Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for OWEN-18 in Australia from 02 Dec 2018 00:00 UTC to 15 Dec 2018 00:00 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone OWEN-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Australia
Exposed population	Few people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	167 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.4 m (02 Dec 13:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	83 km/h	0.4 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	167 km/h	0.4 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

83 km/h Current Max.

Up to 320000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	02 Dec 2018 00:00	83	No people	No people
2	02 Dec 2018 06:00	83	No people	No people
3	02 Dec 2018 12:00	93	No people	No people
4	02 Dec 2018 18:00	93	No people	No people
5	03 Dec 2018 00:00	93	No people	No people
6	03 Dec 2018 06:00	102	No people	No people
7	03 Dec 2018 12:00	93	No people	No people
8	03 Dec 2018 18:00	83	No people	No people
9	04 Dec 2018 00:00	74	No people	No people
10	04 Dec 2018 06:00	65	No people	No people
11	04 Dec 2018 12:00	56	No people	No people
12	11 Dec 2018 12:00	130	30 thousand	No people	Australia
13	11 Dec 2018 18:00	157	1.3 million	7 thousand	Australia
14	12 Dec 2018 00:00	157	3.9 million	20 thousand	Australia
15	12 Dec 2018 06:00	157	4.3 million	4 thousand	Australia
16	12 Dec 2018 12:00	157	1.4 million	2 thousand	Australia
17	12 Dec 2018 18:00	167	1.5 million	10 thousand	Australia
18	13 Dec 2018 00:00	167	620 thousand	2 thousand	Australia
19	13 Dec 2018 06:00	167	490 thousand	3 thousand	Australia
20	13 Dec 2018 12:00	148	630 thousand	3 thousand	Australia
21	13 Dec 2018 18:00	148	640 thousand	7 thousand	Australia
22	14 Dec 2018 00:00	148	640 thousand	Few people	Australia
23	14 Dec 2018 06:00	139	500 thousand	2 thousand	Australia
24	14 Dec 2018 12:00	130	250 thousand	1 thousand	Australia
25	14 Dec 2018 18:00	102	150 thousand	Few people	Australia
26	15 Dec 2018 00:00	83	320 thousand	Few people	Australia

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	02 Dec 2018 00:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	-14, 154.1
2	02 Dec 2018 06:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	-14.1, 154.6
3	02 Dec 2018 12:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	-14.6, 154.9
4	02 Dec 2018 18:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	-15.2, 154.9
5	03 Dec 2018 00:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	-15.6, 155
6	03 Dec 2018 06:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	-15.7, 155.5
7	03 Dec 2018 12:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	-15.8, 155.8
8	03 Dec 2018 18:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	-15.8, 157
9	04 Dec 2018 00:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	-15.9, 157
10	04 Dec 2018 06:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	-16.1, 155.7
11	04 Dec 2018 12:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	-16.2, 154.8
12	11 Dec 2018 12:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	<1000 people	-14.9, 138.7	Australia
13	11 Dec 2018 18:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	<1000 people	-14.8, 137.9	Australia
14	12 Dec 2018 00:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	3600 people	-14.7, 137.5	Australia
15	12 Dec 2018 06:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	5900 people	-14.9, 136.9	Australia
16	12 Dec 2018 12:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	7000 people	-14.8, 136.4	Australia
17	12 Dec 2018 18:00	Category 1	120	no people	5900 people	-15, 136.2	Australia
18	13 Dec 2018 00:00	Category 1	139	no people	5500 people	-15.2, 135.9	Australia
19	13 Dec 2018 06:00	Category 1	148	no people	5300 people	-15.1, 136.5	Australia
20	13 Dec 2018 12:00	Category 1	139	no people	5200 people	-15, 136.9	Australia
21	13 Dec 2018 18:00	Category 1	139	no people	2900 people	-15.2, 137.3	Australia
22	14 Dec 2018 00:00	Category 1	139	no people	1200 people	-15.2, 138	Australia
23	14 Dec 2018 06:00	Category 1	139	no people	2400 people	-15.1, 139.1	Australia
24	14 Dec 2018 12:00	Category 1	130	1100 people	6700 people	-15.3, 140.5	Australia
25	14 Dec 2018 18:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	10000 people	-16.3, 141.5	Australia
26	15 Dec 2018 00:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	74000 people	-16.9, 142.9	Australia
26	15 Dec 2018 12:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	270000 people	-18, 145.1	Australia
26	16 Dec 2018 00:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	220000 people	-19.1, 147.4	Australia
26	16 Dec 2018 12:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	-19.7, 149.5	Australia

