Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for HOLA-18
in New Zealand, New Caledonia, Vanuatu

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HOLA-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries New Zealand, New Caledonia, Vanuatu
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 241 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (10 Mar 04:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (New Zealand)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 148 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 0.5
Overall 241 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

148 km/h Current Max.

Up to 17000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 06 Mar 2018 12:00 185 2.1 million Few people New Caledonia
Green 2 06 Mar 2018 18:00 231 910 thousand Few people New Caledonia
Green 3 07 Mar 2018 00:00 231 2.7 million Few people New Caledonia
Green 4 07 Mar 2018 06:00 231 2.8 million 20 thousand New Caledonia
Green 5 07 Mar 2018 12:00 231 3 million 20 thousand New Caledonia
Green 6 07 Mar 2018 18:00 241 680 thousand 20 thousand New Caledonia
Green 7 08 Mar 2018 00:00 231 2.7 million 20 thousand New Caledonia
Green 8 08 Mar 2018 06:00 222 3 million 20 thousand New Caledonia, New Zealand
Green 9 08 Mar 2018 12:00 204 3.4 million 10 thousand New Caledonia
Green 10 08 Mar 2018 18:00 194 590 thousand 20 thousand New Caledonia
Green 11 09 Mar 2018 00:00 157 2.2 million 20 thousand New Caledonia
Green 12 09 Mar 2018 06:00 148 2.9 million 20 thousand New Caledonia

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 06 Mar 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 220000 people -15.9, 168.9 Vanuatu
GREEN
2 06 Mar 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 220000 people -16.1, 168.4 Vanuatu
GREEN
3 07 Mar 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 150000 people -16, 167.6 Vanuatu
GREEN
4 07 Mar 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 140000 people -16.1, 166.9 Vanuatu
GREEN
5 07 Mar 2018 12:00 Category 1 120 no people 69000 people -16.6, 166.6 Vanuatu
GREEN
6 07 Mar 2018 18:00 Category 2 167 no people 110000 people -16.9, 166.2 Vanuatu
GREEN
7 08 Mar 2018 00:00 Category 2 167 no people no people -17.2, 165.6
GREEN
8 08 Mar 2018 06:00 Category 2 176 no people 10000 people -17.6, 165.4 New Caledonia
GREEN
9 08 Mar 2018 12:00 Category 2 176 no people <1000 people -17.7, 165.4 New Caledonia
GREEN
10 08 Mar 2018 18:00 Category 2 176 no people 64000 people -18, 165.2 Vanuatu
GREEN
11 09 Mar 2018 00:00 Category 2 157 no people 60000 people -18.1, 165.3 Vanuatu
GREEN
12 09 Mar 2018 06:00 Category 1 148 no people 95000 people -18.4, 165.5 Vanuatu
GREEN
12 09 Mar 2018 18:00 Category 1 139 17000 people 290000 people -19.7, 166.7 New Caledonia
GREEN
12 10 Mar 2018 06:00 Category 1 130 5300 people 250000 people -21.9, 168.5 New Caledonia
GREEN
12 10 Mar 2018 18:00 Category 1 120 no people 4600 people -24.7, 170.3 New Caledonia
GREEN
12 11 Mar 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 2.4 million people -27.5, 171.5 New Zealand
GREEN
12 12 Mar 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -33.4, 173.8
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
New Caledonia

Provinces

Region Province Country
New Caledonia New Caledonia

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Ouvea Ouloup UVE 7 Civ. Paved No 3600
Wanaham LIF 28 Civ. Paved No 3600
Mare la Roche MEE 43 Civ. Paved No 3200

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
We New Caledonia
Tadine New Caledonia

