Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for BERYL-18
in Guadeloupe, Dominica, Martinique
08 Jul 2018 21 UTC
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  • GDACS NOAA
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone BERYL-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Guadeloupe, Dominica, Martinique
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 157 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.1 m (09 Jul 01:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Low (Guadeloupe)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 74 km/h 0.1 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 157 km/h 0.1 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

    TOP

    Wind

      74 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 470000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 05 Jul 2018 15:00 65 No people No people
        Green 2 05 Jul 2018 21:00 120 No people No people
        Green 3 06 Jul 2018 03:00 120 No people No people
        Green 4 06 Jul 2018 09:00 139 590 thousand No people Martinique, Dominica, Guadeloupe
        Green 5 06 Jul 2018 15:00 157 10.7 million 70 thousand Dominica
        Green 6 06 Jul 2018 21:00 148 5.8 million 390 thousand Martinique
        Green 7 07 Jul 2018 03:00 139 4.9 million 370 thousand Martinique
        Green 8 07 Jul 2018 09:00 120 560 thousand No people Saint Lucia, Martinique, Dominica
        Green 9 07 Jul 2018 15:00 102 6.2 million No people Martinique, Dominica, Guadeloupe, Dominican Republic, Haiti
        Green 10 07 Jul 2018 21:00 83 470 thousand No people Martinique, Dominica, Guadeloupe
        Green 11 08 Jul 2018 03:00 74 430 thousand No people Martinique, Dominica, Guadeloupe
        Green 12 08 Jul 2018 09:00 74 340 thousand No people Martinique, Dominica, Guadeloupe, Puerto Rico
        Green 13 08 Jul 2018 15:00 74 2.2 million No people Martinique, Dominica, Guadeloupe, Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic
        Green 14 08 Jul 2018 21:00 74 470 thousand No people Martinique, Dominica, Guadeloupe

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 05 Jul 2018 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 10.2, -41.4
          GREEN
          		 2 05 Jul 2018 21:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 10.3, -42.8
          GREEN
          		 3 06 Jul 2018 03:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 10.4, -44
          GREEN
          		 4 06 Jul 2018 09:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 10.6, -45.1
          GREEN
          		 5 06 Jul 2018 15:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 10.7, -46.5
          GREEN
          		 6 06 Jul 2018 21:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 10.6, -47.8
          GREEN
          		 7 07 Jul 2018 03:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 10.9, -48.9
          GREEN
          		 8 07 Jul 2018 09:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 11.1, -49.8
          GREEN
          		 9 07 Jul 2018 15:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 12.1, -51.1
          GREEN
          		 10 07 Jul 2018 21:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 12.7, -52.7
          GREEN
          		 11 08 Jul 2018 03:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 13.1, -54.3
          GREEN
          		 12 08 Jul 2018 09:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 13.7, -56
          GREEN
          		 13 08 Jul 2018 15:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 110000 people 14.4, -57.9 Dominica
          GREEN
          		 14 08 Jul 2018 21:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 470000 people 15.2, -60.3 Dominica
          GREEN
          		 14 09 Jul 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 16.2, -63.3
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Martinique
          Dominica
          Guadeloupe

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Martinique Martinique
          Dominica Dominica
          Guadeloupe Guadeloupe

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          Roseau Saint George Dominica Capital 17000 people
          Capesterre Guadeloupe City -
          Pointe-à-Pitre Guadeloupe City -
          Basse-Terre Guadeloupe Capital 11000 people
          Saint-Claude Guadeloupe City 10000 people

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Melville Hall DOM 24 Civ. Paved Yes 4800
          Dominica Cane DCF unknown 0
          Canefield 4 Civ. Paved No 2500
          Marie Galante GBJ 5 Civ. Paved Yes 4000
          Terre de Haut LSS unknown 0
          Terre-de-Bas HTB unknown 0
          Le Raizet PTP 11 Civ. Paved Yes 11400
          Basse-Terre Baillif BBR unknown 0

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          La Trinite Martinique
          Roseau DMRSU Dominica
          Portsmouth DMPOR Dominica
          Grand Bourg Guadeloupe
          Saint Louis Guadeloupe
          Bourg Des Saintes Guadeloupe
          Pointe-a-Pitre GPPTP Guadeloupe
          Basse Terre GPBBR Guadeloupe
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          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          0.1 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.1m in Baroui, Dominica. This height is estimated for 09 Jul 2018 01:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (10 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 14 of 08 Jul 2018 21:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          09 Jul 2018 01:00 Baroui Dominica  0.1
          09 Jul 2018 00:00 Marigot Dominica  0.1
          09 Jul 2018 02:00 Basse-Terre Guadeloupe  0.1
          09 Jul 2018 00:00 Grand-Bourg Guadeloupe  0.1
          09 Jul 2018 00:00 Castle Bruce Dominica  0.1
          09 Jul 2018 00:00 La Plaine Dominica  0.1
          09 Jul 2018 00:00 Capesterre Guadeloupe  0.1
          09 Jul 2018 01:00 Portsmouth Dominica  0.1
          09 Jul 2018 02:00 Saint-Claude Guadeloupe  0.1
          09 Jul 2018 01:00 Le Bourg Guadeloupe  0.1