Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FLORENCE-18
in United States
10 Sep 2018 09 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
GDACS
Impact Single TC
Impact all weather systems in the area
.

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FLORENCE-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS (NOAA)
Exposed countries United States
Exposed population 1.5 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 241 km/h
Maximum storm surge
Vulnerability Low (United States)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS Current 231 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 1.5
GDACS Overall 241 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

231 km/h Current

Up to 1.2 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat. 1 or higher
Countries
Green 1 30 Aug 2018 15:00 120 50 thousand No people Cape Verde
Green 2 30 Aug 2018 21:00 120 40 thousand No people Cape Verde
Green 3 31 Aug 2018 03:00 120 7 thousand No people
Green 4 31 Aug 2018 09:00 120 50 thousand No people Cape Verde
Green 5 31 Aug 2018 15:00 120 No people No people
Green 6 31 Aug 2018 21:00 111 No people No people
Green 7 01 Sep 2018 03:00 111 No people No people
Green 8 01 Sep 2018 09:00 111 No people No people
Green 9 01 Sep 2018 15:00 111 No people No people
Green 10 01 Sep 2018 21:00 102 No people No people
Green 11 02 Sep 2018 03:00 102 No people No people
Green 12 02 Sep 2018 09:00 102 No people No people
Green 13 02 Sep 2018 15:00 102 No people No people
Green 14 02 Sep 2018 21:00 102 No people No people
Green 15 03 Sep 2018 03:00 93 No people No people
Green 16 03 Sep 2018 09:00 102 No people No people
Green 17 03 Sep 2018 15:00 111 No people No people
Green 18 03 Sep 2018 21:00 111 No people No people
Green 19 04 Sep 2018 03:00 111 No people No people
Green 20 04 Sep 2018 09:00 120 No people No people
Green 21 04 Sep 2018 15:00 120 No people No people
Green 22 04 Sep 2018 21:00 148 No people No people
Green 23 05 Sep 2018 03:00 167 No people No people
Green 24 05 Sep 2018 09:00 167 No people No people
Green 25 05 Sep 2018 15:00 204 No people No people
Green 26 05 Sep 2018 21:00 213 No people No people
Green 27 06 Sep 2018 03:00 213 No people No people
Green 28 06 Sep 2018 09:00 204 No people No people
Green 29 06 Sep 2018 15:00 194 No people No people
Green 30 06 Sep 2018 21:00 194 No people No people
Green 31 07 Sep 2018 03:00 204 No people No people
Green 32 07 Sep 2018 09:00 204 No people No people
Green 33 07 Sep 2018 15:00 213 No people No people
Green 34 07 Sep 2018 21:00 213 No people No people
Green 35 08 Sep 2018 03:00 213 No people No people
Green 36 08 Sep 2018 09:00 231 No people No people
Green 37 08 Sep 2018 15:00 231 No people No people
Green 38 08 Sep 2018 21:00 231 410 thousand No people United States
Orange 39 09 Sep 2018 03:00 231 2.7 million 160 thousand United States
Orange 40 09 Sep 2018 09:00 222 4.3 million 340 thousand United States
Orange 41 09 Sep 2018 15:00 222 6.5 million 600 thousand United States
Orange 42 09 Sep 2018 21:00 222 5.9 million 990 thousand United States
Orange 43 10 Sep 2018 03:00 241 5.7 million 990 thousand United States
Orange 44 10 Sep 2018 09:00 231 7.3 million 1.3 million United States

