Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for DORIAN-19
in Canada, United States, Bahamas, Virgin Islands, U.S., British, Puerto Rico, Martinique, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Barbados, Dominican Republic, Turks and Caicos Islands, Haiti, Dominica, Guadeloupe
27 Aug 2019 03 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS NOAA
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone DORIAN-19 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Canada, United States, Bahamas, Virgin Islands, U.S., British, Puerto Rico, Martinique, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Barbados, Dominican Republic, Turks and Caicos Islands, Haiti, Dominica, Guadeloupe
    Exposed population 2.7 million in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 296 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (29 Aug 05:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Low (The Bahamas)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 120 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 1.5
    Overall 296 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 1.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

    TOP

    Wind

      120 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 330000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 24 Aug 2019 15:00 139 920 thousand No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Dominica, Puerto Rico
        Green 2 24 Aug 2019 21:00 139 8.1 million No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Dominica, Guadeloupe, Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic
        Green 3 25 Aug 2019 03:00 130 8.9 million No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Dominica, Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic
        Green 4 25 Aug 2019 09:00 120 9.5 million No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Martinique, Dominican Republic
        Green 5 25 Aug 2019 15:00 120 9.3 million No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Dominican Republic, Haiti
        Orange 6 25 Aug 2019 21:00 111 11.8 million No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Dominican Republic, Haiti
        Green 7 26 Aug 2019 03:00 120 10.3 million No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic, Haiti, Bahamas
        Green 8 26 Aug 2019 09:00 120 8.6 million No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic
        Orange 9 26 Aug 2019 15:00 130 10.5 million 650 thousand Dominican Republic
        Orange 10 26 Aug 2019 21:00 130 8.7 million 390 thousand Dominican Republic
        Orange 11 27 Aug 2019 03:00 120 9.9 million 330 thousand Dominican Republic

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 24 Aug 2019 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 10.4, -47.9
          GREEN
          		 2 24 Aug 2019 21:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 10.7, -49.1
          GREEN
          		 3 25 Aug 2019 03:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 10.9, -50.4
          GREEN
          		 4 25 Aug 2019 09:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 11, -51.6
          GREEN
          		 5 25 Aug 2019 15:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 11.2, -52.9
          GREEN
          		 6 25 Aug 2019 21:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 11.5, -54.2
          GREEN
          		 7 26 Aug 2019 03:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 11.7, -55.3
          GREEN
          		 8 26 Aug 2019 09:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 11.9, -56.4
          GREEN
          		 9 26 Aug 2019 15:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 290000 people 12.3, -57.7 Barbados
          GREEN
          		 10 26 Aug 2019 21:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 370000 people 12.7, -58.8 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
          GREEN
          		 11 27 Aug 2019 03:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 680000 people 13.2, -59.7 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
          GREEN
          		 11 27 Aug 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 380000 people 14, -61.3 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
          GREEN
          		 11 28 Aug 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 15.2, -63.5
          GREEN
          		 11 28 Aug 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 1.4 million people 16.5, -65.5 Dominican Republic
          ORANGE
          		 11 29 Aug 2019 00:00 Category 1 120 330000 people 5.5 million people 17.9, -67.6 Dominican Republic
          GREEN
          		 11 30 Aug 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 93000 people 21, -71 Turks and Caicos Islands
          GREEN
          		 11 31 Aug 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 3.3 million people 24, -74.8 United States
          GREEN
          		 11 01 Sep 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 26.5, -79 Bahamas
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Dominican Republic

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          La Altagracia Dominican Republic
          El Seibo Dominican Republic
          Samana Dominican Republic

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          Higüey La Altagracia Dominican Republic City 66000 people

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Punta Cana PUJ 9 Civ. Paved Yes 10100

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Mona Island PROIS Puerto Rico
          Cape Engano Dominican Republic
          Santa Barbara de Samana Dominican Republic
          TOP