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Kurine, New Caledonia. This height is estimated for 10 Mar 2018 04:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (162 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 12 of 09 Mar 2018 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
10 Mar 2018 04:00 Kurine New Caledonia  0.4
10 Mar 2018 03:00 Miramas New Caledonia  0.4
10 Mar 2018 03:00 Hnadid New Caledonia  0.4
10 Mar 2018 04:00 Tawainedre New Caledonia  0.3
09 Mar 2018 23:00 Nang New Caledonia  0.3
09 Mar 2018 23:00 Wegnec St-Joseph New Caledonia  0.3
09 Mar 2018 23:00 Teouta New Caledonia  0.3
10 Mar 2018 03:00 Ro New Caledonia  0.3
10 Mar 2018 03:00 Thogone New Caledonia  0.3
10 Mar 2018 00:00 Inagod New Caledonia  0.2
10 Mar 2018 04:00 Wabao New Caledonia  0.2
10 Mar 2018 04:00 Medu New Caledonia  0.2
10 Mar 2018 04:00 Eni New Caledonia  0.2
10 Mar 2018 00:00 Chepenehe New Caledonia  0.2
10 Mar 2018 04:00 Dumbea New Caledonia  0.2
09 Mar 2018 23:00 Ognat New Caledonia  0.2
10 Mar 2018 06:00 Plum New Caledonia  0.2
10 Mar 2018 05:00 Saint-Louis New Caledonia  0.2
10 Mar 2018 03:00 Prony New Caledonia  0.2
10 Mar 2018 08:00 Tomo New Caledonia  0.2
10 Mar 2018 08:00 Bouloupari New Caledonia  0.2
10 Mar 2018 10:00 Gadji New Caledonia  0.2
10 Mar 2018 10:00 Wapan New Caledonia  0.2
10 Mar 2018 03:00 Menaku New Caledonia  0.2
10 Mar 2018 00:00 Tingeting New Caledonia  0.2
10 Mar 2018 00:00 Dosip New Caledonia  0.2
10 Mar 2018 06:00 Yate-Village New Caledonia  0.2
10 Mar 2018 06:00 Waho New Caledonia  0.2
07 Mar 2018 04:00 Tenmaru Vanuatu  0.2
10 Mar 2018 03:00 Nece New Caledonia  0.2
06 Mar 2018 20:00 Linbul Vanuatu  0.2
06 Mar 2018 20:00 Olal Vanuatu  0.2
07 Mar 2018 01:00 Norsup Vanuatu  0.2
09 Mar 2018 23:00 Hunete New Caledonia  0.2
09 Mar 2018 23:00 Nathalo New Caledonia  0.2
10 Mar 2018 06:00 Noumea New Caledonia  0.2
10 Mar 2018 06:00 Comm. du Mont-Dore New Caledonia  0.2
10 Mar 2018 03:00 Tadine New Caledonia  0.2
06 Mar 2018 20:00 Lonbilingdoun Vanuatu  0.2
06 Mar 2018 19:00 Fonwor Vanuatu  0.2
07 Mar 2018 04:00 Wowo Vanuatu  0.2
07 Mar 2018 01:00 Mae Vanuatu  0.2
07 Mar 2018 01:00 Katbol Vanuatu  0.2
07 Mar 2018 04:00 Ellarmo Vanuatu  0.2
07 Mar 2018 03:00 Brenwe Vanuatu  0.2
09 Mar 2018 22:00 Doking New Caledonia  0.2
12 Mar 2018 06:00 Waipu New Zealand  0.2
12 Mar 2018 06:00 Ruakaka New Zealand  0.2
12 Mar 2018 06:00 Marsden Point New Zealand  0.2
12 Mar 2018 06:00 Waipu Cove New Zealand  0.2
12 Mar 2018 06:00 Whangarei Heads New Zealand  0.2
12 Mar 2018 06:00 Taurikura New Zealand  0.2
12 Mar 2018 06:00 Merita New Zealand  0.2
06 Mar 2018 21:00 Ranvetlam Vanuatu  0.2
07 Mar 2018 03:00 Laravet Vanuatu  0.2
10 Mar 2018 00:00 Wadrilla New Caledonia  0.2
10 Mar 2018 07:00 Ouara New Caledonia  0.2
10 Mar 2018 06:00 Nouville New Caledonia  0.2
10 Mar 2018 07:00 Kuto New Caledonia  0.2
12 Mar 2018 02:00 Algies Bay New Zealand  0.2
10 Mar 2018 07:00 Vao New Caledonia  0.2
06 Mar 2018 19:00 Endu Pahakol Vanuatu  0.1
06 Mar 2018 23:00 Limap Vanuatu  0.1
07 Mar 2018 05:00 Palikoulo Vanuatu  0.1
07 Mar 2018 02:00 Vao Vanuatu  0.1
07 Mar 2018 05:00 Segond Vanuatu  0.1
07 Mar 2018 05:00 Luganville Vanuatu  0.1
07 Mar 2018 06:00 Losoue Vanuatu  0.1
10 Mar 2018 00:00 Havila New Caledonia  0.1
12 Mar 2018 03:00 Orewa New Zealand  0.1
12 Mar 2018 03:00 Upper Waiwera New Zealand  0.1
12 Mar 2018 03:00 Red Beach New Zealand  0.1
12 Mar 2018 03:00 Waiwera New Zealand  0.1
12 Mar 2018 03:00 Stanmore Bay New Zealand  0.1
12 Mar 2018 03:00 Mahurangi New Zealand  0.1
12 Mar 2018 02:00 Browns Bay New Zealand  0.1
12 Mar 2018 02:00 Torbay New Zealand  0.1
