Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for JOSE-17
in United States, Virgin Islands, British, Virgin Islands, U.S., Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe
07 Sep 2017 15 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS NOAA
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone JOSE-17 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries United States, Virgin Islands, British, Virgin Islands, U.S., Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 250 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (10 Sep 11:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability High (United States)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 194 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 250 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

    TOP

    Wind

      194 km/h Current Max.

      Up to <1000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 05 Sep 2017 15:00 167 No people No people
        Green 2 05 Sep 2017 21:00 176 No people No people
        Green 3 06 Sep 2017 03:00 176 No people No people
        Green 4 06 Sep 2017 09:00 176 2 thousand No people Antigua and Barbuda
        Green 5 06 Sep 2017 15:00 176 2 thousand No people Antigua and Barbuda
        Green 6 06 Sep 2017 21:00 185 2 thousand No people Antigua and Barbuda
        Green 7 07 Sep 2017 03:00 194 190 thousand No people Antigua and Barbuda, Anguilla
        Green 8 07 Sep 2017 09:00 204 400 thousand No people Guadeloupe, Antigua and Barbuda, Montserrat, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Anguilla, Virgin Islands, British
        Green 9 07 Sep 2017 15:00 194 680 thousand Few people Antigua and Barbuda

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 05 Sep 2017 15:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 12.3, -39.1
          GREEN
          		 2 05 Sep 2017 21:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 12.5, -40.6
          GREEN
          		 3 06 Sep 2017 03:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 12.3, -41.7
          GREEN
          		 4 06 Sep 2017 09:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 12.5, -42.8
          GREEN
          		 5 06 Sep 2017 15:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 13.1, -44.5
          GREEN
          		 6 06 Sep 2017 21:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 13.9, -45.8
          GREEN
          		 7 07 Sep 2017 03:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 14.4, -47.5
          GREEN
          		 8 07 Sep 2017 09:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 14.8, -49.1
          GREEN
          		 9 07 Sep 2017 15:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 14.9, -50.6
          GREEN
          		 9 08 Sep 2017 00:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 15.4, -53.1
          GREEN
          		 9 08 Sep 2017 12:00 Category 3 185 no people no people 16, -56
          GREEN
          		 9 09 Sep 2017 00:00 Category 3 194 no people 430000 people 16.6, -58.5 Montserrat
          GREEN
          		 9 09 Sep 2017 12:00 Category 3 185 <1000 people 680000 people 17.5, -60.5 Antigua and Barbuda
          GREEN
          		 9 10 Sep 2017 12:00 Category 2 157 no people 35000 people 20.3, -64.4 Virgin Islands, British
          GREEN
          		 9 11 Sep 2017 12:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 24, -67.5
          GREEN
          		 9 12 Sep 2017 12:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 27, -68.5
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Antigua & Barbuda

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Antigua & Barbuda Antigua and Barbuda

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          TOP

          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

          TOP

          StormSurge

          0.2 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in The Settlement, British Virgin Islands. This height is estimated for 10 Sep 2017 11:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (33 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 9 of 07 Sep 2017 15:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          10 Sep 2017 11:00 The Settlement British Virgin Islands  0.2
          09 Sep 2017 15:00 Barnes Hill Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
          09 Sep 2017 20:00 Codrington Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
          10 Sep 2017 07:00 Spanish Town British Virgin Islands  0.1
          09 Sep 2017 16:00 Ebenezer Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
          09 Sep 2017 16:00 Creekside Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
          09 Sep 2017 16:00 Dickenson Bay Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
          09 Sep 2017 16:00 Golden Grove Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
          09 Sep 2017 16:00 John Hughes Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
          09 Sep 2017 16:00 Boons Bay Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
          09 Sep 2017 16:00 Cedar Grove Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
          09 Sep 2017 16:00 Saint Johnston Village Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
          09 Sep 2017 16:00 Potters Village Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
          09 Sep 2017 16:00 Osbourn Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
          09 Sep 2017 16:00 Falmouth Harbour Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
          09 Sep 2017 16:00 Cobbs Cross Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
          09 Sep 2017 16:00 English Harbour Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
          09 Sep 2017 16:00 Pares Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
          09 Sep 2017 16:00 Betty's Hope Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
          09 Sep 2017 16:00 Newfield Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
          09 Sep 2017 16:00 Half Moon Bay Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
          10 Sep 2017 04:00 Annaberg Virgin Islands  0.1
          10 Sep 2017 04:00 Hermitage Virgin Islands  0.1
          10 Sep 2017 04:00 Bordeaux Virgin Islands  0.1
          09 Sep 2017 17:00 Five Islands Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
          09 Sep 2017 17:00 Jolly Harbour Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
          09 Sep 2017 17:00 Bolans Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
          09 Sep 2017 16:00 Urlings Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
          09 Sep 2017 17:00 Jennings Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
          09 Sep 2017 17:00 Runaway Bay Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
          09 Sep 2017 17:00 Saint John's Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
          09 Sep 2017 14:00 Willikies Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
          10 Sep 2017 10:00 Pacham Town British Virgin Islands  0.1