Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for KENNETH-19
in , Mozambique, Comoros
25 Apr 2019 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone KENNETH-19 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries , Mozambique, Comoros
    Exposed population 260 thousand in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 231 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 1 m (25 Apr 16:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability --

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 139 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 231 km/h 1.0 m n.a. 2.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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    Wind

      139 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 360000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Orange 1 23 Apr 2019 00:00 130 2.5 million 420 thousand Comoros, Mozambique
        Orange 2 23 Apr 2019 06:00 167 3.8 million 310 thousand Comoros, Mozambique
        Orange 3 23 Apr 2019 12:00 148 2.4 million 260 thousand Comoros, Mozambique
        Red 4 23 Apr 2019 18:00 194 1.6 million 130 thousand Comoros, Mozambique
        Orange 5 24 Apr 2019 00:00 167 2.7 million 280 thousand Comoros, Mozambique
        Orange 6 24 Apr 2019 06:00 194 2.6 million 280 thousand Comoros, Mozambique
        Orange 7 24 Apr 2019 12:00 148 3 million 400 thousand Comoros, Mozambique
        Red 8 24 Apr 2019 18:00 204 3 million 460 thousand Comoros, Mozambique
        Orange 9 25 Apr 2019 00:00 204 1.6 million 320 thousand Comoros, Mozambique
        Red 10 25 Apr 2019 06:00 204 3.3 million 460 thousand Mozambique, Comoros
        Red 11 25 Apr 2019 12:00 222 4.7 million 490 thousand Mozambique, Comoros
        Green 12 25 Apr 2019 18:00 139 4.7 million 360 thousand

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 23 Apr 2019 00:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people -10, 50.7
          GREEN
          		 2 23 Apr 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people <1000 people -10.3, 49.9 Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
          GREEN
          		 3 23 Apr 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 5700 people -10.6, 48.8 Madagascar
          GREEN
          		 4 23 Apr 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 190000 people -10.7, 47.8 Comoros
          GREEN
          		 5 24 Apr 2019 00:00 Category 1 120 no people 980000 people -10.7, 46.6 Comoros
          ORANGE
          		 6 24 Apr 2019 06:00 Category 1 130 93000 people 840000 people -10.9, 45.7 Comoros
          ORANGE
          		 7 24 Apr 2019 12:00 Category 1 139 280000 people 1.1 million people -11.1, 44.4 Comoros
          RED
          		 8 24 Apr 2019 18:00 Category 3 185 260000 people 2.3 million people -11.2, 43.3 Comoros
          GREEN
          		 9 25 Apr 2019 00:00 Category 4 213 no people 970000 people -11.3, 42.7 Mozambique
          ORANGE
          		 10 25 Apr 2019 06:00 Category 4 231 43000 people 2.5 million people -11.6, 41.8 Mozambique
          RED
          		 11 25 Apr 2019 12:00 Category 4 222 230000 people 3.7 million people -12.1, 40.8 Mozambique
          GREEN
          		 12 25 Apr 2019 18:00 Category 1 139 72000 people 3.2 million people -12.3, 40.1 Mozambique
          GREEN
          		 12 26 Apr 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 1.7 million people -12.5, 39.2 Mozambique
          GREEN
          		 12 26 Apr 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 560000 people -12.8, 38.7 Mozambique
          GREEN
          		 12 27 Apr 2019 06:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people -13, 38.5 Mozambique
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Mozambique
          Comoros

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Cabo Delgado Mozambique
          Comoros Comoros

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          Moroni Comoros Capital 43000 people

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Ibo IBO unknown 0
          Moroni Hahaia HAH 27 Civ. Paved Yes 9500

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Ibo MZIBO Mozambique
          Moroni KMYVA Comoros

