Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for PENNY-18
in Australia, Papua New Guinea

Impact

Tropical Cyclone PENNY-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS (JTWC)
Exposed countries Australia, Papua New Guinea
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 120 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.6 m (01 Jan 01:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Papua New Guinea)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS Current 111 km/h 1.6 m n.a. 0.5
GDACS Overall 120 km/h 1.6 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat. 1 or higher
Countries
Green 1 31 Dec 2018 00:00 102 330 thousand No people Australia, Papua New Guinea
Green 2 31 Dec 2018 06:00 102 250 thousand No people Australia, Papua New Guinea
Green 3 31 Dec 2018 12:00 102 320 thousand No people Australia, Papua New Guinea
Green 4 31 Dec 2018 18:00 111 440 thousand No people Australia, Papua New Guinea
Green 5 01 Jan 2019 00:00 111 70 thousand No people Australia, Papua New Guinea

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category Max winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Location (lat, lon)
GREEN
1 31 Dec 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 65 18000 people no people -12.8, 139.6
GREEN
2 31 Dec 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 65 7400 people no people -12.5, 139.3
GREEN
3 31 Dec 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 65 17000 people no people -12.5, 140.2
GREEN
4 31 Dec 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 65 19000 people no people -12.7, 140.6
GREEN
5 01 Jan 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 74 18000 people no people -12.6, 141.2
GREEN
5 01 Jan 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 83 19000 people no people -12.5, 142.7
GREEN
5 02 Jan 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 83 4300 people no people -12.7, 144.9
GREEN
5 02 Jan 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 93 49000 people no people -13.3, 147.7
GREEN
5 03 Jan 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 111 43000 people no people -14.1, 150.9
GREEN
5 04 Jan 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people -15.3, 155
GREEN
5 05 Jan 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people -16.9, 155.3
GREEN
5 06 Jan 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people -17.4, 154.6
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.



Exposed population

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

1.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.6m in Tamarike, Indonesia. This height is estimated for 01 Jan 2019 01:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (247 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 5 of 01 Jan 2019 00:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
