Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for FRANCISCO-19
in , Japan, Korea, Republic of, Democratic People's Republic of, Russian Federation

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FRANCISCO-19 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries , Japan, Korea, Republic of, Democratic People's Republic of, Russian Federation
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 139 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.8 m (06 Aug 01:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 157 km/h 0.8 m n.a. 0.5
Overall 139 km/h 0.8 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

157 km/h Current Max.

Up to 3.5 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 01 Aug 2019 18:00 130 27.3 million 2.7 million Japan
Green 2 02 Aug 2019 00:00 157 34.1 million 2.9 million Japan
Green 3 02 Aug 2019 06:00 157 34.4 million 2.4 million Japan, Korea, Republic of
Green 4 02 Aug 2019 12:00 157 19.3 million 3.5 million Japan, Korea, Republic of

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 01 Aug 2019 18:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 19.5, 153.3
GREEN
2 02 Aug 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 20, 152.7
GREEN
3 02 Aug 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 20.9, 151.9
GREEN
4 02 Aug 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 21.7, 151.2
GREEN
4 03 Aug 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 23.5, 149.1
GREEN
4 03 Aug 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 2200 people 25, 146.6
GREEN
4 04 Aug 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 2300 people 26.5, 143.7
GREEN
4 04 Aug 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 1700 people 27.9, 140.5
GREEN
4 05 Aug 2019 12:00 Category 2 157 2.4 million people 12.4 million people 30.5, 134.1 Japan
GREEN
4 06 Aug 2019 12:00 Category 1 130 1.2 million people 14.9 million people 32.8, 129.3 Korea, Republic of
GREEN
4 07 Aug 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 35.8, 125.6 Korea, Republic of
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Japan
South Korea

Provinces

Region Province Country
Kyushu Japan
Cholla-namdo Korea, Republic of
Cholla-bukto Korea, Republic of
Kwangju-jikhalsi Korea, Republic of

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Jogasaki Miyazaki Japan City -
Miyazaki Miyazaki Japan Major city 310000 people
Takanabe Miyazaki Japan City 22000 people
Shibushi Kagoshima Japan City 18000 people
Tsuma Miyazaki Japan City -
Takaoka Miyazaki Japan City -
Miyakonojo Miyazaki Japan City 130000 people
Sueyoshi Kagoshima Japan City 20000 people
Kokubu Kagoshima Japan City 58000 people
Naka-harada Miyazaki Japan City -
Kajiki Kagoshima Japan City 23000 people
Kamo Kagoshima Japan City -
Hitoyoshi Kumamoto Japan City 38000 people
Yatsushiro Kumamoto Japan City 100000 people
Nagasaki Nagasaki Japan Major city 410000 people
Nomo Nagasaki Japan City -
Naju Chollanam-Do Republic of Korea City 42000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Miyazaki KMI 6 Civ. Paved Yes 8200
Nyutabaru 79 Mil. Paved Yes 8800
Kagoshima KOJ 276 Civ. Paved Yes 9800
Amakusa 103 0
Naegi Ri Highway Strip 13 0
Kwangju KWJ 13 Mil. Paved Yes 9300
R 712 9 0

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Aburatsu JPABU Japan
Uchiumi Japan
Miyazaki JPKMI Japan
Yatsushiro Japan
Minamata JPMIN Japan
Kojiro Japan
Misumi JPMIS Japan
Naga Island Japan
Ushibuka Japan
Kuchinotsu JPKUC Japan
Mogi Japan
Nagasaki JPNGS Japan
Ha Shima Japan
Matsushima JPMAT Japan
Sakito JPSTO Japan
Aokata Japan
Goto Island Japan