          Dams

          Reservoir Dam Name River Year
          Chipembe Montepuez 1985
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          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          1 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  1.0m in Ibo, Mozambique. This height is estimated for 25 Apr 2019 16:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (72 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 12 of 25 Apr 2019 18:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          25 Apr 2019 16:00 Ibo Mozambique  1.0
          25 Apr 2019 15:00 Tavari Mozambique  0.7
          25 Apr 2019 13:00 Mucojo Mozambique  0.6
          25 Apr 2019 13:00 Ingoane Mozambique  0.6
          25 Apr 2019 13:00 Mipande Mozambique  0.6
          25 Apr 2019 13:00 Foque Mozambique  0.6
          25 Apr 2019 12:00 Pangome Mozambique  0.5
          25 Apr 2019 12:00 Abdala Mozambique  0.5
          25 Apr 2019 12:00 Maate Mozambique  0.5
          25 Apr 2019 12:00 Quissanga Mozambique  0.5
          25 Apr 2019 13:00 Pangane Mozambique  0.5
          25 Apr 2019 16:00 Arimba Mozambique  0.4
          24 Apr 2019 17:00 Chezani Comoros  0.3
          24 Apr 2019 17:00 Ifoundihe Comoros  0.2
          25 Apr 2019 12:00 Lucete Mozambique  0.2
          25 Apr 2019 20:00 Metuge Mozambique  0.2
          25 Apr 2019 15:00 Mussange Mozambique  0.2
          23 Apr 2019 08:00 Voloina Madagascar  0.2
          23 Apr 2019 08:00 Manambia Madagascar  0.2
          23 Apr 2019 08:00 Anantoraka Madagascar  0.2
          25 Apr 2019 13:00 Luguni Mozambique  0.2
          24 Apr 2019 19:00 Domoni Comoros  0.2
          25 Apr 2019 19:00 Quiterajo Mozambique  0.2
          23 Apr 2019 08:00 Maroantsetra Madagascar  0.2
          25 Apr 2019 07:00 Palma Mozambique  0.2
          25 Apr 2019 07:00 Bawala Mozambique  0.2
          25 Apr 2019 07:00 Olumbe Mozambique  0.2
          25 Apr 2019 07:00 Boala Mozambique  0.2
          25 Apr 2019 07:00 Maganja Mozambique  0.2
          25 Apr 2019 07:00 Quiwia Mozambique  0.2
          25 Apr 2019 15:00 Acache Mozambique  0.2
          25 Apr 2019 16:00 Nangata Mozambique  0.2
          23 Apr 2019 08:00 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.2
          25 Apr 2019 10:00 Vila de Mocimboa da Praia Mozambique  0.2
          25 Apr 2019 10:00 Libambai Mozambique  0.2
          25 Apr 2019 10:00 Meronvi Mozambique  0.2
          25 Apr 2019 10:00 Quissengue Mozambique  0.2
          25 Apr 2019 10:00 Marere Mozambique  0.2
          25 Apr 2019 18:00 Macalopa Mozambique  0.2
          25 Apr 2019 16:00 Msimbati Tanzania  0.2
          23 Apr 2019 08:00 Rantabe Madagascar  0.1
          25 Apr 2019 20:00 Porto Amelia Mozambique  0.1
          25 Apr 2019 17:00 Ombauine Mozambique  0.1
          23 Apr 2019 08:00 Mahalevona Madagascar  0.1
          24 Apr 2019 17:00 Combani Comoros  0.1
          23 Apr 2019 08:00 Maintimbato Madagascar  0.1
          24 Apr 2019 19:00 Vanamboini Comoros  0.1
          25 Apr 2019 17:00 Mauala Mozambique  0.1
          23 Apr 2019 08:00 Ambanizana Madagascar  0.1
          23 Apr 2019 08:00 Antalavia Madagascar  0.1
          24 Apr 2019 18:00 Mitsamiouli Comoros  0.1
          25 Apr 2019 18:00 Messequero Mozambique  0.1
          25 Apr 2019 17:00 Tari Mozambique  0.1
          25 Apr 2019 15:00 Morumequina Mozambique  0.1
          25 Apr 2019 18:00 Lurio Mozambique  0.1
          25 Apr 2019 18:00 Miquindane Mozambique  0.1
          23 Apr 2019 08:00 Tampolo Madagascar  0.1
          23 Apr 2019 08:00 Benjana Madagascar  0.1
          23 Apr 2019 08:00 Anoromby Madagascar  0.1
          23 Apr 2019 08:00 Fananehana Madagascar  0.1
          23 Apr 2019 08:00 Rantranavona Madagascar  0.1
          24 Apr 2019 17:00 M'Djoyezi Comoros  0.1
          24 Apr 2019 17:00 Dembeni Comoros  0.1
          24 Apr 2019 17:00 Mohoro Comoros  0.1
          24 Apr 2019 17:00 Dzahadjou Comoros  0.1
          24 Apr 2019 17:00 Chendini Comoros  0.1
          25 Apr 2019 17:00 Atolo Mozambique  0.1
          25 Apr 2019 18:00 Murrebue Mozambique  0.1
          23 Apr 2019 08:00 Manambolosy Madagascar  0.1
          23 Apr 2019 08:00 Fahambahy Madagascar  0.1
          23 Apr 2019 08:00 Tampolo Madagascar  0.1
          25 Apr 2019 17:00 Mecufi Mozambique  0.1