Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for FILIPO-24 in Mozambique, South Africa, Eswatini, Zimbabwe, Malawi from 03 Mar 2024 06:00 UTC to 14 Mar 2024 12:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for FILIPO-24

in Mozambique, South Africa, Eswatini, Zimbabwe, Malawi

Meteorological source:

WMO-RSMC La Réunion
Primary source
GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FILIPO-24 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	WMO/RSMC La Réunion - Meteo France
Glide number:	TC-2024-000032-MOZ
Exposed countries	Mozambique, South Africa, Eswatini, Zimbabwe, Malawi
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	158 km/h
Maximum storm surge	n.a.
Vulnerability	High (Mozambique)
Landfall	between 12 Mar 2024 00:00 - 12 Mar 2024 06:00 in Mozambique

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	158 km/h	n.a.	n.a.	0.5
Overall	158 km/h	0.0 m	n.a.	1.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on WMO/RSMC La Réunion - Meteo France impact

Joint Pilot Activity: EC-JRC,WMO/RSMC La Réunion-Meteo France

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Wind

158 km/h Current Max.

Up to no people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	03 Mar 2024 06:00	63	No people	No people
2	03 Mar 2024 12:00	116	3 million	No people	Madagascar
3	10 Mar 2024 06:00	63	No people	No people
4	10 Mar 2024 12:00	63	10.7 million	No people	Mozambique, Malawi
5	10 Mar 2024 18:00	127	14 million	No people	Mozambique, Zimbabwe, South Africa, Eswatini
6	11 Mar 2024 00:00	137	15 million	No people	Mozambique, Zimbabwe, South Africa, Eswatini
7	11 Mar 2024 06:00	116	19 million	No people	Mozambique, Zimbabwe, South Africa, Eswatini
8	11 Mar 2024 12:00	74	17.1 million	No people	Mozambique, Zimbabwe, South Africa, Eswatini
9	11 Mar 2024 18:00	95	18.7 million	No people	Mozambique, Zimbabwe, South Africa, Eswatini
10	12 Mar 2024 00:00	148	18.8 million	No people	Mozambique, Zimbabwe, Malawi, South Africa, Eswatini
11	12 Mar 2024 06:00	148	18.4 million	No people	Mozambique, Zimbabwe, South Africa, Malawi, Eswatini
12	12 Mar 2024 12:00	158	17.4 million	No people	Mozambique, Zimbabwe, South Africa, Eswatini, Malawi
13	12 Mar 2024 18:00	74	20.6 million	No people	Mozambique, South Africa, Eswatini, Zimbabwe, Malawi
14	13 Mar 2024 00:00	74	29.2 million	No people	Mozambique, South Africa, Eswatini, Zimbabwe, Malawi
15	13 Mar 2024 06:00	74	28.9 million	No people	Mozambique, South Africa, Eswatini, Zimbabwe, Malawi
16	13 Mar 2024 12:00	74	29.5 million	No people	Mozambique, South Africa, Eswatini, Zimbabwe, Malawi
17	13 Mar 2024 18:00	127	29 million	No people	Mozambique, South Africa, Eswatini, Zimbabwe, Malawi
18	14 Mar 2024 00:00	84	34.9 million	No people	Mozambique, South Africa, Eswatini, Zimbabwe, Malawi
19	14 Mar 2024 06:00	137	33.6 million	No people	Mozambique, South Africa, Eswatini, Zimbabwe, Malawi
20	14 Mar 2024 12:00	158	33.5 million	No people	Mozambique, South Africa, Eswatini, Zimbabwe, Malawi

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Category (WMO/RSMC) **	Max winds (km/h) (WMO/RSMC)	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	03 Mar 2024 06:00	Tropical storm	63	no people	no people	Tropical Depression	56	-11.8, 51.6
2	03 Mar 2024 12:00	Tropical storm	63	no people	no people	Tropical Depression	56	-12.3, 50.8
3	10 Mar 2024 06:00	Tropical storm	63	no people	no people	Tropical Depression	56	-20.3, 39.7
4	10 Mar 2024 12:00	Tropical storm	63	no people	10.7 million people	Tropical Depression	56	-20.1, 39.1
5	10 Mar 2024 18:00	Tropical storm	84	no people	4.4 million people	Moderate Tropical Storm	74	-20.1, 38.4
6	11 Mar 2024 00:00	Tropical storm	84	no people	4.6 million people	Moderate Tropical Storm	74	-20.1, 37.7
7	11 Mar 2024 06:00	Tropical storm	84	no people	8.1 million people	Moderate Tropical Storm	74	-20.4, 37
8	11 Mar 2024 12:00	Tropical storm	95	no people	4 million people	Moderate Tropical Storm	83	-20.4, 36.5
9	11 Mar 2024 18:00	Tropical storm	116	no people	7.7 million people	Severe Tropical Storm	102	-20.5, 36.1
10	12 Mar 2024 00:00	Tropical storm	116	no people	9.7 million people	Severe Tropical Storm	102	-21, 35.4
11	12 Mar 2024 06:00	Tropical storm	95	no people	4.6 million people	Moderate Tropical Storm	83	-21.7, 34.9	Mozambique
12	12 Mar 2024 12:00	Tropical storm	84	no people	7.9 million people	Moderate Tropical Storm	74	-23, 34.1	Mozambique
13	12 Mar 2024 18:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	11.5 million people	Moderate Tropical Storm	65	-23.9, 33.6	Mozambique
14	13 Mar 2024 00:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	20.2 million people	Moderate Tropical Storm	65	-25.1, 33.2	Mozambique
15	13 Mar 2024 06:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	12.1 million people	Moderate Tropical Storm	65	-26.1, 33	Mozambique
16	13 Mar 2024 12:00	Tropical storm	84	no people	13.2 million people	Moderate Tropical Storm	74	-26.4, 34.1
17	13 Mar 2024 18:00	Tropical storm	106	no people	1.4 million people	Severe Tropical Storm	93	-28.1, 35.3
18	14 Mar 2024 00:00	Category 1	127	no people	12.8 million people	Severe Tropical Storm	111	-29.9, 36.9
19	14 Mar 2024 06:00	Category 1	148	no people	2 million people	Tropical Cyclone	130	-31.4, 39.2
20	14 Mar 2024 12:00	Category 2	158	no people	no people	Tropical Cyclone	139	-33.1, 41.9
20	15 Mar 2024 00:00	Category 1	137	no people	no people	Tropical Cyclone	120	-35.8, 47.2
20	15 Mar 2024 12:00	Category 1	127	no people	no people	Severe Tropical Storm	111	-38, 53.5
20	16 Mar 2024 00:00	Tropical storm	106	no people	no people	Severe Tropical Storm	93	-39.6, 59.7
20	16 Mar 2024 12:00	Tropical storm	84	no people	no people	Moderate Tropical Storm	74	-41.1, 66
20	17 Mar 2024 00:00	Tropical storm	63	no people	no people	Tropical Depression	56	-42.4, 73

Tropical disturbance/Weak low pressure area/Remnant low (Vmax < 51 km/h), see WMO

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.