Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for OWEN-18
in Australia
14 Dec 2018 12 UTC
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  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
  • GFS
  • HWRF
  • ECMWF
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone OWEN-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Australia
    Exposed population Few people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 167 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (02 Dec 13:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Low (Australia)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 130 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 167 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

    TOP

    Wind

      130 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 1100 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 02 Dec 2018 00:00 83 No people No people
        Green 2 02 Dec 2018 06:00 83 No people No people
        Green 3 02 Dec 2018 12:00 93 No people No people
        Green 4 02 Dec 2018 18:00 93 No people No people
        Green 5 03 Dec 2018 00:00 93 No people No people
        Green 6 03 Dec 2018 06:00 102 No people No people
        Green 7 03 Dec 2018 12:00 93 No people No people
        Green 8 03 Dec 2018 18:00 83 No people No people
        Green 9 04 Dec 2018 00:00 74 No people No people
        Green 10 04 Dec 2018 06:00 65 No people No people
        Green 11 04 Dec 2018 12:00 56 No people No people
        Green 12 11 Dec 2018 12:00 130 30 thousand No people Australia
        Green 13 11 Dec 2018 18:00 157 1.3 million 7 thousand Australia
        Green 14 12 Dec 2018 00:00 157 3.9 million 20 thousand Australia
        Green 15 12 Dec 2018 06:00 157 4.3 million 4 thousand Australia
        Green 16 12 Dec 2018 12:00 157 1.4 million 2 thousand Australia
        Green 17 12 Dec 2018 18:00 167 1.5 million 10 thousand Australia
        Green 18 13 Dec 2018 00:00 167 620 thousand 2 thousand Australia
        Green 19 13 Dec 2018 06:00 167 490 thousand 3 thousand Australia
        Green 20 13 Dec 2018 12:00 148 630 thousand 3 thousand Australia
        Green 21 13 Dec 2018 18:00 148 640 thousand 7 thousand Australia
        Green 22 14 Dec 2018 00:00 148 640 thousand Few people Australia
        Green 23 14 Dec 2018 06:00 139 500 thousand 2 thousand Australia
        Green 24 14 Dec 2018 12:00 130 250 thousand 1 thousand Australia

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 02 Dec 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -14, 154.1
          GREEN
          		 2 02 Dec 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -14.1, 154.6
          GREEN
          		 3 02 Dec 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -14.6, 154.9
          GREEN
          		 4 02 Dec 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -15.2, 154.9
          GREEN
          		 5 03 Dec 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -15.6, 155
          GREEN
          		 6 03 Dec 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people -15.7, 155.5
          GREEN
          		 7 03 Dec 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people -15.8, 155.8
          GREEN
          		 8 03 Dec 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -15.8, 157
          GREEN
          		 9 04 Dec 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -15.9, 157
          GREEN
          		 10 04 Dec 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -16.1, 155.7
          GREEN
          		 11 04 Dec 2018 12:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people -16.2, 154.8
          GREEN
          		 12 11 Dec 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people <1000 people -14.9, 138.7 Australia
          GREEN
          		 13 11 Dec 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 74 no people <1000 people -14.8, 137.9 Australia
          GREEN
          		 14 12 Dec 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 3600 people -14.7, 137.5 Australia
          GREEN
          		 15 12 Dec 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 5900 people -14.9, 136.9 Australia
          GREEN
          		 16 12 Dec 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 7000 people -14.8, 136.4 Australia
          GREEN
          		 17 12 Dec 2018 18:00 Category 1 120 no people 5900 people -15, 136.2 Australia
          GREEN
          		 18 13 Dec 2018 00:00 Category 1 139 no people 5500 people -15.2, 135.9 Australia
          GREEN
          		 19 13 Dec 2018 06:00 Category 1 148 no people 5300 people -15.1, 136.5 Australia
          GREEN
          		 20 13 Dec 2018 12:00 Category 1 139 no people 5200 people -15, 136.9 Australia
          GREEN
          		 21 13 Dec 2018 18:00 Category 1 139 no people 2900 people -15.2, 137.3 Australia
          GREEN
          		 22 14 Dec 2018 00:00 Category 1 139 no people 1200 people -15.2, 138 Australia
          GREEN
          		 23 14 Dec 2018 06:00 Category 1 139 no people 2400 people -15.1, 139.1 Australia
          GREEN
          		 24 14 Dec 2018 12:00 Category 1 130 1100 people 6700 people -15.3, 140.5 Australia
          GREEN
          		 24 15 Dec 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 9900 people -15.8, 142.6 Australia
          GREEN
          		 24 15 Dec 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 230000 people -16.6, 144.6 Australia
          GREEN
          		 24 16 Dec 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 210000 people -17.4, 146.3 Australia
          GREEN
          		 24 16 Dec 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -18.2, 147.8
          GREEN
          		 24 17 Dec 2018 12:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people -19.3, 149.4
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Australia

