Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for KATIA-17
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KATIA-17 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 87 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (09 Sep 04:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 87 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 0.5
GFS Overall 80 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

80 km/h

Up to 100 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 08 Sep 2017 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico99,283 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 05 Sep 2017 18:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 06 Sep 2017 00:00 66 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 06 Sep 2017 06:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 06 Sep 2017 12:00 78 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 06 Sep 2017 18:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 07 Sep 2017 00:00 71 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 07 Sep 2017 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 07 Sep 2017 12:00 81 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 07 Sep 2017 18:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 08 Sep 2017 00:00 87 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 08 Sep 2017 00:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 05 Sep 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 06 Sep 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 06 Sep 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 06 Sep 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 06 Sep 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 07 Sep 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 07 Sep 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 07 Sep 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 9 07 Sep 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 10 08 Sep 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Tecolutla, Mexico. This height is estimated for 09 Sep 2017 04:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 08 Sep 2017 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
09 Sep 2017 04:30 Tecolutla Mexico  0.4
09 Sep 2017 04:30 La Guadalupe Mexico  0.4
09 Sep 2017 04:30 Monte Gordo Mexico  0.4
09 Sep 2017 05:00 Tenixtepec Mexico  0.3
09 Sep 2017 03:30 Nautla Mexico  0.2
09 Sep 2017 04:45 Tamiahua Mexico  0.2
09 Sep 2017 04:45 Laja Mexico  0.2
09 Sep 2017 04:30 El Laurel Mexico  0.2
08 Sep 2017 04:15 Las Guayabas Mexico  0.2
09 Sep 2017 04:45 El Naranjal Mexico  0.2
08 Sep 2017 05:15 Salinas Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2017 05:15 Buen Pais Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2017 05:15 Alvarado Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2017 05:15 Conejo Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2017 02:00 San Jose de los Leones Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2017 17:15 Buena Vista United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 03:00 El Martillo United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 03:00 Yarborough United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 16:30 Surfside Beach United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 16:30 Hoskins United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 16:30 Port Morris United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 16:30 Red Fish Cove United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 16:30 Bay Harbor United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 16:30 Sea Isle United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 16:30 Jamaica Beach United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 16:00 Hitchcock United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 16:00 Bayou Vista United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 16:00 Anderson Ways United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 16:00 Virginia Point United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 16:00 Galveston United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 01:30 El Tular Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2017 01:30 Cabo Rojito Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2017 01:30 La Pesca Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2017 15:30 Texas City Junction United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 15:30 Texas City United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 15:30 Port Bolivar United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 15:30 Fort Travis United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 01:15 Rancho Nuevo Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2017 01:15 Los Pericos Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2017 16:15 Quintana United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 16:15 Surfside United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 16:15 Mims United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 03:30 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 03:30 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 03:30 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 03:30 Mustang Beach United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 03:30 Port Aransas United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 15:45 Flake United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 15:45 Elmgrove United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 15:45 Crystal Beach United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 15:45 Patton United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 15:45 Bolivar Peninsula United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 15:45 Caplen United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 15:45 Gilchrist United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 02:30 Laguna Heights United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 02:30 Port Isabel United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 02:30 Kopernik Shores United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 02:30 South Padre Island United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 02:30 Boca Chica United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 03:30 Orange Grove United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 03:30 Peary Place United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 02:45 Anton Lizardo Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2017 01:45 Pueblo Viejo Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2017 01:45 Primero de Mayo Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2017 16:15 Gulf Park United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 16:15 Hoskins United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 16:15 Bryan Beach United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 16:15 Valasco Heights United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 16:15 Freeport United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 01:15 Rancho de Piedra Mexico  0.1
10 Sep 2017 17:30 Balantanche Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 03:30 Ingleside United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 03:30 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 03:30 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 03:30 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 03:30 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 03:30 Aransas Pass United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 08:45 Las Pozas Nicaragua  0.1
09 Sep 2017 08:45 La Chacara Nicaragua  0.1
09 Sep 2017 08:45 El Capulin Nicaragua  0.1
09 Sep 2017 08:45 Condega Honduras  0.1
09 Sep 2017 08:45 Cedeno Honduras  0.1
09 Sep 2017 08:45 Mangle Alto Nicaragua  0.1
09 Sep 2017 08:45 Albania Honduras  0.1
08 Sep 2017 16:00 High Island United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 04:15 Fraccionamiento Nuevo Leon Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2017 01:30 Tampico Alta Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 03:15 Rockport United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 03:15 Shell Ridge United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 03:15 Fulton United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 03:30 Estes United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 16:30 Chinquapin United States  0.1
10 Sep 2017 16:15 Sabine United States  0.1
10 Sep 2017 16:15 Sabine Pass United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 02:15 Ejido Guandalupe Victoria Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2017 02:15 Rancho Magueyes Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2017 02:15 El Mezquite Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2017 02:15 El Mezquital Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2017 01:30 Tepeguahe Mexico  0.1
10 Sep 2017 16:00 Johnson's Bayou United States  0.1
10 Sep 2017 16:00 Constance Beach United States  0.1
10 Sep 2017 16:00 Peveto Beach United States  0.1
10 Sep 2017 16:00 Holly Beach United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 02:00 Los Ebanos Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2017 02:00 El Porvenir Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 03:45 Port O'Connor United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 01:15 La Presita Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2017 15:45 Matagorda United States  0.1
09 Sep 2017 04:45 Vega de Alatorre Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2017 23:30 Cabeza de Vaca Guatemala  0.1
08 Sep 2017 23:30 Baranca Belize  0.1
08 Sep 2017 23:30 San Juan Guatemala  0.1
08 Sep 2017 23:30 Cocoli Guatemala  0.1
08 Sep 2017 23:30 Buena Vista Guatemala  0.1
08 Sep 2017 23:30 Livingston Guatemala  0.1
10 Sep 2017 15:45 Cameron United States  0.1
08 Sep 2017 23:30 Cattle Landing Belize  0.1
10 Sep 2017 21:30 Batey la Caimana Cuba  0.1
10 Sep 2017 21:30 Coloma Cuba  0.1
08 Sep 2017 23:30 Punta Manabique Guatemala  0.1
08 Sep 2017 23:30 Macho Creek Guatemala  0.1
08 Sep 2017 23:30 Puerto Barrios Guatemala  0.1
08 Sep 2017 23:30 Cambalache Guatemala  0.1
08 Sep 2017 23:30 Corozo Guatemala  0.1
08 Sep 2017 23:30 La Graciosa Guatemala  0.1
09 Sep 2017 02:30 La Mata Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 00:00 Machacal Guatemala  0.1
09 Sep 2017 00:00 San Francisco del Mar Guatemala  0.1
09 Sep 2017 02:30 Agua Dulce Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 22:15 Kaski Honduras  0.1
09 Sep 2017 22:15 Dapat Honduras  0.1
09 Sep 2017 22:15 Cauauira Honduras  0.1
09 Sep 2017 22:15 Tay Lirila Honduras  0.1
08 Sep 2017 02:45 Veracruz Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 22:30 Ferguson Bank Belize  0.1
09 Sep 2017 22:30 Belize City Belize  0.1
09 Sep 2017 04:30 Emilio Carranza Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 22:15 Pusuaya Honduras  0.1
09 Sep 2017 22:15 Yahurabila Honduras  0.1
09 Sep 2017 22:15 Barra de Caratasca Honduras  0.1
09 Sep 2017 22:15 Patlaya Honduras  0.1
09 Sep 2017 22:15 Uhi Honduras  0.1
09 Sep 2017 04:45 Chaparral Mexico  0.1