Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for HOLA-18
in New Zealand, New Caledonia, Vanuatu

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HOLA-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries New Zealand, New Caledonia, Vanuatu
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 241 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (07 Mar 04:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (New Zealand)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 231 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5
Overall 241 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

231 km/h Current Max.

Up to <1000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 06 Mar 2018 12:00 185 2.1 million Few people New Caledonia
Green 2 06 Mar 2018 18:00 231 910 thousand Few people New Caledonia
Green 3 07 Mar 2018 00:00 231 2.7 million Few people New Caledonia

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 06 Mar 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 220000 people -15.9, 168.9 Vanuatu
GREEN
2 06 Mar 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 220000 people -16.1, 168.4 Vanuatu
GREEN
3 07 Mar 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 150000 people -16, 167.6 Vanuatu
GREEN
3 07 Mar 2018 12:00 Category 1 120 no people 91000 people -16.4, 166.5 Vanuatu
GREEN
3 08 Mar 2018 00:00 Category 2 157 no people 35000 people -17, 165.8 Vanuatu
GREEN
3 08 Mar 2018 12:00 Category 3 194 no people 61000 people -17.8, 165.8 New Caledonia
GREEN
3 09 Mar 2018 00:00 Category 4 231 <1000 people 290000 people -18.8, 166.5 New Caledonia
GREEN
3 10 Mar 2018 00:00 Category 4 213 no people 7600 people -22.9, 170.2 New Caledonia
GREEN
3 11 Mar 2018 00:00 Category 2 157 no people 2.2 million people -30, 174.4 New Zealand
GREEN
3 12 Mar 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people -35.3, 177.6
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
New Caledonia

Provinces

Region Province Country
New Caledonia New Caledonia

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Mare la Roche MEE 43 Civ. Paved No 3200