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Australia

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Queensland	Australia
Northern Territory	Australia

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Mareeba	Queensland	Australia	City	8400 people
Atherton	Queensland	Australia	City	6900 people
Cooktown	Queensland	Australia	City	-
Innisfail	Queensland	Australia	City	10000 people
Tully	Queensland	Australia	City	-
Ingham	Queensland	Australia	City	6000 people
Townsville	Queensland	Australia	Major city	140000 people
Ayr	Queensland	Australia	City	9000 people
Home Hill	Queensland	Australia	City	-
Bowen	Queensland	Australia	City	11000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Highbury	HIG	unknown				0
Dorunda Station	DRD	unknown				0
Gamboola	GBP	unknown				0
Abingdon	ABG	unknown				0
Drumduff	DFP	unknown				0
Dunbar	DNB	unknown				0
Torwood	TWP	unknown				0
Vanrook	VNR	unknown				0
Strathmore	STH	unknown				0
Koolatah	KOH	unknown				0
Wrotham Park	WPK	unknown				0
Miranda Downs	MWY	unknown				0
Bulimba	BIP	unknown				0
Bolwarra	BCK	unknown				0
Lotus Vale	LTV	unknown				0
Inkerman	IKP	unknown				0
Georgetown	GTT	303	Civ.	Paved	Yes	3000
Delta Downs	DDN	unknown				0
Chillagoe	LLG	338	Civ.	Paved	No	3000
Mitchell River	MXQ	unknown				0
Rutland Plains	RTP	unknown				0
Koolburra	KKP	unknown				0
Laura	LUU	unknown				0
Kowanyama	KWM	11	Civ.	Unpaved	Yes	4500
Dixie	DXD	unknown				0
Einasleigh	EIH	unknown				0
Greenvale Miner Lake	GVP	unknown				0
Undarra	UDA	unknown				0
Rosella Plains	RLP	unknown				0
Carpentaria Downs	CFP	unknown				0
Spring Creek	SCG	unknown				0
Pormpuraaw		3	Civ.	Paved	No	4400
Laura Station	LUT	unknown				0
Bizant	BZP	unknown				0
Kalpowar	KPP	unknown				0
Lakefield	LFP	unknown				0
Mareeba	MRG	475	Civ.	Paved	Yes	4900
Helenvale	HLV	unknown				0
Bloomfield	BFC	unknown				0
Cooktown	CTN	8	Civ.	Paved	Yes	5300
Hope Vale	HPE	unknown				0
Innisfail	IFL	14	Civ.	Paved	Yes	3000
Dunk Island Township	DKI	unknown				0
Hinchinbrook Island	HNK	unknown				0
Ingham	IGH	15	Civ.	Paved	No	3000
Orpheus Island Resort Waterport	ORS	unknown				0
Palm Island	PMK	9	Civ.	Paved	Yes	3700
Townsville	TSV	5	Civ.	Paved	Yes	7900
Ayr	AYR	12	Civ.	Paved	No	3000
Bowen	ZBO	8	Civ.	Unpaved	Yes	4400
Daydream Island	DDI	unknown				0
Borroloola	BOX	16	Civ.	Paved	Yes	4000
Hayman Island	HIS	unknown				0
Shute Harbour Heliport	JHQ	unknown				0
Hook Island	HIH	unknown				0
Hamilton Island	HTI	5	Civ.	Paved	Yes	5900
Lindeman Island	LDC	unknown				0
Groote Eylandt	GTE	16	Civ.	Paved	Yes	6200
Numbulwar	NUB	9	Civ.	Unpaved	No	4300

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Cooktown	AUCTN	Coral Sea Islands
Cape Flattery	AUCQP	Coral Sea Islands
Innisfail		Coral Sea Islands
Mourilyan	AUMOU	Coral Sea Islands
Mornington Island		Coral Sea Islands
Lucinda	AULUC	Coral Sea Islands
Townsville	AUTSV	Coral Sea Islands
Abbot Point	AUABP	Coral Sea Islands
Bowen	AUZBO	Coral Sea Islands
Milner Bay	AUMIB	Coral Sea Islands
Groote Eylandt	AUGTE	Coral Sea Islands