12 Mar 2018 03:00 Whangaparaoa New Zealand  0.1
12 Mar 2018 02:00 Mairangi Bay New Zealand  0.1
12 Mar 2018 03:00 Tawharanui New Zealand  0.1
12 Mar 2018 03:00 Takapuna New Zealand  0.1
12 Mar 2018 03:00 Bayswater New Zealand  0.1
12 Mar 2018 03:00 Narrow Neck New Zealand  0.1
12 Mar 2018 03:00 North Head New Zealand  0.1
07 Mar 2018 03:00 Laruru Vanuatu  0.1
07 Mar 2018 03:00 Lakatoro Vanuatu  0.1
07 Mar 2018 03:00 Vinmavis Vanuatu  0.1
10 Mar 2018 04:00 Goro New Caledonia  0.1
10 Mar 2018 00:00 We New Caledonia  0.1
12 Mar 2018 02:00 Campbells Bay New Zealand  0.1
12 Mar 2018 06:00 Lake Ohia New Zealand  0.1
06 Mar 2018 19:00 Lamarou Vanuatu  0.1
06 Mar 2018 19:00 Paia Vanuatu  0.1
10 Mar 2018 05:00 Nde New Caledonia  0.1
12 Mar 2018 06:00 Matauri Bay New Zealand  0.1
12 Mar 2018 06:00 Tepene New Zealand  0.1
12 Mar 2018 02:00 Pukapuka New Zealand  0.1
12 Mar 2018 06:00 Ngunguru New Zealand  0.1
12 Mar 2018 06:00 Matapouri New Zealand  0.1
12 Mar 2018 06:00 Tutukaka New Zealand  0.1
12 Mar 2018 06:00 Whangaruru South New Zealand  0.1
12 Mar 2018 06:00 Whangaruru North New Zealand  0.1
12 Mar 2018 06:00 Waitangi New Zealand  0.1
12 Mar 2018 06:00 Whangaruru New Zealand  0.1
12 Mar 2018 06:00 Helena Bay New Zealand  0.1
12 Mar 2018 06:00 Paetawai New Zealand  0.1
12 Mar 2018 06:00 Whananaki South New Zealand  0.1
12 Mar 2018 06:00 Whananaki New Zealand  0.1
12 Mar 2018 06:00 Whangateau New Zealand  0.1
12 Mar 2018 06:00 Leigh New Zealand  0.1
12 Mar 2018 03:00 Saint Heliers New Zealand  0.1
06 Mar 2018 20:00 Port-Vato Vanuatu  0.1
06 Mar 2018 21:00 Abatabanga Vanuatu  0.1
06 Mar 2018 19:00 Pawe Vanuatu  0.1
06 Mar 2018 18:00 Toak Vanuatu  0.1
06 Mar 2018 23:00 Fali Vanuatu  0.1
07 Mar 2018 01:00 Roghumbo Vanuatu  0.1
07 Mar 2018 04:00 Wintua Vanuatu  0.1
07 Mar 2018 05:00 Saraotou Vanuatu  0.1
07 Mar 2018 06:00 Olo Olo Vanuatu  0.1
07 Mar 2018 06:00 Tasiriki Vanuatu  0.1
09 Mar 2018 21:00 Fayaoue New Caledonia  0.1
09 Mar 2018 21:00 Ognahu New Caledonia  0.1
10 Mar 2018 01:00 Xode New Caledonia  0.1
10 Mar 2018 01:00 Mou New Caledonia  0.1
10 Mar 2018 05:00 Paita New Caledonia  0.1
12 Mar 2018 06:00 Mangawhai New Zealand  0.1
12 Mar 2018 06:00 Arai Point New Zealand  0.1
12 Mar 2018 06:00 Taipa New Zealand  0.1
12 Mar 2018 06:00 Whangamumu New Zealand  0.1
12 Mar 2018 03:00 Kawau Island New Zealand  0.1
12 Mar 2018 06:00 Russell New Zealand  0.1
06 Mar 2018 19:00 Ponkovia Vanuatu  0.1
06 Mar 2018 19:00 Lamen Vanuatu  0.1
06 Mar 2018 19:00 Vaoleli Vanuatu  0.1
06 Mar 2018 19:00 Tafouale Vanuatu  0.1
06 Mar 2018 19:00 Liro Vanuatu  0.1
06 Mar 2018 19:00 Nikaura Vanuatu  0.1
06 Mar 2018 19:00 Tavio Vanuatu  0.1
06 Mar 2018 19:00 Ignal Vanuatu  0.1
06 Mar 2018 19:00 Lulep Nesa Vanuatu  0.1
06 Mar 2018 19:00 Mate Vanuatu  0.1
06 Mar 2018 19:00 Halos Vanuatu  0.1
06 Mar 2018 22:00 Lambulmbatuei Vanuatu  0.1
06 Mar 2018 23:00 Yelowouwou Vanuatu  0.1
06 Mar 2018 22:00 Yaotilie Vanuatu  0.1
06 Mar 2018 23:00 Rerep Vanuatu  0.1
07 Mar 2018 01:00 Walaha Vanuatu  0.1
07 Mar 2018 03:00 Asavagas Vanuatu  0.1
07 Mar 2018 08:00 Melip Vanuatu  0.1
07 Mar 2018 03:00 Tavendrua Vanuatu  0.1
07 Mar 2018 06:00 Youelapa Vanuatu  0.1
07 Mar 2018 05:00 Abnetare Vanuatu  0.1
07 Mar 2018 06:00 Wailapo Vanuatu  0.1
09 Mar 2018 23:00 Doueoulou New Caledonia  0.1
12 Mar 2018 06:00 Kaiwaka New Zealand  0.1
12 Mar 2018 06:00 Taraunui New Zealand  0.1
12 Mar 2018 06:00 Rukuwai New Zealand  0.1
12 Mar 2018 06:00 Pataua New Zealand  0.1
12 Mar 2018 06:00 Pakiri New Zealand  0.1
12 Mar 2018 06:00 Taemaro New Zealand  0.1
12 Mar 2018 06:00 Parapara New Zealand  0.1