Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for KATIA-17
in Mexico
06 Sep 2017 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KATIA-17 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 95 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (09 Sep 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 95 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 0.5
HWRF Overall 98 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

98 km/h

Up to 160 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 06 Sep 2017 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico162,993 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 05 Sep 2017 18:00 64 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 06 Sep 2017 00:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 06 Sep 2017 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 06 Sep 2017 12:00 95 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 06 Sep 2017 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 05 Sep 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 06 Sep 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 06 Sep 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 06 Sep 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Laja, Mexico. This height is estimated for 09 Sep 2017 12:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 06 Sep 2017 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
09 Sep 2017 12:00 Laja Mexico  0.4
09 Sep 2017 12:00 Tenixtepec Mexico  0.3
09 Sep 2017 12:00 Tecolutla Mexico  0.3
09 Sep 2017 12:00 Tamiahua Mexico  0.2
09 Sep 2017 12:00 El Naranjal Mexico  0.2
09 Sep 2017 00:45 El Tular Mexico  0.2
09 Sep 2017 00:45 Cabo Rojito Mexico  0.2
09 Sep 2017 03:00 La Mata Mexico  0.2
09 Sep 2017 03:00 Agua Dulce Mexico  0.2
09 Sep 2017 10:30 La Guadalupe Mexico  0.2
08 Sep 2017 23:30 La Chacara Nicaragua  0.2
08 Sep 2017 23:30 El Capulin Nicaragua  0.2
08 Sep 2017 23:30 Condega Honduras  0.2
08 Sep 2017 23:30 Mangle Alto Nicaragua  0.2
09 Sep 2017 01:00 Boca Nueva Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 01:00 Paso Real Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 00:30 Tampico Alta Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 10:45 Monte Gordo Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2017 14:30 La Presita Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2017 16:45 Pueblo Viejo Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2017 16:45 Primero de Mayo Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 00:00 Ciudad del Carmen Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2017 22:45 Balantanche Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2017 22:30 Neyac Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 00:30 El Porvenir Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2017 12:15 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2017 12:15 Dimas Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2017 21:30 Ejido Guandalupe Victoria Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2017 21:30 Rancho Magueyes Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2017 21:30 El Mezquite Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2017 21:30 El Mezquital Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 00:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1