Dams

Reservoir	Dam Name	River	Year
	Tinaroo Falls	Barron	1958
	Koombooloomba	Tully	1961
Paluma	Paluma	Swamp Creek	1959
	Ross River	Ross	1987

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.4m in Losuia, Papua New Guinea. This height is estimated for 02 Dec 2018 13:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (134 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 10 of 04 Dec 2018 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	02 Dec 2018 13:00	Losuia	Papua New Guinea	0.4
	02 Dec 2018 12:00	Sidabadu	Papua New Guinea	0.4
	02 Dec 2018 14:00	Tais	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	02 Dec 2018 06:00	Saibai	Australia	0.3
	02 Dec 2018 13:00	Kaduaga	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	02 Dec 2018 13:00	Jara	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	04 Dec 2018 13:00	Te Kowai	Australia	0.2
	02 Dec 2018 13:00	Banana Pocket	Australia	0.2
	02 Dec 2018 13:00	Lethebrook	Australia	0.2
	02 Dec 2018 09:00	Kamaua	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	02 Dec 2018 14:00	Bula	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	02 Dec 2018 13:00	Midgeton	Australia	0.2
	02 Dec 2018 09:00	Mirimairau	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	02 Dec 2018 13:00	Mabaduan	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	02 Dec 2018 12:00	Lahimoina	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	02 Dec 2018 12:00	Leileiafa	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	02 Dec 2018 09:00	Apeawa	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	02 Dec 2018 09:00	Tovai	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	02 Dec 2018 09:00	Uramu I	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	02 Dec 2018 09:00	Kaivu	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	02 Dec 2018 09:00	Mairipepea	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	02 Dec 2018 09:00	Moravamu	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	04 Dec 2018 14:00	Etowri	Australia	0.2
	04 Dec 2018 14:00	Nindaroo	Australia	0.2
	04 Dec 2018 14:00	Bucasia	Australia	0.2
	04 Dec 2018 14:00	Eimeo	Australia	0.2
	04 Dec 2018 14:00	Andergrove	Australia	0.2
	04 Dec 2018 14:00	Blacks Beach	Australia	0.2
	04 Dec 2018 14:00	Slade Point	Australia	0.2
	04 Dec 2018 14:00	Amhurst	Australia	0.2
	04 Dec 2018 15:00	Cannonvale	Australia	0.2
	04 Dec 2018 15:00	Airlie	Australia	0.2
	02 Dec 2018 13:00	Carmila	Australia	0.2
	04 Dec 2018 15:00	Glenella	Australia	0.2
	04 Dec 2018 14:00	North Mackay	Australia	0.2
	04 Dec 2018 15:00	Mackay	Australia	0.2
	04 Dec 2018 14:00	Cremorne	Australia	0.2
	02 Dec 2018 08:00	Mira	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	04 Dec 2018 15:00	Bakers Creek	Australia	0.2
	02 Dec 2018 13:00	Auneri	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	04 Dec 2018 15:00	Rosella	Australia	0.2
	04 Dec 2018 15:00	Chelona	Australia	0.2
	04 Dec 2018 15:00	Hay Point	Australia	0.2
	02 Dec 2018 06:00	Gadaisu	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	02 Dec 2018 13:00	Bona Bona I	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	02 Dec 2018 09:00	Veraibari	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	02 Dec 2018 11:00	Ture Ture	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	02 Dec 2018 09:00	Maubi	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	04 Dec 2018 15:00	Alligator Creek	Australia	0.2
	02 Dec 2018 07:00	Lea-Lea	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	02 Dec 2018 12:00	Badu	Australia	0.2
	02 Dec 2018 08:00	Avioua	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	02 Dec 2018 10:00	Daru	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	02 Dec 2018 10:00	Dorogari	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	02 Dec 2018 08:00	Pai-a	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	02 Dec 2018 08:00	Moinamu	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	02 Dec 2018 10:00	Boze	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	02 Dec 2018 10:00	Ume	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	02 Dec 2018 15:00	Flaggy Rock	Australia	0.2
	02 Dec 2018 13:00	Taffy Islet	Australia	0.2
	02 Dec 2018 08:00	Koravaki	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	04 Dec 2018 10:00	Farnborough	Australia	0.1
	04 Dec 2018 10:00	Yeppoon	Australia	0.1
	04 Dec 2018 10:00	Emu Park	Australia	0.1
	02 Dec 2018 15:00	Seaforth	Australia	0.1