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Queensland Australia
          Northern Territory Australia

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Kowanyama KWM 11 Civ. Unpaved Yes 4500
          Mitchell River MXQ unknown 0
          Rutland Plains RTP unknown 0
          TOP

          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

          TOP

          StormSurge

          0.4 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Losuia, Papua New Guinea. This height is estimated for 02 Dec 2018 13:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (134 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 10 of 04 Dec 2018 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          02 Dec 2018 13:00 Losuia Papua New Guinea  0.4
          02 Dec 2018 12:00 Sidabadu Papua New Guinea  0.4
          02 Dec 2018 14:00 Tais Papua New Guinea  0.3
          02 Dec 2018 06:00 Saibai Australia  0.3
          02 Dec 2018 13:00 Kaduaga Papua New Guinea  0.3
          02 Dec 2018 13:00 Jara Papua New Guinea  0.2
          04 Dec 2018 13:00 Te Kowai Australia  0.2
          02 Dec 2018 13:00 Banana Pocket Australia  0.2
          02 Dec 2018 13:00 Lethebrook Australia  0.2
          02 Dec 2018 09:00 Kamaua Papua New Guinea  0.2
          02 Dec 2018 14:00 Bula Papua New Guinea  0.2
          02 Dec 2018 13:00 Midgeton Australia  0.2
          02 Dec 2018 09:00 Mirimairau Papua New Guinea  0.2
          02 Dec 2018 13:00 Mabaduan Papua New Guinea  0.2
          02 Dec 2018 12:00 Lahimoina Papua New Guinea  0.2
          02 Dec 2018 12:00 Leileiafa Papua New Guinea  0.2
          02 Dec 2018 09:00 Apeawa Papua New Guinea  0.2
          02 Dec 2018 09:00 Tovai Papua New Guinea  0.2
          02 Dec 2018 09:00 Uramu I Papua New Guinea  0.2
          02 Dec 2018 09:00 Kaivu Papua New Guinea  0.2
          02 Dec 2018 09:00 Mairipepea Papua New Guinea  0.2
          02 Dec 2018 09:00 Moravamu Papua New Guinea  0.2
          04 Dec 2018 14:00 Etowri Australia  0.2
          04 Dec 2018 14:00 Nindaroo Australia  0.2
          04 Dec 2018 14:00 Bucasia Australia  0.2
          04 Dec 2018 14:00 Eimeo Australia  0.2
          04 Dec 2018 14:00 Andergrove Australia  0.2
          04 Dec 2018 14:00 Blacks Beach Australia  0.2
          04 Dec 2018 14:00 Slade Point Australia  0.2
          04 Dec 2018 14:00 Amhurst Australia  0.2
          04 Dec 2018 15:00 Cannonvale Australia  0.2
          04 Dec 2018 15:00 Airlie Australia  0.2
          02 Dec 2018 13:00 Carmila Australia  0.2
          04 Dec 2018 15:00 Glenella Australia  0.2
          04 Dec 2018 14:00 North Mackay Australia  0.2
          04 Dec 2018 15:00 Mackay Australia  0.2
          04 Dec 2018 14:00 Cremorne Australia  0.2
          02 Dec 2018 08:00 Mira Papua New Guinea  0.2
          04 Dec 2018 15:00 Bakers Creek Australia  0.2
          02 Dec 2018 13:00 Auneri Papua New Guinea  0.2
          04 Dec 2018 15:00 Rosella Australia  0.2
          04 Dec 2018 15:00 Chelona Australia  0.2
          04 Dec 2018 15:00 Hay Point Australia  0.2
          02 Dec 2018 06:00 Gadaisu Papua New Guinea  0.2
          02 Dec 2018 13:00 Bona Bona I Papua New Guinea  0.2
          02 Dec 2018 09:00 Veraibari Papua New Guinea  0.2
          02 Dec 2018 11:00 Ture Ture Papua New Guinea  0.2
          02 Dec 2018 09:00 Maubi Papua New Guinea  0.2
          04 Dec 2018 15:00 Alligator Creek Australia  0.2
          02 Dec 2018 07:00 Lea-Lea Papua New Guinea  0.2
          02 Dec 2018 12:00 Badu Australia  0.2
          02 Dec 2018 08:00 Avioua Papua New Guinea  0.2
          02 Dec 2018 10:00 Daru Papua New Guinea  0.2
          02 Dec 2018 10:00 Dorogari Papua New Guinea  0.2
          02 Dec 2018 08:00 Pai-a Papua New Guinea  0.2
          02 Dec 2018 08:00 Moinamu Papua New Guinea  0.2
          02 Dec 2018 10:00 Boze Papua New Guinea  0.2
          02 Dec 2018 10:00 Ume Papua New Guinea  0.2
          02 Dec 2018 15:00 Flaggy Rock Australia  0.2
          02 Dec 2018 13:00 Taffy Islet Australia  0.2
          02 Dec 2018 08:00 Koravaki Papua New Guinea  0.1
          04 Dec 2018 10:00 Farnborough Australia  0.1
          04 Dec 2018 10:00 Yeppoon Australia  0.1
          04 Dec 2018 10:00 Emu Park Australia  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 15:00 Seaforth Australia  0.1
          04 Dec 2018 07:00 Madaua Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 06:00 Griffin Point Papua New Guinea  0.1