Dams

Reservoir Dam Name River Year
Sakataniko Nichinan Sakatanigawa 1984
Oyodogawadaini Oyodogawadaini Oyodogawa 1932
Tachibana Tachibana Jarogawa 1963
Hitotsuse Hitotsuse Hitotsusegawa 1963
Oyodogawadaiichi Oyodogawadaiichi Oyodogawa 1961
Nojiriko Iwase Iwasegawa 1967
Onoko Ayaminami Honjogawa 1958
Ichifusa Ichifusa Kumagawa 1959
Takeyama Takeyama Usonokigawa 1986
Uchitani Uchitani Itsukiogawa 1975
Otsuruko Tsuruda Sendaigawa 1965
Kogawa Kogawa Kogawa 1973
Kyoragi Kyoragi Iwaiguchigawa 1975
Oshidorinoike Bessho Chijiwagawa 1968
Ogakura Ogakura Ogakuragawa 1974
Urakamisuigenchi Urakami Oidegawa 2001
Narumi Narumi Futamatagawa 1991
Konoura Konoura Konouragawa 1969
Samjung Trib. Samjung 1985

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.8 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.8m in Oryuzako, Japan. This height is estimated for 06 Aug 2019 01:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (215 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 4 of 02 Aug 2019 12:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
06 Aug 2019 01:00 Oryuzako Japan  0.8
06 Aug 2019 01:00 Miyazaki Japan  0.7
06 Aug 2019 01:00 Kisaki Japan  0.7
06 Aug 2019 01:00 Niinauri Japan  0.6
06 Aug 2019 01:00 Tachibandori Japan  0.6
06 Aug 2019 01:00 Udo Japan  0.6
06 Aug 2019 10:00 Fukahori Japan  0.5
06 Aug 2019 01:00 Haruguchi Japan  0.5
06 Aug 2019 10:00 Nomo Japan  0.5
06 Aug 2019 10:00 Wakimisaki Japan  0.5
06 Aug 2019 10:00 Mogi Japan  0.5
06 Aug 2019 07:00 Goryo Japan  0.5
06 Aug 2019 10:00 Mieda Japan  0.4
06 Aug 2019 09:00 Hizen Nagana Japan  0.4
06 Aug 2019 02:00 Takanabe Japan  0.4
06 Aug 2019 02:00 Uwae Japan  0.4
06 Aug 2019 01:00 Shimo-Tashima Japan  0.4
06 Aug 2019 10:00 Yuki Japan  0.4
06 Aug 2019 08:00 Kawachi Japan  0.4
06 Aug 2019 11:00 Suminoe Japan  0.4
06 Aug 2019 11:00 Katagami Japan  0.4
06 Aug 2019 08:00 Shimo-jima Japan  0.4
06 Aug 2019 07:00 Kanda Japan  0.4
06 Aug 2019 07:00 Tsunemi Japan  0.4
06 Aug 2019 08:00 Kita-gone Japan  0.4
06 Aug 2019 07:00 Hondo Japan  0.3
06 Aug 2019 12:00 Aokata Japan  0.3
06 Aug 2019 12:00 Naname Japan  0.3
06 Aug 2019 12:00 Tainoura Japan  0.3
06 Aug 2019 12:00 Ota Japan  0.3
06 Aug 2019 09:00 Kita Japan  0.3
06 Aug 2019 08:00 Hikichi Japan  0.3
06 Aug 2019 07:00 Yukuhashi Japan  0.3
06 Aug 2019 08:00 Chofu Japan  0.3
06 Aug 2019 11:00 Kashima Japan  0.3
06 Aug 2019 08:00 Shimonoseki Japan  0.3
06 Aug 2019 08:00 Moji Japan  0.3
06 Aug 2019 10:00 Hakuto Japan  0.3
06 Aug 2019 10:00 Chijiwa Japan  0.3
06 Aug 2019 08:00 Kagawa Japan  0.3
06 Aug 2019 08:00 Tabe Japan  0.3
06 Aug 2019 10:00 Obama Japan  0.3
06 Aug 2019 09:00 Tomioka Japan  0.3
06 Aug 2019 09:00 Yue Japan  0.3
06 Aug 2019 09:00 Isahaya Japan  0.3
06 Aug 2019 09:00 Conagai Japan  0.3
06 Aug 2019 02:00 Tsuno Japan  0.3
06 Aug 2019 06:00 Buzen Japan  0.3
06 Aug 2019 10:00 Kuchinotsu Japan  0.3
06 Aug 2019 12:00 Kamanoura Japan  0.3
06 Aug 2019 12:00 Kashinoura Japan  0.3
06 Aug 2019 12:00 Yukinoura Japan  0.3
06 Aug 2019 01:00 Aburatsu Japan  0.3
06 Aug 2019 07:00 Yasuoka Japan  0.3
06 Aug 2019 07:00 Habu Japan  0.3
06 Aug 2019 08:00 Sakitsu Japan  0.3
06 Aug 2019 08:00 Oniki Japan  0.3
06 Aug 2019 07:00 Kogushi Japan  0.3
04 Aug 2019 05:00 Omura Japan  0.3
04 Aug 2019 05:00 Ogigaura Japan  0.3
04 Aug 2019 05:00 Sakaiura Japan  0.3
06 Aug 2019 02:00 Mimitsu Japan  0.3
06 Aug 2019 10:00 Hama Japan  0.3
06 Aug 2019 07:00 Tajiri Japan  0.3
06 Aug 2019 08:00 Ushibuka Japan  0.3
06 Aug 2019 08:00 Kuranomoto Japan  0.3
06 Aug 2019 07:00 Wakimoto Japan  0.3
06 Aug 2019 08:00 Kutama Japan  0.3
06 Aug 2019 07:00 Shiida Japan  0.3
06 Aug 2019 08:00 Naga-shima Japan  0.3
06 Aug 2019 07:00 Kita-kyushu Japan  0.3
06 Aug 2019 10:00 Futae Japan  0.2
06 Aug 2019 12:00 Narao Japan  0.2
06 Aug 2019 12:00 Iwaseura Japan  0.2
06 Aug 2019 06:00 Higashiyoshitomi Japan  0.2