          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

          TOP

          StormSurge

          0.4 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Cabo Engano, Dominican Republic. This height is estimated for 29 Aug 2019 05:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (145 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 11 of 27 Aug 2019 03:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          29 Aug 2019 05:00 Cabo Engano Dominican Republic  0.4
          29 Aug 2019 06:00 Bavaro Dominican Republic  0.3
          29 Aug 2019 07:00 La Vacama Dominican Republic  0.3
          29 Aug 2019 11:00 El Valle Dominican Republic  0.3
          28 Aug 2019 23:00 Rojo Cabo Puerto Rico  0.3
          28 Aug 2019 23:00 Pole Ojea Puerto Rico  0.3
          28 Aug 2019 23:00 El Combate Puerto Rico  0.3
          29 Aug 2019 05:00 Punta Cabo Dominican Republic  0.3
          29 Aug 2019 07:00 El Macao Dominican Republic  0.3
          29 Aug 2019 08:00 Las Lisas Dominican Republic  0.3
          28 Aug 2019 23:00 Guaniquilla Puerto Rico  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 23:00 Cabo Rojo Puerto Rico  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 23:00 Guanabana Puerto Rico  0.2
          30 Aug 2019 23:00 Victoria Hill The Bahamas  0.2
          29 Aug 2019 12:00 Los Robalos Dominican Republic  0.2
          29 Aug 2019 12:00 Samana Dominican Republic  0.2
          31 Aug 2019 03:00 Bailey Town The Bahamas  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 23:00 Maguayo Puerto Rico  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 23:00 Finca Juanita Puerto Rico  0.2
          29 Aug 2019 10:00 Miches Dominican Republic  0.2
          30 Aug 2019 13:00 Betsy Bay The Bahamas  0.2
          30 Aug 2019 13:00 Pirates Well The Bahamas  0.2
          31 Aug 2019 00:00 Dixons The Bahamas  0.2
          31 Aug 2019 00:00 Port Nelson The Bahamas  0.2
          30 Aug 2019 05:00 Cockburn Harbor Turks and Caicos Islands  0.2
          30 Aug 2019 05:00 Conch Bar Turks and Caicos Islands  0.2
          30 Aug 2019 05:00 Lorimers Turks and Caicos Islands  0.2
          30 Aug 2019 06:00 Kew Turks and Caicos Islands  0.2
          30 Aug 2019 06:00 Bottle Creek Turks and Caicos Islands  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 23:00 Boqueron Puerto Rico  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 23:00 Betances Puerto Rico  0.2
          30 Aug 2019 01:00 Balfour Town Turks and Caicos Islands  0.2
          30 Aug 2019 03:00 Cockburn Town Turks and Caicos Islands  0.2
          30 Aug 2019 08:00 Five Cays Settlements Turks and Caicos Islands  0.2
          30 Aug 2019 12:00 Abrahams Bay The Bahamas  0.2
          31 Aug 2019 03:00 Smith Town The Bahamas  0.2
          31 Aug 2019 03:00 The Bight The Bahamas  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 22:00 Maria Antonia Puerto Rico  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 22:00 Balneario de Cana Gorda Puerto Rico  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 22:00 Campamento Borinquen Puerto Rico  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 22:00 Media Quijada Puerto Rico  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 22:00 Indios Puerto Rico  0.2
          29 Aug 2019 11:00 Arroyo del Cabo Dominican Republic  0.2
          29 Aug 2019 11:00 Balandra Dominican Republic  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 23:00 La Parguera Puerto Rico  0.2
          29 Aug 2019 00:00 Brisas de Mal Puerto Rico  0.2
          29 Aug 2019 00:00 Cerrillos Puerto Rico  0.2
          29 Aug 2019 00:00 Cuesta de las Piedras Puerto Rico  0.2
          29 Aug 2019 00:00 Villa Benni Puerto Rico  0.2
          31 Aug 2019 03:00 Devil's Point The Bahamas  0.2
          31 Aug 2019 03:00 Cove Settlement The Bahamas  0.2
          29 Aug 2019 09:00 Capitan Dominican Republic  0.2
          27 Aug 2019 11:00 Soufriere St. Lucia  0.2
          29 Aug 2019 11:00 Abra Grande Dominican Republic  0.2
          29 Aug 2019 13:00 Sanchez Dominican Republic  0.2
          29 Aug 2019 15:00 Arroyo Salado Dominican Republic  0.2
          27 Aug 2019 04:00 Saint Lawrence Gap Barbados  0.2
          27 Aug 2019 04:00 Oistins Barbados  0.2
          27 Aug 2019 04:00 Gibbons Barbados  0.2
          27 Aug 2019 01:00 Sam Lord's Castle Barbados  0.2
          27 Aug 2019 04:00 Holetown Barbados  0.2
          27 Aug 2019 04:00 Bridgetown Barbados  0.2
          27 Aug 2019 04:00 Collins Barbados  0.2
          27 Aug 2019 04:00 Bathsheba Barbados  0.2
          27 Aug 2019 04:00 Speightstown Barbados  0.2
          27 Aug 2019 04:00 Mullins Bay Barbados  0.2
          27 Aug 2019 11:00 Castries St. Lucia  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Tuque Puerto Rico  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Amalia Marin Puerto Rico  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 23:00 El Tumbao Puerto Rico  0.2