01 Jan 2019 01:00 Tamarike Indonesia  1.6
01 Jan 2019 01:00 Sarire Indonesia  1.6
01 Jan 2019 00:00 Kumbe Indonesia  1.5
01 Jan 2019 01:00 Urum Indonesia  1.5
01 Jan 2019 01:00 Merauke Indonesia  1.5
01 Jan 2019 00:00 Anansai Indonesia  1.5
01 Jan 2019 00:00 Wendu Indonesia  1.5
01 Jan 2019 00:00 Matara Indonesia  1.5
01 Jan 2019 00:00 Onggalie Indonesia  1.4
01 Jan 2019 00:00 Kotad Indonesia  1.4
01 Jan 2019 00:00 Dumande Indonesia  1.4
01 Jan 2019 00:00 Alatepi Indonesia  1.3
01 Jan 2019 04:00 Mapoon Australia  1.1
31 Dec 2018 07:00 Taroea Anim Indonesia  1.1
01 Jan 2019 07:00 Port Kennedy Australia  1.1
01 Jan 2019 07:00 Hammond I Australia  1.1
01 Jan 2019 19:00 Bula Papua New Guinea  1.1
31 Dec 2018 23:00 Welab Indonesia  1.1
01 Jan 2019 00:00 Alakoe Indonesia  1.1
01 Jan 2019 19:00 Jara Papua New Guinea  1.1
01 Jan 2019 07:00 Seisia Australia  1.0
31 Dec 2018 23:00 Papisote Indonesia  1.0
01 Jan 2019 00:00 Moegaigare Indonesia  1.0
01 Jan 2019 07:00 Cowel Creek Australia  1.0
01 Jan 2019 17:00 Badu Australia  1.0
31 Dec 2018 19:00 Birab Indonesia  1.0
01 Jan 2019 08:00 Cape York Australia  1.0
01 Jan 2019 00:00 Okaba Indonesia  1.0
31 Dec 2018 11:00 Otsjanep Indonesia  0.9
31 Dec 2018 23:00 Gelib Indonesia  0.9
31 Dec 2018 11:00 Jow Indonesia  0.9
31 Dec 2018 11:00 Biwarlaut Indonesia  0.9
31 Dec 2018 11:00 Per Indonesia  0.9
31 Dec 2018 11:00 Agats Indonesia  0.9
31 Dec 2018 11:00 Amborip Indonesia  0.9
31 Dec 2018 23:00 Wamal Indonesia  0.9
31 Dec 2018 23:00 Kobiem Indonesia  0.9
31 Dec 2018 16:00 Kladar Indonesia  0.9
31 Dec 2018 16:00 Sabon Indonesia  0.9
31 Dec 2018 16:00 Tor Indonesia  0.9
31 Dec 2018 19:00 Dolatanden Indonesia  0.9
31 Dec 2018 10:00 Jofar Indonesia  0.9
31 Dec 2018 21:00 Komoran Indonesia  0.8
02 Jan 2019 05:00 Sidabadu Papua New Guinea  0.8
02 Jan 2019 05:00 Saibai Australia  0.7
02 Jan 2019 05:00 Waidoro Papua New Guinea  0.7
01 Jan 2019 00:00 Alyangula Australia  0.7
31 Dec 2018 20:00 Wan Indonesia  0.7
31 Dec 2018 20:00 Konerau Indonesia  0.7
31 Dec 2018 20:00 Selemit Indonesia  0.7
31 Dec 2018 21:00 Pasirputih Indonesia  0.7
01 Jan 2019 02:00 Numbulwar Australia  0.7
02 Jan 2019 05:00 Mabaduan Papua New Guinea  0.6
01 Jan 2019 06:00 Weipa Australia  0.6
01 Jan 2019 06:00 Weipa South Australia  0.6
31 Dec 2018 10:00 Amamapare Indonesia  0.5
31 Dec 2018 11:00 Ndapurutiri Indonesia  0.5
31 Dec 2018 06:00 Sanindara Indonesia  0.4
31 Dec 2018 09:00 Timuka Indonesia  0.4
31 Dec 2018 10:00 Keawkwa Indonesia  0.4
31 Dec 2018 18:00 Running Creek Australia  0.4
31 Dec 2018 10:00 Mimako Indonesia  0.4