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 30 Aug 2018 15:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 12.9, -18.4
GREEN
2 30 Aug 2018 21:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 12.9, -19.4
GREEN
3 31 Aug 2018 03:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 13.2, -20.9
GREEN
4 31 Aug 2018 09:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 13.6, -21.4
GREEN
5 31 Aug 2018 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 13.7, -22.7
GREEN
6 31 Aug 2018 21:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 13.8, -24.7
GREEN
7 01 Sep 2018 03:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 14.2, -25.5
GREEN
8 01 Sep 2018 09:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 14.5, -26.7
GREEN
9 01 Sep 2018 15:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 14.8, -27.8
GREEN
10 01 Sep 2018 21:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 15.6, -29
GREEN
11 02 Sep 2018 03:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 16, -30.2
GREEN
12 02 Sep 2018 09:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 16.5, -31.4
GREEN
13 02 Sep 2018 15:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 17, -33.2
GREEN
14 02 Sep 2018 21:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 17.4, -34.6
GREEN
15 03 Sep 2018 03:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 17.9, -35.9
GREEN
16 03 Sep 2018 09:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 18, -37.5
GREEN
17 03 Sep 2018 15:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 18.3, -38.7
GREEN
18 03 Sep 2018 21:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 18.6, -39.8
GREEN
19 04 Sep 2018 03:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 18.9, -41
GREEN
20 04 Sep 2018 09:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 19.3, -42
GREEN
21 04 Sep 2018 15:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 19.7, -42.5
GREEN
22 04 Sep 2018 21:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 20.3, -43.2
GREEN
23 05 Sep 2018 03:00 Category 2 157 no people no people 20.7, -43.9
GREEN
24 05 Sep 2018 09:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 21.4, -44.8
GREEN
25 05 Sep 2018 15:00 Category 3 204 no people no people 22, -45.7
GREEN
26 05 Sep 2018 21:00 Category 4 213 no people no people 22.7, -46.6
GREEN
27 06 Sep 2018 03:00 Category 3 204 no people no people 23.4, -47.2
GREEN
28 06 Sep 2018 09:00 Category 3 185 no people no people 24.1, -47.9
GREEN
29 06 Sep 2018 15:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 24.6, -48.6
GREEN
30 06 Sep 2018 21:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 25, -49.6
GREEN
31 07 Sep 2018 03:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 25.1, -49.8
GREEN
32 07 Sep 2018 09:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 25.1, -50.7
GREEN
33 07 Sep 2018 15:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 25, -51.8
GREEN
34 07 Sep 2018 21:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 24.8, -52.5
GREEN
35 08 Sep 2018 03:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 24.8, -53.2
GREEN
36 08 Sep 2018 09:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 24.5, -54.2
GREEN
37 08 Sep 2018 15:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 24.5, -54.3
GREEN
38 08 Sep 2018 21:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 24.6, -54.7
GREEN
39 09 Sep 2018 03:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 24.6, -55.2
GREEN
40 09 Sep 2018 09:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 24.5, -55.8
GREEN
41 09 Sep 2018 15:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 24.4, -56.3
GREEN
42 09 Sep 2018 21:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 24.4, -57
GREEN
43 10 Sep 2018 03:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 24.6, -57.7
GREEN
44 10 Sep 2018 09:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 24.9, -58.9
GREEN
44 10 Sep 2018 18:00 Category 3 204 no people no people 25.4, -60.5
GREEN
44 11 Sep 2018 06:00 Category 4 222 no people no people 26.1, -63.1
GREEN
44 11 Sep 2018 18:00 Category 4 231 no people no people 27.3, -66.2
GREEN
44 12 Sep 2018 06:00 Category 4 241 no people no people 28.8, -69.3
ORANGE
44 13 Sep 2018 06:00 Category 4 231 5.7 million people 450000 people 32.2, -74.8 United States
ORANGE
44 14 Sep 2018 06:00 Category 3 185 7.2 million people 1.2 million people 34.5, -78.1 United States
GREEN
44 15 Sep 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 35.8, -79.6 United States
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.