          04 Dec 2018 02:00 Hekampan Papua New Guinea  0.1
          04 Dec 2018 02:00 Tagula Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 09:00 Giwaretore Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 09:00 Gibu Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 09:00 Ibou Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 09:00 Mapoi'a Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 08:00 Babai Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 08:00 Mariki Papua New Guinea  0.1
          05 Dec 2018 02:00 Alva Australia  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 09:00 Misiki Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 09:00 Morigio I Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 08:00 Dopima Papua New Guinea  0.1
          04 Dec 2018 10:00 Keppel Sands Australia  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 09:00 Ekeirau Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 08:00 Namaituri Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 08:00 Goari Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 08:00 Ubua Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 13:00 Hamlet of Togo Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 11:00 Waidoro Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 11:00 Kadawa Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 15:00 Elalie Australia  0.1
          04 Dec 2018 08:00 Pantava Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 07:00 Bedauna Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 07:00 Pihigole Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 06:00 Kido Papua New Guinea  0.1
          04 Dec 2018 10:00 Southend Australia  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 05:00 Keakalo Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 05:00 Silo Silo Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 13:00 Port Kennedy Australia  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 08:00 Kinipo Papua New Guinea  0.1
          05 Dec 2018 02:00 Carstairs Australia  0.1
          05 Dec 2018 02:00 Jarvisfield Australia  0.1
          05 Dec 2018 02:00 Rita Island Australia  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 15:00 Clairview Australia  0.1
          05 Dec 2018 01:00 Merinda Australia  0.1
          05 Dec 2018 01:00 Delta Australia  0.1
          05 Dec 2018 01:00 Bootooloo Australia  0.1
          05 Dec 2018 01:00 Yumbabullo Australia  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 05:00 Donuwo Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 07:00 Kasabanalua Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 07:00 Samarai Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 07:00 Sidudu Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 07:00 Magesina Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 07:00 Sideia I Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 05:00 Marea Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 05:00 Iuku Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 05:00 Herekera Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 05:00 Haiara Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 05:00 Ihu Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 05:00 Vailala Hiloi Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 05:00 Iori Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 05:00 Vailala East Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 05:00 Gogsiba Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 12:00 Hammond I Australia  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 08:00 Umuda I Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 08:00 Ara'ava Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 15:00 Kalarka Australia  0.1
          03 Dec 2018 01:00 Inveroona Australia  0.1
          03 Dec 2018 01:00 Queens Beach Australia  0.1
          05 Dec 2018 03:00 Bowen Australia  0.1
          04 Dec 2018 00:00 Rewe Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 05:00 Kapai Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 05:00 Apiope Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 05:00 Ravi-kevau Papua New Guinea  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 08:00 Cassady Australia  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 08:00 Lucinda Australia  0.1
          02 Dec 2018 13:00 Lawes College Papua New Guinea  0.1