Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for OCKHI-17
in India, Maldives, Sri Lanka

Impact

Tropical Cyclone OCKHI-17 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Glide number: TC-2017-000172-IND
Exposed countries India, Maldives, Sri Lanka
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 176 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (06 Dec 03:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 65 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 1.5
Overall 176 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

65 km/h Current Max.

Up to 40.8 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Orange 1 29 Nov 2017 18:00 102 25.3 million 2 thousand Sri Lanka, India
Orange 2 30 Nov 2017 00:00 93 23.3 million 2 thousand India, Sri Lanka
Green 3 30 Nov 2017 06:00 139 16.9 million 2 thousand India, Sri Lanka
Orange 4 30 Nov 2017 12:00 130 26.7 million 270 thousand India
Orange 5 30 Nov 2017 18:00 130 28.9 million 580 thousand India
Orange 6 01 Dec 2017 00:00 130 86 million 40 thousand India
Orange 7 01 Dec 2017 06:00 111 37.5 million 1 thousand India, Sri Lanka
Orange 8 01 Dec 2017 12:00 65 38.8 million No people India, Maldives, Sri Lanka
Orange 9 01 Dec 2017 18:00 102 71.7 million No people India, Maldives, Sri Lanka
Green 10 02 Dec 2017 00:00 176 26.2 million No people India, Maldives, Sri Lanka
Orange 11 02 Dec 2017 06:00 93 36 million No people India, Maldives, Sri Lanka
Orange 12 02 Dec 2017 12:00 139 57.3 million No people India, Maldives, Sri Lanka
Orange 13 02 Dec 2017 18:00 139 106.1 million No people India, Maldives, Sri Lanka
Orange 14 03 Dec 2017 00:00 102 85.1 million No people India, Maldives, Sri Lanka
Orange 15 03 Dec 2017 06:00 65 40.8 million No people India, Maldives, Sri Lanka

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
ORANGE
1 29 Nov 2017 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 14.1 million people 6.6, 78.8 India
ORANGE
2 30 Nov 2017 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 17.6 million people 7.5, 77.3 India
GREEN
3 30 Nov 2017 06:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 9.8 million people 7.8, 76.6 India
ORANGE
4 30 Nov 2017 12:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 11.5 million people 8.4, 75.6 India
GREEN
5 30 Nov 2017 18:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 60000 people 8.5, 74.7 India
GREEN
6 01 Dec 2017 00:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 70000 people 8.7, 74.2 India
GREEN
7 01 Dec 2017 06:00 Category 1 130 1200 people 58000 people 8.8, 73.5 India
GREEN
8 01 Dec 2017 12:00 Category 1 130 no people 77000 people 8.9, 72.6 India
GREEN
9 01 Dec 2017 18:00 Category 1 148 no people 56000 people 9.2, 72 India
GREEN
10 02 Dec 2017 00:00 Category 2 157 no people 51000 people 9.4, 71.5 India
GREEN
11 02 Dec 2017 06:00 Category 2 157 no people 32000 people 9.9, 71 India
GREEN
12 02 Dec 2017 12:00 Category 2 176 no people 19000 people 10.6, 70.4 India
GREEN
13 02 Dec 2017 18:00 Category 3 185 no people no people 11.3, 69.8
GREEN
14 03 Dec 2017 00:00 Category 2 176 no people no people 11.7, 69.3
GREEN
15 03 Dec 2017 06:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 12, 68.8
GREEN
15 03 Dec 2017 18:00 Category 2 157 no people no people 13.5, 68.5
GREEN
15 04 Dec 2017 06:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 14.9, 69
GREEN
15 04 Dec 2017 18:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 16.5, 70
ORANGE
15 05 Dec 2017 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 19.8 million people 18.3, 71.2 India
GREEN
15 06 Dec 2017 06:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 21.6, 72.9 India
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
India
Maldives
Sri Lanka

Provinces

Region Province Country
Lakshadweep India
Kerala India
Maharashtra India
Haa Aliff Maldives
Tamil Nadu India
Gujarat India
Dadra and Nagar Haveli India
Daman & Diu India
North Western Sri Lanka
Western Sri Lanka
Southern Sri Lanka