          31 Aug 2019 03:00 Thurston Hill The Bahamas  0.2
          27 Aug 2019 10:00 Vieux Fort St. Lucia  0.1
          27 Aug 2019 10:00 Anbre St. Lucia  0.1
          27 Aug 2019 10:00 Bosquet d'Or St. Lucia  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 05:00 El Cabo Dominican Republic  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Salinas Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Las Ollas Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 04:00 El Algibe Dominican Republic  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 22:00 Tallaboa Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 22:00 Santa Cruz Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 22:00 Cambalache Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 22:00 El Faro Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 22:00 Guaypao Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 01:00 Centro Puntas Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 01:00 Rincon Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 01:00 Matias Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 00:00 Malecon Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 00:00 Mayagnez Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 00:00 Colonia Dolores Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 00:00 La Soledad Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 00:00 Ponce de Leon Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 15:00 Abreu Dominican Republic  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 15:00 El Higo de las Tres Piernas Dominican Republic  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 16:00 Magante Dominican Republic  0.1
          30 Aug 2019 17:00 Chesters The Bahamas  0.1
          27 Aug 2019 11:00 Cap Estate St. Lucia  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 22:00 Quinta Esperanza Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 22:00 Buyones Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 14:00 Nagua Dominican Republic  0.1
          30 Aug 2019 08:00 Yankee Town Turks and Caicos Islands  0.1
          30 Aug 2019 16:00 Anderson The Bahamas  0.1
          31 Aug 2019 03:00 William's Town The Bahamas  0.1
          31 Aug 2019 03:00 Forbes Hill The Bahamas  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 22:00 Ensenada Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 22:00 Fuig Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 22:00 Guanica Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Boca Chica Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 02:00 Belvedere Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 22:00 Guayanilla Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 22:00 Magas Arriba Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 03:00 Centro Calvache Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 03:00 La Tosca Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 03:00 La Playa Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 03:00 Mani Puerto Rico  0.1
          30 Aug 2019 17:00 Browns The Bahamas  0.1
          27 Aug 2019 23:00 Foz do Macacoari Brazil  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 22:00 Santa Isabel Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Pastillo Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 22:00 Bizarreta Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 22:00 Playita Cortada Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Jauca Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Capitanejo Puerto Rico  0.1
          27 Aug 2019 03:00 San Fernando Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 03:00 Conde Avila Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 03:00 Cornelia Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 03:00 Delicias Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 03:00 Guanajibo Castillo Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 01:00 Aguada Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 01:00 Las Corozas Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 01:00 Coloso Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 16:00 Rio San Juan Dominican Republic  0.1
          30 Aug 2019 16:00 Snug Corner The Bahamas  0.1
          30 Aug 2019 18:00 Moss Town The Bahamas  0.1
          31 Aug 2019 03:00 George Town The Bahamas  0.1
          31 Aug 2019 03:00 Alexander The Bahamas  0.1
          31 Aug 2019 03:00 Rolleville The Bahamas  0.1
          31 Aug 2019 03:00 Stevenston The Bahamas  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Las Ochenta Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Clausells Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Ponce Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Altavista Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Calzada Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 08:00 Sabana de la Mar Dominican Republic  0.1
          27 Aug 2019 23:00 Macapa Brazil  0.1
          27 Aug 2019 23:00 Santa Julia do Jurupari Brazil  0.1