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Ellarmo, Vanuatu. This height is estimated for 07 Mar 2018 04:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (94 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 3 of 07 Mar 2018 00:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
07 Mar 2018 04:00 Ellarmo Vanuatu  0.2
07 Mar 2018 03:00 Brenwe Vanuatu  0.2
07 Mar 2018 05:00 Mae Vanuatu  0.2
07 Mar 2018 03:00 Laravet Vanuatu  0.2
07 Mar 2018 02:00 Norsup Vanuatu  0.2
06 Mar 2018 20:00 Linbul Vanuatu  0.2
06 Mar 2018 20:00 Olal Vanuatu  0.2
07 Mar 2018 01:00 Katbol Vanuatu  0.2
07 Mar 2018 05:00 Tenmaru Vanuatu  0.2
09 Mar 2018 10:00 Wegnec St-Joseph New Caledonia  0.2
09 Mar 2018 10:00 Teouta New Caledonia  0.2
06 Mar 2018 20:00 Lonbilingdoun Vanuatu  0.2
06 Mar 2018 19:00 Fonwor Vanuatu  0.2
06 Mar 2018 21:00 Ranvetlam Vanuatu  0.2
07 Mar 2018 03:00 Lakatoro Vanuatu  0.2
07 Mar 2018 03:00 Vinmavis Vanuatu  0.2
09 Mar 2018 14:00 Tawainedre New Caledonia  0.2
09 Mar 2018 14:00 Hnadid New Caledonia  0.2
06 Mar 2018 19:00 Endu Pahakol Vanuatu  0.1
06 Mar 2018 23:00 Limap Vanuatu  0.1
09 Mar 2018 13:00 Prony New Caledonia  0.1
09 Mar 2018 14:00 Kurine New Caledonia  0.1
09 Mar 2018 15:00 Nouville New Caledonia  0.1
09 Mar 2018 15:00 Saint-Louis New Caledonia  0.1
09 Mar 2018 16:00 Plum New Caledonia  0.1
09 Mar 2018 17:00 Bouloupari New Caledonia  0.1
07 Mar 2018 04:00 Wowo Vanuatu  0.1
09 Mar 2018 14:00 Thogone New Caledonia  0.1
09 Mar 2018 17:00 Yate-Village New Caledonia  0.1
09 Mar 2018 17:00 Waho New Caledonia  0.1
09 Mar 2018 14:00 Miramas New Caledonia  0.1
09 Mar 2018 10:00 Ognat New Caledonia  0.1
09 Mar 2018 15:00 Dumbea New Caledonia  0.1
09 Mar 2018 17:00 Tomo New Caledonia  0.1
09 Mar 2018 20:00 Gadji New Caledonia  0.1
06 Mar 2018 19:00 Lamarou Vanuatu  0.1
06 Mar 2018 19:00 Paia Vanuatu  0.1
07 Mar 2018 02:00 Vao Vanuatu  0.1
07 Mar 2018 05:00 Wintua Vanuatu  0.1
07 Mar 2018 05:00 Abnetare Vanuatu  0.1
09 Mar 2018 08:00 Doking New Caledonia  0.1
09 Mar 2018 10:00 Dosip New Caledonia  0.1
09 Mar 2018 11:00 Ro New Caledonia  0.1
09 Mar 2018 14:00 Wabao New Caledonia  0.1
09 Mar 2018 14:00 Medu New Caledonia  0.1
09 Mar 2018 14:00 Eni New Caledonia  0.1
06 Mar 2018 20:00 Port-Vato Vanuatu  0.1
06 Mar 2018 21:00 Abatabanga Vanuatu  0.1
06 Mar 2018 19:00 Pawe Vanuatu  0.1
06 Mar 2018 18:00 Toak Vanuatu  0.1
06 Mar 2018 23:00 Fali Vanuatu  0.1
07 Mar 2018 01:00 Roghumbo Vanuatu  0.1
07 Mar 2018 01:00 Palikoulo Vanuatu  0.1
07 Mar 2018 03:00 Laruru Vanuatu  0.1
07 Mar 2018 02:00 Segond Vanuatu  0.1
07 Mar 2018 02:00 Luganville Vanuatu  0.1
07 Mar 2018 04:00 Tavendrua Vanuatu  0.1
07 Mar 2018 06:00 Olo Olo Vanuatu  0.1
07 Mar 2018 06:00 Tasiriki Vanuatu  0.1
09 Mar 2018 12:00 Chepenehe New Caledonia  0.1
09 Mar 2018 07:00 Nang New Caledonia  0.1
09 Mar 2018 18:00 Ouara New Caledonia  0.1
09 Mar 2018 14:00 Goro New Caledonia  0.1
09 Mar 2018 10:00 Inagod New Caledonia  0.1
09 Mar 2018 10:00 Xode New Caledonia  0.1
09 Mar 2018 10:00 Mou New Caledonia  0.1
09 Mar 2018 11:00 Nece New Caledonia  0.1
09 Mar 2018 15:00 Noumea New Caledonia  0.1
09 Mar 2018 15:00 Comm. du Mont-Dore New Caledonia  0.1
06 Mar 2018 19:00 Ponkovia Vanuatu  0.1
06 Mar 2018 19:00 Lamen Vanuatu  0.1
06 Mar 2018 19:00 Vaoleli Vanuatu  0.1
06 Mar 2018 19:00 Tafouale Vanuatu  0.1
06 Mar 2018 19:00 Liro Vanuatu  0.1
06 Mar 2018 19:00 Nikaura Vanuatu  0.1
06 Mar 2018 19:00 Tavio Vanuatu  0.1
06 Mar 2018 19:00 Ignal Vanuatu  0.1
06 Mar 2018 19:00 Lulep Nesa Vanuatu  0.1
06 Mar 2018 19:00 Mate Vanuatu  0.1
06 Mar 2018 19:00 Halos Vanuatu  0.1
06 Mar 2018 22:00 Lambulmbatuei Vanuatu  0.1
06 Mar 2018 23:00 Yelowouwou Vanuatu  0.1
06 Mar 2018 22:00 Yaotilie Vanuatu  0.1
06 Mar 2018 23:00 Rerep Vanuatu  0.1
07 Mar 2018 04:00 Asavagas Vanuatu  0.1
07 Mar 2018 05:00 Melip Vanuatu  0.1
07 Mar 2018 04:00 Youelapa Vanuatu  0.1
07 Mar 2018 05:00 Wailapo Vanuatu  0.1
09 Mar 2018 08:00 Hunete New Caledonia  0.1
09 Mar 2018 10:00 Nathalo New Caledonia  0.1
09 Mar 2018 07:00 Havila New Caledonia  0.1
09 Mar 2018 10:00 Tingeting New Caledonia  0.1
09 Mar 2018 07:00 We New Caledonia  0.1
09 Mar 2018 11:00 Menaku New Caledonia  0.1