Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for VERONICA-19 in Australia from 19 Mar 2019 18:00 UTC to 24 Mar 2019 06:00 UTC

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GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone VERONICA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Australia
Exposed population	4 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	259 km/h
Maximum storm surge	1.1 m (25 Mar 02:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	194 km/h	1.1 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	259 km/h	1.1 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

194 km/h Current Max.

Up to 26000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	19 Mar 2019 18:00	194	30 thousand	1 thousand	Australia
2	20 Mar 2019 00:00	194	30 thousand	Few people	Australia
3	20 Mar 2019 06:00	213	30 thousand	5 thousand	Australia
4	20 Mar 2019 12:00	204	30 thousand	20 thousand	Australia
5	20 Mar 2019 18:00	259	40 thousand	6 thousand	Australia
6	21 Mar 2019 00:00	259	50 thousand	Few people	Australia
7	21 Mar 2019 06:00	250	50 thousand	10 thousand	Australia
8	21 Mar 2019 12:00	213	40 thousand	9 thousand	Australia
9	21 Mar 2019 18:00	213	40 thousand	Few people	Australia
10	22 Mar 2019 00:00	213	40 thousand	Few people	Australia
11	22 Mar 2019 06:00	204	40 thousand	Few people	Australia
12	22 Mar 2019 12:00	176	40 thousand	10 thousand	Australia
13	22 Mar 2019 18:00	167	40 thousand	20 thousand	Australia
14	23 Mar 2019 00:00	148	40 thousand	20 thousand	Australia
15	23 Mar 2019 06:00	148	40 thousand	Few people	Australia
16	23 Mar 2019 12:00	167	40 thousand	Few people	Australia
17	23 Mar 2019 18:00	194	40 thousand	20 thousand	Australia
18	24 Mar 2019 00:00	213	50 thousand	20 thousand	Australia
19	24 Mar 2019 06:00	194	50 thousand	30 thousand	Australia

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	19 Mar 2019 18:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	-14.9, 119.7
2	20 Mar 2019 00:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	-15.4, 119
3	20 Mar 2019 06:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	-15.6, 118.3
4	20 Mar 2019 12:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	-15.9, 117.8
5	20 Mar 2019 18:00	Category 3	204	no people	no people	-15.9, 117.6
6	21 Mar 2019 00:00	Category 4	231	no people	no people	-16.4, 117.7
7	21 Mar 2019 06:00	Category 4	231	no people	no people	-16.8, 117.4
8	21 Mar 2019 12:00	Category 4	213	no people	no people	-17.3, 117.4
9	21 Mar 2019 18:00	Category 3	204	no people	no people	-17.5, 116.9
10	22 Mar 2019 00:00	Category 3	204	no people	no people	-17.6, 116.8
11	22 Mar 2019 06:00	Category 3	204	no people	no people	-17.8, 116.7
12	22 Mar 2019 12:00	Category 2	176	no people	40000 people	-18.1, 116.8	Australia
13	22 Mar 2019 18:00	Category 2	167	no people	40000 people	-18.2, 116.9	Australia
14	23 Mar 2019 00:00	Category 1	148	no people	41000 people	-18.7, 117	Australia
15	23 Mar 2019 06:00	Category 1	148	no people	42000 people	-19, 117.1	Australia
16	23 Mar 2019 12:00	Category 2	167	no people	43000 people	-19.3, 117.4	Australia
17	23 Mar 2019 18:00	Category 3	194	<1000 people	44000 people	-19.8, 117.5	Australia
18	24 Mar 2019 00:00	Category 4	213	3800 people	45000 people	-20.1, 117.5	Australia
19	24 Mar 2019 06:00	Category 3	194	<1000 people	42000 people	-20.4, 117.7	Australia
19	24 Mar 2019 18:00	Category 2	157	24000 people	43000 people	-20.6, 117.6	Australia
19	25 Mar 2019 06:00	Category 1	120	18000 people	28000 people	-20.7, 116.6	Australia
19	25 Mar 2019 18:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	6400 people	-20.9, 115.3	Australia
19	26 Mar 2019 06:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	3500 people	-21.4, 113.9	Australia
19	27 Mar 2019 06:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	-21.9, 111.2

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Australia

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Western Australia	Australia

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Karratha	Western Australia	Australia	City	11000 people
Dampier	Western Australia	Australia	City	-

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Roebourne	RBU	unknown				0
Karratha	KTA	9	Civ.	Paved	Yes	6000
Barrow Island	BWB	8	Civ.	Paved	Yes	6200

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Point Samson	AUPSM	Coral Sea Islands
Port Walcott	AUPWL	Coral Sea Islands
Roebourne	AURBU	Coral Sea Islands
Withnell Bay		Coral Sea Islands
Dampier	AUDAM	Coral Sea Islands
Cape Preston	AUCPN	Coral Sea Islands
Varanus Island	AUVAR	Coral Sea Islands
Barrow Island	AUBWB	Coral Sea Islands

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

1.1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 1.1m in Wickham, Australia. This height is estimated for 25 Mar 2019 02:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (17 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 17 of 23 Mar 2019 18:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	25 Mar 2019 02:00	Wickham	Australia	1.1
	25 Mar 2019 02:00	Point Samson	Australia	1.1
	25 Mar 2019 02:00	Cossack	Australia	1.1
	23 Mar 2019 18:00	Condon	Australia	0.6
	25 Mar 2019 10:00	East Lewis I	Australia	0.6
	22 Mar 2019 19:00	Ah Chong I	Australia	0.5
	25 Mar 2019 23:00	Derby	Australia	0.5
	26 Mar 2019 03:00	Mardie	Australia	0.4
	25 Mar 2019 21:00	Kennedys Cottage	Australia	0.2
	19 Mar 2019 23:00	Kollan I	Australia	0.2
	25 Mar 2019 20:00	Pender	Australia	0.2
	26 Mar 2019 15:00	Learmonth	Australia	0.2
	23 Mar 2019 12:00	Thangoo	Australia	0.2
	22 Mar 2019 07:00	Broome	Australia	0.1
	26 Mar 2019 14:00	Exmouth	Australia	0.1
	22 Mar 2019 13:00	Waterbank	Australia	0.1
	26 Mar 2019 14:00	Glenroy	Australia	0.1