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Mattancheri Kerala India City -
Alleppey Kerala India City -
Kottayam Kerala India City 59000 people
Quilon Kerala India City -
Vasei Maharashtra India City -
Nalasopara Maharashtra India City 240000 people
Trivandrum Kerala India City -
Tenkasi Tamil Nadu India City 63000 people
Kallidaikurichchi Tamil Nadu India City 25000 people
Nagercoil Tamil Nadu India City 210000 people
Tiruneveli Tamil Nadu India City -
Mel Palaiyam Tamil Nadu India City -
Palayankottai Tamil Nadu India City -
Valsad Gujarat India City 70000 people
Mahuva Gujarat India City 73000 people
Srivaikuntam Tamil Nadu India City 16000 people
Navsari Gujarat India City 130000 people
Tiruchchendur Tamil Nadu India City 30000 people
Surat Gujarat India City 2 million people
Bhavnagar Gujarat India City 510000 people
Bharuch Gujarat India City 150000 people
Khambhat Gujarat India City 81000 people
Vadodara Gujarat India City 1.4 million people
Negombo Western Sri Lanka City 140000 people
Colombo Western Sri Lanka Capital 610000 people
Wattala Western Sri Lanka City 30000 people
Ragama Western Sri Lanka City 27000 people
Gampaha Western Sri Lanka City 9300 people
Kotte Western Sri Lanka City 120000 people
Moratuwa Western Sri Lanka City 180000 people
Panadura Western Sri Lanka City -
Wadduwa Western Sri Lanka City -
Kalutara Western Sri Lanka City 38000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Agatti AGX 4 Civ. Paved No 3900
Thiruvananthapuram International TRV 5 Civ. Paved Yes 11100
Daman NMB 10 0
Surat STV 15 0
Bhavnagar BHU 10 Civ. Paved Yes 6300
Vadodara BDQ 37 Civ. Paved Yes 8100
Colombo Bandaranayake International CMB 9 Civ. Paved Yes 10900
Colombo Ratmalana RML 7 Civ. Paved Yes 6000
Katukurunda 3 0

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Amini Island India
Kavaratti Island India
Kalpeni Island India
Minicoy India
Alleppey INALF India
Needakara INNEE India
Quilon INQUI India
Trivandrum India
Nemam India
Kilachel India
Daman INDAM India
Pipavav Bandar India
Nagercoil India
Cape Comorin INCCN India
Hazira India
Tiruchendir India
Surat INSTV India
Bhavnagar INBHU India
Baruch India
Cambay INCAM India
Negombo Sri Lanka
Colombo LKCMB Sri Lanka
Moratuwa Sri Lanka
Kalutara Sri Lanka
Ambalangoda Sri Lanka

Dams

Reservoir Dam Name River Year
Kallada Kallada n/a
Dhamni Surya 1987
Madhuban Madhuban Damanganga n/a
Shetrunji Shetrunji 1965
Kakrapar Tapi 1954
Ukal Ukai Tapi 1972
Lower Karjan Karjan n/a
Wadhwana Orsang 1910