31 Dec 2018 06:00 Agatebi Indonesia  0.4
31 Dec 2018 06:00 Sakaoeni Indonesia  0.4
31 Dec 2018 10:00 Ipirawea Indonesia  0.4
31 Dec 2018 06:00 Naoer Indonesia  0.4
31 Dec 2018 18:00 Caburinga Village Australia  0.4
31 Dec 2018 06:00 Sajengga Indonesia  0.4
31 Dec 2018 16:00 Basada Indonesia  0.4
31 Dec 2018 16:00 Kobroor Indonesia  0.4
31 Dec 2018 16:00 Masian Indonesia  0.4
31 Dec 2018 19:00 Tanam Indonesia  0.4
31 Dec 2018 19:00 Kamboeriami Indonesia  0.4
31 Dec 2018 16:00 Pono Indonesia  0.4
31 Dec 2018 06:00 Moegoetira Indonesia  0.4
31 Dec 2018 10:00 Amar Indonesia  0.4
31 Dec 2018 19:00 Ok Village Australia  0.3
31 Dec 2018 10:00 Uta Indonesia  0.3
31 Dec 2018 17:00 Aloszville Australia  0.3
31 Dec 2018 06:00 Aoem Indonesia  0.3
31 Dec 2018 06:00 Tambani Indonesia  0.3
31 Dec 2018 11:00 Wakia Indonesia  0.3
31 Dec 2018 17:00 Longar Indonesia  0.3
31 Dec 2018 17:00 Baimoeh Indonesia  0.3
31 Dec 2018 20:00 Nhulunbuy Australia  0.3
31 Dec 2018 06:00 Kinara Indonesia  0.3
02 Jan 2019 07:00 Lower Tully Australia  0.3
31 Dec 2018 16:00 Djoering Indonesia  0.3
31 Dec 2018 17:00 Kobadangar Indonesia  0.3
02 Jan 2019 07:00 South Mission Beach Australia  0.3
31 Dec 2018 11:00 Umuk Indonesia  0.3
31 Dec 2018 17:00 Gomo Gomo Indonesia  0.3
31 Dec 2018 16:00 Krai Indonesia  0.3
02 Jan 2019 07:00 Halifax Australia  0.3
31 Dec 2018 19:00 Sege Indonesia  0.3
02 Jan 2019 06:00 Cassady Australia  0.3
31 Dec 2018 11:00 Paraoka Indonesia  0.3
31 Dec 2018 11:00 Kipia Maparpa Indonesia  0.3
01 Jan 2019 08:00 Doka Indonesia  0.2
01 Jan 2019 09:00 Oud Krai Indonesia  0.2
01 Jan 2019 09:00 Krei-lama Indonesia  0.2
02 Jan 2019 07:00 Lucinda Australia  0.2
01 Jan 2019 07:00 Yirrkala Mission Australia  0.2
01 Jan 2019 07:00 Yirrkala Australia  0.2
02 Jan 2019 06:00 Coolbie Australia  0.2
02 Jan 2019 06:00 Mutarnee Australia  0.2
02 Jan 2019 06:00 Moongobulla Australia  0.2
31 Dec 2018 13:00 Kedjabi Indonesia  0.2
31 Dec 2018 13:00 Rabal Indonesia  0.2
31 Dec 2018 13:00 Kangoerma Indonesia  0.2
01 Jan 2019 07:00 Gove Australia  0.2
02 Jan 2019 08:00 Ture Ture Papua New Guinea  0.2
31 Dec 2018 07:00 Kaisweri Indonesia  0.2
31 Dec 2018 06:00 Saga Indonesia  0.2
31 Dec 2018 19:00 Inanwatatan Indonesia  0.2
02 Jan 2019 07:00 Yarrabah Aboriginal Community Australia  0.2
31 Dec 2018 15:00 Umari Indonesia  0.2
31 Dec 2018 13:00 Djamboeai Indonesia  0.2
31 Dec 2018 13:00 Barakan Indonesia  0.2
01 Jan 2019 08:00 Diommon Indonesia  0.2
02 Jan 2019 07:00 Deeral Australia  0.2
31 Dec 2018 15:00 Aiduna Indonesia  0.2
02 Jan 2019 03:00 Aibinio Papua New Guinea  0.2
31 Dec 2018 16:00 Wadjin Indonesia  0.2
01 Jan 2019 11:00 Bendjoering Indonesia  0.2
02 Jan 2019 05:00 Elim Australia  0.2