	04 Dec 2018 07:00	Madaua	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	02 Dec 2018 06:00	Griffin Point	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	04 Dec 2018 02:00	Hekampan	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	04 Dec 2018 02:00	Tagula	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	02 Dec 2018 09:00	Giwaretore	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	02 Dec 2018 09:00	Gibu	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	02 Dec 2018 09:00	Ibou	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	02 Dec 2018 09:00	Mapoi'a	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	02 Dec 2018 08:00	Babai	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	02 Dec 2018 08:00	Mariki	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	05 Dec 2018 02:00	Alva	Australia	0.1
	02 Dec 2018 09:00	Misiki	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	02 Dec 2018 09:00	Morigio I	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	02 Dec 2018 08:00	Dopima	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	04 Dec 2018 10:00	Keppel Sands	Australia	0.1
	02 Dec 2018 09:00	Ekeirau	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	02 Dec 2018 08:00	Namaituri	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	02 Dec 2018 08:00	Goari	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	02 Dec 2018 08:00	Ubua	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	02 Dec 2018 13:00	Hamlet of Togo	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	02 Dec 2018 11:00	Waidoro	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	02 Dec 2018 11:00	Kadawa	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	02 Dec 2018 15:00	Elalie	Australia	0.1
	04 Dec 2018 08:00	Pantava	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	02 Dec 2018 07:00	Bedauna	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	02 Dec 2018 07:00	Pihigole	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	02 Dec 2018 06:00	Kido	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	04 Dec 2018 10:00	Southend	Australia	0.1
	02 Dec 2018 05:00	Keakalo	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	02 Dec 2018 05:00	Silo Silo	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	02 Dec 2018 13:00	Port Kennedy	Australia	0.1
	02 Dec 2018 08:00	Kinipo	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	05 Dec 2018 02:00	Carstairs	Australia	0.1
	05 Dec 2018 02:00	Jarvisfield	Australia	0.1
	05 Dec 2018 02:00	Rita Island	Australia	0.1
	02 Dec 2018 15:00	Clairview	Australia	0.1
	05 Dec 2018 01:00	Merinda	Australia	0.1
	05 Dec 2018 01:00	Delta	Australia	0.1
	05 Dec 2018 01:00	Bootooloo	Australia	0.1
	05 Dec 2018 01:00	Yumbabullo	Australia	0.1
	02 Dec 2018 05:00	Donuwo	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	02 Dec 2018 07:00	Kasabanalua	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	02 Dec 2018 07:00	Samarai	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	02 Dec 2018 07:00	Sidudu	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	02 Dec 2018 07:00	Magesina	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	02 Dec 2018 07:00	Sideia I	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	02 Dec 2018 05:00	Marea	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	02 Dec 2018 05:00	Iuku	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	02 Dec 2018 05:00	Herekera	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	02 Dec 2018 05:00	Haiara	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	02 Dec 2018 05:00	Ihu	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	02 Dec 2018 05:00	Vailala Hiloi	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	02 Dec 2018 05:00	Iori	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	02 Dec 2018 05:00	Vailala East	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	02 Dec 2018 05:00	Gogsiba	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	02 Dec 2018 12:00	Hammond I	Australia	0.1
	02 Dec 2018 08:00	Umuda I	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	02 Dec 2018 08:00	Ara'ava	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	02 Dec 2018 15:00	Kalarka	Australia	0.1
	03 Dec 2018 01:00	Inveroona	Australia	0.1
	03 Dec 2018 01:00	Queens Beach	Australia	0.1
	05 Dec 2018 03:00	Bowen	Australia	0.1
	04 Dec 2018 00:00	Rewe	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	02 Dec 2018 05:00	Kapai	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	02 Dec 2018 05:00	Apiope	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	02 Dec 2018 05:00	Ravi-kevau	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	02 Dec 2018 08:00	Cassady	Australia	0.1
	02 Dec 2018 08:00	Lucinda	Australia	0.1
	02 Dec 2018 13:00	Lawes College	Papua New Guinea	0.1