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Jalalpur, India. This height is estimated for 06 Dec 2017 03:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (142 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 15 of 03 Dec 2017 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 6 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
06 Dec 2017 03:00 Jalalpur India  0.5
06 Dec 2017 03:00 Mahuver India  0.5
06 Dec 2017 03:00 Surat India  0.5
06 Dec 2017 03:00 Damka India  0.5
06 Dec 2017 03:00 Bhagva India  0.4
06 Dec 2017 03:00 Olpad India  0.4
06 Dec 2017 01:00 Daman India  0.4
06 Dec 2017 01:00 Udvada India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 18:00 Dongri India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 18:00 Malad India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 18:00 Mira Bhayandar India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 18:00 Vasai India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 18:00 Nalasopara India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 18:00 Agashi India  0.4
06 Dec 2017 01:00 Maroli India  0.4
30 Nov 2017 04:00 Panalkkulam India  0.4
30 Nov 2017 04:00 Tondi India  0.4
30 Nov 2017 04:00 Irumeni India  0.4
06 Dec 2017 00:00 Kotada India  0.4
06 Dec 2017 02:00 Ghogha India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 20:00 Palghar India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 20:00 Mahim India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 20:00 Tarapur India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 20:00 Shirgaon India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 20:00 Boisar India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 20:00 Malyan India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 23:00 Gholvad India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 23:00 Bordi India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 23:00 Umbargam India  0.4
06 Dec 2017 02:00 Dahej India  0.4
06 Dec 2017 02:00 Asarsa India  0.4
30 Nov 2017 07:00 Manamelkudi India  0.3
30 Nov 2017 07:00 Ammapatam India  0.3
06 Dec 2017 02:00 Harinagar India  0.3
06 Dec 2017 02:00 Tankari India  0.3
06 Dec 2017 02:00 Muler India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 17:00 Mumbai India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 17:00 Asumumbay India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 18:00 Trombay India  0.3
30 Nov 2017 06:00 Kottaippattanam India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 21:00 Mahuva India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 11:00 Murud India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 11:00 Agar Panchaitan India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 11:00 Revadanda India  0.3
29 Nov 2017 22:00 Kilakarai India  0.3
29 Nov 2017 22:00 Muttupettai India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 11:00 Rohisa India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 11:00 Jafarabad India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 11:00 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 15:00 Mandve India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 15:00 Uran India  0.3
30 Nov 2017 04:00 Pamban India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 16:00 Alibag India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 11:00 Delvada India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 11:00 Nawabandar India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 11:00 Dharabandar India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 11:00 Dangarvadi India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 07:00 Boria India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 07:00 Guhagar India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 07:00 Anjanwel India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 10:00 Srivardhan India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 10:00 Bankot India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 10:00 Kelshi India  0.3
30 Nov 2017 04:00 Rameswaram India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 11:00 Kotra Nes India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 11:00 Kodinar India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 07:00 Jaigarh India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 05:00 Mirya India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 05:00 Ratnagiri India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 02:00 Vijayadurg India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 02:00 Devgarh India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 02:00 Pural India  0.2
30 Nov 2017 05:00 Delft Centre Sri Lanka  0.2
04 Dec 2017 22:00 Anjuna India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 22:00 Marmagao India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 22:00 Vasco Da Gama India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 22:00 Panaji India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 22:00 Agacaim India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 22:00 Madgaon India  0.2
30 Nov 2017 07:00 Sikkal India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 01:00 Vengurla India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 01:00 Terekhol India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 01:00 Malvan India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 04:00 Purangad India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 04:00 Purnagad India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 04:00 Adiura India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 22:00 Sadashivgarh India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 22:00 Karwar India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 22:00 Belekeri India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 22:00 Ankola India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 22:00 Gokarn India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 01:00 Chopdem India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 02:00 Achra India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 10:00 Lodhwa India  0.2
30 Nov 2017 07:00 Thoothukkudi India  0.2
30 Nov 2017 07:00 Melmandai India  0.2
30 Nov 2017 07:00 Vembar India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 22:00 Majali India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 11:00 Somnath India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 11:00 Sutrapada India  0.2
30 Nov 2017 05:00 Tiruchendur India  0.2
30 Nov 2017 05:00 Kayalpatnam India  0.2
30 Nov 2017 06:00 Kayts Sri Lanka  0.2
04 Dec 2017 22:00 Kumta India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 22:00 Honavar India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 22:00 Manki India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 22:00 Mavalli India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 22:00 Shirali India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 22:00 Advota India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 22:00 Chaudi India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 11:00 Veraval India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 11:00 Shil India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 11:00 Mangrol India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 11:00 Chorwad India  0.2
30 Nov 2017 06:00 Kurichchikadu Sri Lanka  0.1
04 Dec 2017 22:00 Bhatkal India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 22:00 Bainduru India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 22:00 Chittadi India  0.1
05 Dec 2017 12:00 Gorser India  0.1
30 Nov 2017 13:00 Vilinjam India  0.1
30 Nov 2017 13:00 Puvar India  0.1
30 Nov 2017 13:00 Thiruvananthapuram India  0.1
30 Nov 2017 13:00 Anjengo India  0.1
01 Dec 2017 05:00 Alleppey India  0.1
01 Dec 2017 05:00 Ambalapulai India  0.1
01 Dec 2017 05:00 Turavur India  0.1
30 Nov 2017 07:00 Agastiswaram India  0.1
30 Nov 2017 07:00 Cape Comorin India  0.1
30 Nov 2017 10:00 Kolachel India  0.1
30 Nov 2017 07:00 Erukkandurai India  0.1
30 Nov 2017 07:00 Vijayapati India  0.1
30 Nov 2017 10:00 Taingapatam India  0.1
05 Dec 2017 12:00 Ratia India  0.1
05 Dec 2017 12:00 Adodar India  0.1
30 Nov 2017 07:00 Kulasekharapatnam India  0.1
30 Nov 2017 07:00 Periathullay India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 22:00 Kundapura India  0.1
05 Dec 2017 12:00 Porbandar India  0.1
30 Nov 2017 10:00 Kadiapattanam India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 22:00 Udipi India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 22:00 Mulki India  0.1
30 Nov 2017 13:00 Varkkallai India  0.1