Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for DORIAN-19
in Canada, United States, Bahamas, Virgin Islands, U.S., British, Puerto Rico, Martinique, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Barbados, Dominican Republic, Turks and Caicos Islands, Haiti, Dominica, Guadeloupe
26 Aug 2019 09 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS NOAA
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone DORIAN-19 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Canada, United States, Bahamas, Virgin Islands, U.S., British, Puerto Rico, Martinique, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Barbados, Dominican Republic, Turks and Caicos Islands, Haiti, Dominica, Guadeloupe
    Exposed population 2.7 million in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 296 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (29 Aug 09:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Low (The Bahamas)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 120 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 296 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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    Wind

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 24 Aug 2019 15:00 139 920 thousand No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Dominica, Puerto Rico
        Green 2 24 Aug 2019 21:00 139 8.1 million No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Dominica, Guadeloupe, Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic
        Green 3 25 Aug 2019 03:00 130 8.9 million No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Dominica, Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic
        Green 4 25 Aug 2019 09:00 120 9.5 million No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Martinique, Dominican Republic
        Green 5 25 Aug 2019 15:00 120 9.3 million No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Dominican Republic, Haiti
        Orange 6 25 Aug 2019 21:00 111 11.8 million No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Dominican Republic, Haiti
        Green 7 26 Aug 2019 03:00 120 10.3 million No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic, Haiti, Bahamas
        Green 8 26 Aug 2019 09:00 120 8.6 million No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 24 Aug 2019 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 10.4, -47.9
          GREEN
          		 2 24 Aug 2019 21:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 10.7, -49.1
          GREEN
          		 3 25 Aug 2019 03:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 10.9, -50.4
          GREEN
          		 4 25 Aug 2019 09:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 11, -51.6
          GREEN
          		 5 25 Aug 2019 15:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 11.2, -52.9
          GREEN
          		 6 25 Aug 2019 21:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 11.5, -54.2
          GREEN
          		 7 26 Aug 2019 03:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 11.7, -55.3
          GREEN
          		 8 26 Aug 2019 09:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 11.9, -56.4
          GREEN
          		 8 26 Aug 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 290000 people 12.4, -58.2 Barbados
          GREEN
          		 8 27 Aug 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 320000 people 13.2, -60.3 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
          GREEN
          		 8 27 Aug 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 14.4, -62.4
          GREEN
          		 8 28 Aug 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 770000 people 15.5, -64.5 Dominican Republic
          GREEN
          		 8 29 Aug 2019 06:00 Category 1 120 no people 7.9 million people 18, -68.4 Dominican Republic
          GREEN
          		 8 30 Aug 2019 06:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 20.8, -71.6 Dominican Republic
          GREEN
          		 8 31 Aug 2019 06:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 23, -75 Bahamas
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          0.4 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in El Algibe, Dominican Republic. This height is estimated for 29 Aug 2019 09:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (41 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 8 of 26 Aug 2019 09:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          29 Aug 2019 09:00 El Algibe Dominican Republic  0.4
          29 Aug 2019 16:00 Sanchez Dominican Republic  0.3
          29 Aug 2019 07:00 Mano Juan Dominican Republic  0.2
          29 Aug 2019 09:00 Bahahibe Dominican Republic  0.2
          29 Aug 2019 09:00 La Palmilla Dominican Republic  0.2
          29 Aug 2019 10:00 La Romana Dominican Republic  0.2
          27 Aug 2019 04:00 Holetown Barbados  0.2
          27 Aug 2019 04:00 Bridgetown Barbados  0.2
          27 Aug 2019 04:00 Speightstown Barbados  0.2
          27 Aug 2019 04:00 Mullins Bay Barbados  0.2
          27 Aug 2019 01:00 Saint Lawrence Gap Barbados  0.2
          27 Aug 2019 01:00 Oistins Barbados  0.2
          27 Aug 2019 01:00 Gibbons Barbados  0.2
          27 Aug 2019 11:00 Anbre St. Lucia  0.2
          27 Aug 2019 11:00 Bosquet d'Or St. Lucia  0.2
          29 Aug 2019 08:00 Boca de Yuma Dominican Republic  0.2
          27 Aug 2019 02:00 Sam Lord's Castle Barbados  0.2
          27 Aug 2019 03:00 Collins Barbados  0.2
          27 Aug 2019 03:00 Bathsheba Barbados  0.2
          27 Aug 2019 10:00 Vieux Fort St. Lucia  0.2
          27 Aug 2019 10:00 Fancy St. Vincent and the Grenadines  0.2
          27 Aug 2019 11:00 Soufriere St. Lucia  0.2
          29 Aug 2019 11:00 Cumayasa Dominican Republic  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 17:00 Nagua Dominican Republic  0.1
          27 Aug 2019 12:00 Castries St. Lucia  0.1
          27 Aug 2019 12:00 Cap Estate St. Lucia  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 08:00 El Cabo Dominican Republic  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 15:00 Los Robalos Dominican Republic  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 12:00 El Soco Dominican Republic  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 21:00 Sabaneta de Yasica Dominican Republic  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 22:00 Puerto Plata Dominican Republic  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 19:00 Magante Dominican Republic  0.1
          27 Aug 2019 10:00 Georgetown St. Vincent and the Grenadines  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 22:00 Sosua Dominican Republic  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 20:00 Rio San Juan Dominican Republic  0.1
          26 Aug 2019 18:00 Macapa Brazil  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 01:00 Rojo Cabo Puerto Rico  0.1
          26 Aug 2019 17:00 Foz do Macacoari Brazil  0.1
          26 Aug 2019 17:00 Santa Julia do Jurupari Brazil  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 09:00 Punta Cabo Dominican Republic  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 15:00 Abra Grande Dominican Republic  0.1