Exposed population

Countries

Country
United States

Provinces

Region Province Country Population
North Carolina United States 6.8 million people

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population Distance
Wilmington North Carolina United States City 75000 people 2110 km
Fayetteville North Carolina United States City 120000 people 2229 km

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft) Distance
Whitewood Forest 9 0 2084 km
Camp Davis Mcolf 18 0 2090 km
New River Mcas 8 Mil. Paved Yes 5100 2091 km
Topsail Airpark 20 0 2091 km
Pilots Ridge 11 0 2101 km
Sky Manor 18 0 2104 km
Brunswick Media Center 8 0 2104 km
Brunswick County 7 Civ. Paved Yes 4000 2108 km
New Hanover County ILM 10 Civ. Paved Yes 8000 2109 km
Albert J Ellis OAJ 29 Civ. Paved Yes 7100 2111 km
Stag Air Park 7 0 2116 km
Brickhouse Fld 9 0 2119 km
Winnabow 10 0 2120 km
The Brunswick Hospital 8 0 2130 km
Sandy Run Acres 18 0 2130 km
Pettigrew Moore Aerodrome 9 0 2131 km
Henderson Field 12 Civ. Paved Yes 3900 2138 km
Bear Pen 19 0 2139 km
Murphy Farms 24 0 2144 km
Safe Field 15 0 2144 km
Duplin General Hospital 38 0 2146 km
P B Raiford 41 Civ. Paved Yes 6000 2150 km
Yonder 11 0 2152 km
Mitchell Field 7 0 2153 km
Garland 'brinks' 38 0 2171 km
Sampson Memorial Hospital 48 0 2178 km
Sampson County CTZ 45 Civ. Paved Yes 4200 2180 km
Elizabethtown 40 0 2180 km
Twin Oak 38 0 2184 km
Bladen County Hospital 37 0 2185 km
Dublin Field 38 0 2194 km
Bladenboro 35 0 2195 km
Rainbow 18 0 2201 km
Grays Creek 60 0 2215 km
Betsy Johnson Memorial Hospital 63 0 2219 km
Eastover Air Ranch 49 0 2219 km
Bill Johnsons 29 0 2220 km
Tailwinds 50 0 2220 km
Fayetteville Municipal FAY 58 Civ. Paved Yes 7200 2223 km
Southern Comforts Aerodrome 53 0 2225 km
Windemere 30 0 2225 km
Sprint / Carolina Telephone 44 0 2227 km
Flyers Airpark 35 0 2227 km
Fayetteville Vamc 58 0 2228 km
Harnett County 60 Civ. Paved Yes 3700 2230 km
Cape Fear Valley Medical Center 65 0 2230 km
Beard 64 0 2231 km
E T Field 57 0 2234 km
Simmons AAF FBG 74 Mil. Paved Yes 4600 2235 km
Allen's 122 0 2239 km
Pope AFB POB 66 Mil. Paved Yes 7400 2243 km
Raeford Municipal 93 0 2250 km
William Irving Lewis 94 0 2252 km
Craven Field 125 0 2255 km
Viking 90 0 2256 km
Sanford Lee Co Brick Field 131 0 2269 km
Sanford-Lee County Regional 75 Civ. Paved Yes 6500 2270 km
Dean Wings Past 146 0 2271 km
Moretz Riverside Landing 99 0 2276 km
Moore County SOP 141 Civ. Paved Yes 5500 2277 km
Eagles Landing 131 0 2284 km
Gilliam - McConnell Airfield 136 0 2286 km
Dead Dog 160 0 2294 km
Brooks Field 189 0 2300 km
Blair Municipal 187 0 2308 km
Flying Dove Field 198 0 2311 km
Hinshaw (Greenacres) 229 0 2318 km
Smith Air Strip 171 0 2322 km
Yorks Field 174 0 2324 km
Causey 221 0 2328 km
Southeast Greensboro 225 0 2335 km

Ports

Name LOCODE Country Distance
Cape Fear USCFN Wake Island 2095 km
Wrightsville USXOG Wake Island 2097 km
Southport Wake Island 2103 km
Wilmington (n.cal) USILM Wake Island 2112 km

Dams

Reservoir Dam Name River Year Distance
B. Everett Jordan Lake B. Everett Jordan Dam Haw River 1974 2271 km

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

No locations affected by storm surge > 10 cm

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (0 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 44 of 10 Sep 2018 09:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 6 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)