06 Aug 2019 06:00 Nakatsu Japan  0.2
06 Aug 2019 00:00 Meitsu Japan  0.2
06 Aug 2019 07:00 Akune Japan  0.2
06 Aug 2019 06:00 Imazu Japan  0.2
06 Aug 2019 03:00 Taina Japan  0.2
06 Aug 2019 11:00 Shikimi Japan  0.2
06 Aug 2019 12:00 Konoura Japan  0.2
06 Aug 2019 12:00 Fuefuki Japan  0.2
06 Aug 2019 07:00 Ube Japan  0.2
06 Aug 2019 07:00 Tokonami Japan  0.2
06 Aug 2019 07:00 Ogori Japan  0.2
06 Aug 2019 07:00 Ushinohama Japan  0.2
06 Aug 2019 07:00 Uko Japan  0.2
06 Aug 2019 08:00 Shiomi Japan  0.2
06 Aug 2019 07:00 Kurosaki Japan  0.2
06 Aug 2019 12:00 Setaka Japan  0.2
06 Aug 2019 12:00 Omuta Japan  0.2
06 Aug 2019 12:00 Liral Japan  0.2
06 Aug 2019 12:00 Naguchi Japan  0.2
06 Aug 2019 12:00 Nakasatookamen Japan  0.2
06 Aug 2019 07:00 Ajisu Japan  0.2
06 Aug 2019 05:00 Nagasu Japan  0.2
06 Aug 2019 08:00 Shimogo Japan  0.2
06 Aug 2019 08:00 Tara Japan  0.2
06 Aug 2019 08:00 Urada Japan  0.2
06 Aug 2019 08:00 Oe Japan  0.2
06 Aug 2019 08:00 Arie Japan  0.2
06 Aug 2019 02:00 Honjo Japan  0.2
06 Aug 2019 05:00 Hashitsu Japan  0.2
06 Aug 2019 08:00 Aioura Japan  0.2
06 Aug 2019 06:00 Kushikino Japan  0.2
06 Aug 2019 05:00 Hioki Japan  0.2
06 Aug 2019 05:00 Yoshitoshi Japan  0.2
06 Aug 2019 12:00 Ashinoura Japan  0.2
06 Aug 2019 12:00 Nakiri Japan  0.2
06 Aug 2019 03:00 Nobeoka Japan  0.2
06 Aug 2019 04:00 Kaseda Japan  0.2
06 Aug 2019 04:00 Izaku Japan  0.2
06 Aug 2019 08:00 Nodago Japan  0.2
06 Aug 2019 08:00 Takaono Japan  0.2
06 Aug 2019 08:00 Daido Japan  0.2
06 Aug 2019 07:00 Teuchi Japan  0.2
06 Aug 2019 07:00 Imuta Japan  0.2
06 Aug 2019 07:00 Taira Japan  0.2
06 Aug 2019 07:00 Fukugawa Japan  0.2
06 Aug 2019 07:00 Tonda Japan  0.2
06 Aug 2019 11:00 Nagasaki Japan  0.2
06 Aug 2019 12:00 Fukue Japan  0.2
06 Aug 2019 05:00 Komenotsu Japan  0.2
06 Aug 2019 06:00 Takada Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 06:00 Bungo-Takada Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 07:00 Takedatsu Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 02:00 Kadogawa Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 05:00 Kitsuki Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 07:00 Kojiro Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 12:00 Kakinoura Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 00:00 Miyanoura Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 07:00 Taketazu Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 09:00 Hofu Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 07:00 Toiyaguchi Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 05:00 Aki Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 05:00 Tsurusaki Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 07:00 Sato Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 06:00 Tsuchigawa Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 06:00 Matsuomachi Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 12:00 Funamawari Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 02:00 Miyanoura Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 05:00 Tayooka Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 03:00 Shibushi Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 05:00 Fumoto Japan  0.1
04 Aug 2019 05:00 Oki Japan  0.1
04 Aug 2019 05:00 Hyogidaira Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 05:00 Beppu Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 05:00 Oita Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 07:00 Imi Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 07:00 Naka-koshiki Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 12:00 Okawa Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 09:00 Kareki Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 05:00 Shimabara Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 05:00 Arao Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 09:00 Tamana Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 