Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for MAX-17
in Mexico
15 Sep 2017 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone MAX-17 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Mexico
    Exposed population 240 thousand in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 148 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (15 Sep 01:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 46 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 148 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 1.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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    Wind

      46 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 1.6 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 9 15 Sep 2017 06:00 46 1.6 million 110 thousand Mexico

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 13 Sep 2017 12:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 16, -101.8
          GREEN
          		 2 13 Sep 2017 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 16, -101.6 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 3 14 Sep 2017 00:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 16.2, -101.2 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 4 14 Sep 2017 06:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 16.5, -100.8 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 5 14 Sep 2017 12:00 Category 1 130 9400 people 9400 people 16.3, -100.2 Mexico
          ORANGE
          		 7 14 Sep 2017 18:00 Category 1 139 240000 people 240000 people 16.5, -99.4 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 8 15 Sep 2017 00:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 16.7, -98.7 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 9 15 Sep 2017 06:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 17, -98.2 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 9 15 Sep 2017 18:00 Tropical depression 37 no people no people 17.5, -97.5 Mexico
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Mexico

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Guerrero Mexico
          Oaxaca Mexico

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          Ayutla Guerrero Mexico City 9900 people
          San Marcos Guerrero Mexico City 12000 people
          Acapulco Guerrero Mexico Major city 640000 people

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Ta lo de Soto 149 0
          Alvarez International ACA 5 Civ. Paved Yes 10800
          Pie de la Cuesta 6 0

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Puerto Marques Mexico
          Acapulco MXACA Mexico

          Dams

          Reservoir Dam Name River Year
          El Guineo Nexpa 1985
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          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          0.3 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Copala, Mexico. This height is estimated for 15 Sep 2017 01:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (5 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 5 of 14 Sep 2017 12:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          15 Sep 2017 01:00 Copala Mexico  0.3
          15 Sep 2017 04:00 Tierra Colorada Mexico  0.2
          15 Sep 2017 03:00 Marquelia Mexico  0.2
          14 Sep 2017 22:00 Mauricio Gutierrez Mexico  0.1
          14 Sep 2017 15:00 El Marques Mexico  0.1