02 Jan 2019 07:00 Kamma Australia  0.2
02 Jan 2019 18:00 Bellenden Ker Australia  0.2
01 Jan 2019 08:00 Kulinchin Australia  0.2
01 Jan 2019 05:00 Cooktown Australia  0.2
01 Jan 2019 16:00 Mossman Australia  0.2
01 Jan 2019 16:00 Miallo Australia  0.2
01 Jan 2019 16:00 Wonga Australia  0.2
01 Jan 2019 16:00 Port Douglas Australia  0.2
01 Jan 2019 16:00 Hockley Australia  0.2
02 Jan 2019 06:00 Rollingstone Australia  0.2
02 Jan 2019 06:00 Kinduro Australia  0.2
01 Jan 2019 11:00 Goemsei Indonesia  0.2
02 Jan 2019 06:00 Innisfail Australia  0.2
01 Jan 2019 11:00 Mohitien Indonesia  0.2
31 Dec 2018 16:00 Potawai Indonesia  0.2
03 Jan 2019 16:00 Hekampan Papua New Guinea  0.2
03 Jan 2019 16:00 Tagula Papua New Guinea  0.2
01 Jan 2019 11:00 Komfane Indonesia  0.2
02 Jan 2019 20:00 Midgeton Australia  0.2
02 Jan 2019 21:00 Te Kowai Australia  0.2
02 Jan 2019 21:00 Rosella Australia  0.2
02 Jan 2019 21:00 Chelona Australia  0.2
02 Jan 2019 21:00 Glenella Australia  0.2
02 Jan 2019 21:00 Bakers Creek Australia  0.2
02 Jan 2019 21:00 North Mackay Australia  0.2
02 Jan 2019 21:00 Mackay Australia  0.2
02 Jan 2019 21:00 Cremorne Australia  0.2
02 Jan 2019 21:00 Hay Point Australia  0.2
02 Jan 2019 21:00 Taffy Islet Australia  0.2
02 Jan 2019 21:00 Alligator Creek Australia  0.2
02 Jan 2019 18:00 Cannonvale Australia  0.2
02 Jan 2019 18:00 Airlie Australia  0.2
02 Jan 2019 22:00 Keakalo Papua New Guinea  0.2
02 Jan 2019 22:00 Gogsiba Papua New Guinea  0.2
02 Jan 2019 22:00 Gadaisu Papua New Guinea  0.2
02 Jan 2019 22:00 Bona Bona I Papua New Guinea  0.2
02 Jan 2019 22:00 Auneri Papua New Guinea  0.2
02 Jan 2019 22:00 Silo Silo Papua New Guinea  0.2
02 Jan 2019 09:00 Hamlet of Togo Papua New Guinea  0.1
02 Jan 2019 22:00 Apeawa Papua New Guinea  0.1
02 Jan 2019 22:00 Babai Papua New Guinea  0.1
02 Jan 2019 22:00 Avioua Papua New Guinea  0.1
02 Jan 2019 22:00 Veraibari Papua New Guinea  0.1
02 Jan 2019 22:00 Tovai Papua New Guinea  0.1
02 Jan 2019 22:00 Mirimairau Papua New Guinea  0.1
02 Jan 2019 22:00 Uramu I Papua New Guinea  0.1
02 Jan 2019 22:00 Kaivu Papua New Guinea  0.1
02 Jan 2019 22:00 Mairipepea Papua New Guinea  0.1
02 Jan 2019 22:00 Moravamu Papua New Guinea  0.1
02 Jan 2019 22:00 Kamaua Papua New Guinea  0.1
02 Jan 2019 05:00 Ayton Australia  0.1
01 Jan 2019 11:00 Alardjir Indonesia  0.1
01 Jan 2019 11:00 Karaum Indonesia  0.1
02 Jan 2019 22:00 Maubi Papua New Guinea  0.1
02 Jan 2019 22:00 Ubua Papua New Guinea  0.1
01 Jan 2019 11:00 Marlasi Indonesia  0.1
01 Jan 2019 11:00 Masidan Indonesia  0.1
03 Jan 2019 01:00 Inveroona Australia  0.1
03 Jan 2019 01:00 Queens Beach Australia  0.1
01 Jan 2019 10:00 Ngaibor Indonesia  0.1
02 Jan 2019 20:00 Kaduaga Papua New Guinea  0.1
