Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for JOYCE-18
Off-shore
16 Sep 2018 15 UTC
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  • GDACS NOAA
Impact Single TC
  • GFS
  • HWRF
  • ECMWF
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone JOYCE-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 93 km/h
    Maximum storm surge
    Vulnerability --

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 56 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 93 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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    Wind

      56 km/h Current Max.

      Up to no people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 12 Sep 2018 21:00 93 No people No people
        Green 2 13 Sep 2018 03:00 93 No people No people
        Green 3 13 Sep 2018 09:00 83 No people No people
        Green 4 13 Sep 2018 15:00 74 No people No people
        Green 5 13 Sep 2018 21:00 65 No people No people
        Green 6 14 Sep 2018 03:00 65 No people No people
        Green 7 14 Sep 2018 09:00 65 No people No people
        Green 8 14 Sep 2018 15:00 65 No people No people
        Green 9 14 Sep 2018 21:00 74 No people No people
        Green 10 15 Sep 2018 03:00 93 No people No people
        Green 11 15 Sep 2018 09:00 93 No people No people
        Green 12 15 Sep 2018 15:00 74 No people No people
        Green 13 15 Sep 2018 21:00 74 No people No people
        Green 14 16 Sep 2018 03:00 65 No people No people
        Green 15 16 Sep 2018 09:00 65 No people No people
        Green 16 16 Sep 2018 15:00 56 No people No people

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 12 Sep 2018 21:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 34.3, -41.9
          GREEN
          		 2 13 Sep 2018 03:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 34.1, -42.6
          GREEN
          		 3 13 Sep 2018 09:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 33.8, -43.1
          GREEN
          		 4 13 Sep 2018 15:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 33.7, -43.7
          GREEN
          		 5 13 Sep 2018 21:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 33.6, -44.2
          GREEN
          		 6 14 Sep 2018 03:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 32.9, -44.4
          GREEN
          		 7 14 Sep 2018 09:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 32.1, -44.9
          GREEN
          		 8 14 Sep 2018 15:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 31.6, -44.6
          GREEN
          		 9 14 Sep 2018 21:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 31.4, -44.1
          GREEN
          		 10 15 Sep 2018 03:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 31.6, -43.6
          GREEN
          		 11 15 Sep 2018 09:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 31.9, -42.2
          GREEN
          		 12 15 Sep 2018 15:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 32, -41
          GREEN
          		 13 15 Sep 2018 21:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 33.1, -39.6
          GREEN
          		 14 16 Sep 2018 03:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 33.4, -38
          GREEN
          		 15 16 Sep 2018 09:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 34, -36.1
          GREEN
          		 16 16 Sep 2018 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 34.7, -34.3
          GREEN
          		 16 17 Sep 2018 00:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 34.9, -31.4
          GREEN
          		 16 17 Sep 2018 12:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 34.5, -28.7
          GREEN
          		 16 18 Sep 2018 00:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 33.6, -27
          GREEN
          		 16 18 Sep 2018 12:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 32.6, -26.7
          GREEN
          		 16 19 Sep 2018 12:00 Tropical depression 37 no people no people 30.4, -29.2
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          0 m

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (0 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 2 of 13 Sep 2018 03:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 6 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)