United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 05:30 Patton United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 05:30 Bolivar Peninsula United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 05:30 Caplen United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 05:30 Gilchrist United States  0.1
07 Sep 2017 18:00 Sabine United States  0.1
07 Sep 2017 18:00 Sabine Pass United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 03:15 Fraccionamiento Nuevo Leon Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2017 16:15 Texas City Junction United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 16:15 Texas City United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 16:15 Port Bolivar United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 16:15 Fort Travis United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 16:15 Quintana United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 16:15 Surfside United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 16:15 Mims United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 04:30 Tamiahua Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 04:30 Laja Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2017 16:15 Gulf Park United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 16:15 Hoskins United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 16:15 Bryan Beach United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 16:15 Valasco Heights United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 16:15 Freeport United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 04:15 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 04:15 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 04:15 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 04:15 Mustang Beach United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 04:15 Port Aransas United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 04:00 Orange Grove United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 04:00 Peary Place United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 17:00 Chinquapin United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 04:15 Ingleside United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 04:15 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 04:15 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 04:15 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 04:15 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 04:15 Aransas Pass United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 04:15 El Naranjal Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2017 04:15 Chenkan Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 07:15 Vega de Alatorre Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 04:30 Rockport United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 04:30 Shell Ridge United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 04:30 Fulton United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 17:30 Matagorda United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 04:15 Port O'Connor United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 04:30 Estes United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 00:00 San Jose de los Leones Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 04:30 Emilio Carranza Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 04:00 El Tular Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 04:00 Cabo Rojito Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2017 11:30 Veracruz Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2017 11:30 Anton Lizardo Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2017 08:45 Salinas Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2017 08:45 Buen Pais Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2017 08:45 Alvarado Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2017 08:45 Conejo Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 15:45 Ejido Guandalupe Victoria Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 15:45 Rancho Magueyes Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 15:45 El Mezquite Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 15:45 El Mezquital Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2017 04:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2017 04:30 Sabancuy Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 22:45 Macho Creek Guatemala  0.1
09 Sep 2017 22:45 Punta Manabique Guatemala  0.1
09 Sep 2017 22:45 Puerto Barrios Guatemala  0.1
09 Sep 2017 22:45 Cambalache Guatemala  0.1
09 Sep 2017 22:45 Corozo Guatemala  0.1
09 Sep 2017 22:45 La Graciosa Guatemala  0.1
09 Sep 2017 22:45 Machacal Guatemala  0.1
09 Sep 2017 22:45 San Francisco del Mar Guatemala  0.1
09 Sep 2017 22:30 Cabeza de Vaca Guatemala  0.1
09 Sep 2017 22:30 Baranca Belize  0.1
09 Sep 2017 22:30 San Juan Guatemala  0.1
09 Sep 2017 22:30 Cocoli Guatemala  0.1
09 Sep 2017 22:30 Cattle Landing Belize  0.1
08 Sep 2017 00:30 Los Ebanos Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 22:30 Buena Vista Guatemala  0.1
09 Sep 2017 22:30 Livingston Guatemala  0.1
07 Sep 2017 10:00 Las Guayabas Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 03:15 Ursulo Galvan Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 22:15 Ferguson Bank Belize  0.1
09 Sep 2017 22:15 Belize City Belize  0.1
08 Sep 2017 01:15 El Porvenir Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 03:45 Pueblo Viejo Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 03:45 Primero de Mayo Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 03:45 Tampico Alta Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 01:45 La Mata Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 03:30 Agua Dulce Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 04:45 Chaparral Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2017 22:45 Kaski Honduras  0.1
08 Sep 2017 22:45 Dapat Honduras  0.1
08 Sep 2017 22:45 Cauauira Honduras  0.1
08 Sep 2017 22:45 Tay Lirila Honduras  0.1
10 Sep 2017 05:45 Las Pozas Nicaragua  0.1
10 Sep 2017 05:45 La Chacara Nicaragua  0.1
10 Sep 2017 05:45 El Capulin Nicaragua  0.1
10 Sep 2017 05:45 Condega Honduras  0.1
10 Sep 2017 05:45 Cedeno Honduras  0.1
10 Sep 2017 05:45 Mangle Alto Nicaragua  0.1
10 Sep 2017 05:45 Albania Honduras  0.1
07 Sep 2017 17:00 Las Barrillas Mexico  0.1