31 Dec 2018 17:00 Loetoer Indonesia  0.1
01 Jan 2019 12:00 Keojabi Indonesia  0.1
02 Jan 2019 08:00 Kadawa Papua New Guinea  0.1
02 Jan 2019 22:00 Goari Papua New Guinea  0.1
02 Jan 2019 22:00 Dopima Papua New Guinea  0.1
01 Jan 2019 11:00 Moha Indonesia  0.1
02 Jan 2019 20:00 Iuku Papua New Guinea  0.1
02 Jan 2019 20:00 Herekera Papua New Guinea  0.1
02 Jan 2019 20:00 Haiara Papua New Guinea  0.1
02 Jan 2019 20:00 Ihu Papua New Guinea  0.1
02 Jan 2019 20:00 Vailala Hiloi Papua New Guinea  0.1
02 Jan 2019 20:00 Iori Papua New Guinea  0.1
02 Jan 2019 20:00 Vailala East Papua New Guinea  0.1
02 Jan 2019 20:00 Karokaro Papua New Guinea  0.1
02 Jan 2019 20:00 Opa Papua New Guinea  0.1
02 Jan 2019 20:00 Belepa Papua New Guinea  0.1
02 Jan 2019 06:00 Oolbun Australia  0.1
02 Jan 2019 20:00 Kea Kea Papua New Guinea  0.1
02 Jan 2019 20:00 Ovahuhu Papua New Guinea  0.1
02 Jan 2019 20:00 Aivau Papua New Guinea  0.1
02 Jan 2019 20:00 Kapide Papua New Guinea  0.1
02 Jan 2019 20:00 Petoe Papua New Guinea  0.1
02 Jan 2019 20:00 Murua Papua New Guinea  0.1
01 Jan 2019 16:00 Tarera Indonesia  0.1
02 Jan 2019 21:00 Carmila Australia  0.1
02 Jan 2019 21:00 Flaggy Rock Australia  0.1
05 Jan 2019 00:00 Slade Point Australia  0.1
05 Jan 2019 00:00 Amhurst Australia  0.1
31 Dec 2018 17:00 Rebi Indonesia  0.1
01 Jan 2019 12:00 Sewer Indonesia  0.1
01 Jan 2019 12:00 Karwai Indonesia  0.1
01 Jan 2019 04:00 Trinity Beach Australia  0.1
03 Jan 2019 01:00 Carstairs Australia  0.1
03 Jan 2019 01:00 Jarvisfield Australia  0.1
03 Jan 2019 01:00 Alva Australia  0.1
03 Jan 2019 01:00 Rita Island Australia  0.1
05 Jan 2019 00:00 Etowri Australia  0.1
05 Jan 2019 00:00 Nindaroo Australia  0.1
05 Jan 2019 00:00 Bucasia Australia  0.1
05 Jan 2019 00:00 Eimeo Australia  0.1
05 Jan 2019 00:00 Andergrove Australia  0.1
05 Jan 2019 00:00 Blacks Beach Australia  0.1
03 Jan 2019 07:00 Boze Papua New Guinea  0.1
03 Jan 2019 07:00 Ume Papua New Guinea  0.1
03 Jan 2019 07:00 Daru Papua New Guinea  0.1
03 Jan 2019 07:00 Dorogari Papua New Guinea  0.1
02 Jan 2019 22:00 Elalie Australia  0.1
01 Jan 2019 11:00 Fatural Indonesia  0.1
01 Jan 2019 11:00 Jerdera Indonesia  0.1
01 Jan 2019 11:00 Fekfekai Indonesia  0.1
02 Jan 2019 20:00 Mamura Papua New Guinea  0.1
02 Jan 2019 20:00 Kerema Papua New Guinea  0.1
02 Jan 2019 20:00 Uamai No 1 Papua New Guinea  0.1
02 Jan 2019 20:00 Elava Papua New Guinea  0.1
03 Jan 2019 05:00 Kasabanalua Papua New Guinea  0.1
03 Jan 2019 05:00 Samarai Papua New Guinea  0.1
03 Jan 2019 05:00 Sidudu Papua New Guinea  0.1
03 Jan 2019 05:00 Magesina Papua New Guinea  0.1
03 Jan 2019 05:00 Sideia I Papua New Guinea  0.1
03 Jan 2019 05:00 Tegerauna Mission Papua New Guinea  0.1