07:00 Tonomi Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 12:00 Konoura Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 12:00 Taira Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 12:00 Tokuman Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 12:00 Ichibuura Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 05:00 Tarumizu Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 06:00 Kagoshima Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 05:00 Yuno Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 06:00 Oura Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 06:00 Tomiku Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 07:00 Furuichi Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 07:00 Tsurukawa Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 05:00 Oura Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 08:00 Tokuyama Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 07:00 Oura Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 07:00 Yodai Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 07:00 Tabuse Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 12:00 Aoki Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 12:00 Maetsuyoshi Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 05:00 Furue Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 07:00 Taniyama Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 05:00 Sakanoichi Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 05:00 Usuki Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 05:00 Sashioi Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 05:00 Uwaura Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 05:00 Saganoseki Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 08:00 Kuwanoura Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 07:00 Funatsu Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 07:00 Tairamachi Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 05:00 Nagasu Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 07:00 Kasado Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 07:00 Kudamatsu Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 07:00 Murozumi Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 08:00 Saga Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 12:00 Tashiro Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 12:00 Sasebo Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 12:00 Tomie Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 12:00 Arakawa Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 05:00 Ibusuki Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 05:00 O-nejime Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 05:00 Kiire Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 08:00 Nakatsuwara Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 08:00 Fuju Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 08:00 Aogi Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 08:00 Midoro Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 08:00 Tsuzu Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 08:00 Tsutsu Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 08:00 Yu Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 08:00 Otake Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 08:00 Waki Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 08:00 Imazu Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 08:00 Atada Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 08:00 Kuba Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 08:00 Shioya Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 08:00 Hama Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 09:00 Jigozen Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 09:00 Hatsukaichi Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 09:00 Nakaji Japan  0.1
06 Aug 2019 09:00 Itsukaichi Japan  0.1