Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for JOSE-17 in United States, Virgin Islands, British, Virgin Islands, U.S., Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe from 05 Sep 2017 15:00 UTC to 10 Sep 2017 09:00 UTC

10 Sep 2017 09 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone JOSE-17 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	United States, Virgin Islands, British, Virgin Islands, U.S., Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	250 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (10 Sep 08:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (United States)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	213 km/h	0.2 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	250 km/h	0.2 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

TOP

Wind

213 km/h Current Max.

Up to no people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	05 Sep 2017 15:00	167	No people	No people
2	05 Sep 2017 21:00	176	No people	No people
3	06 Sep 2017 03:00	176	No people	No people
4	06 Sep 2017 09:00	176	2 thousand	No people	Antigua and Barbuda
5	06 Sep 2017 15:00	176	2 thousand	No people	Antigua and Barbuda
6	06 Sep 2017 21:00	185	2 thousand	No people	Antigua and Barbuda
7	07 Sep 2017 03:00	194	190 thousand	No people	Antigua and Barbuda, Anguilla
8	07 Sep 2017 09:00	204	400 thousand	No people	Guadeloupe, Antigua and Barbuda, Montserrat, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Anguilla, Virgin Islands, British
9	07 Sep 2017 15:00	194	680 thousand	Few people	Antigua and Barbuda
10	07 Sep 2017 21:00	222	380 thousand	No people	Guadeloupe, Antigua and Barbuda, Montserrat, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Anguilla, Virgin Islands, British
11	08 Sep 2017 03:00	204	210 thousand	No people	Guadeloupe, Antigua and Barbuda, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Anguilla
12	08 Sep 2017 09:00	204	230 thousand	No people	Guadeloupe, Antigua and Barbuda, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Anguilla, Virgin Islands, British
13	08 Sep 2017 15:00	241	710 thousand	Few people	Antigua and Barbuda
14	08 Sep 2017 21:00	241	740 thousand	No people	Guadeloupe, Antigua and Barbuda, Montserrat, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Anguilla, Virgin Islands, British, Virgin Islands, U.S.
15	09 Sep 2017 03:00	250	700 thousand	No people	Guadeloupe, Antigua and Barbuda, Montserrat, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Anguilla, Virgin Islands, British, Virgin Islands, U.S.
16	09 Sep 2017 09:00	241	700 thousand	No people	Antigua and Barbuda, Guadeloupe, Montserrat, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Anguilla, Virgin Islands, British, Virgin Islands, U.S.
17	09 Sep 2017 15:00	231	630 thousand	No people	Antigua and Barbuda, Anguilla, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe, Virgin Islands, British
18	09 Sep 2017 21:00	231	630 thousand	No people	Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Virgin Islands, British, Montserrat, Guadeloupe
19	10 Sep 2017 03:00	213	680 thousand	No people	Virgin Islands, British, Anguilla, Virgin Islands, U.S., Saint Kitts and Nevis, Antigua and Barbuda, Montserrat, Guadeloupe
20	10 Sep 2017 09:00	213	680 thousand	No people	Virgin Islands, British, Virgin Islands, U.S., Anguilla, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Antigua and Barbuda, Montserrat, Guadeloupe

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	05 Sep 2017 15:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	12.3, -39.1
2	05 Sep 2017 21:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	12.5, -40.6
3	06 Sep 2017 03:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	12.3, -41.7
4	06 Sep 2017 09:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	12.5, -42.8
5	06 Sep 2017 15:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	13.1, -44.5
6	06 Sep 2017 21:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	13.9, -45.8
7	07 Sep 2017 03:00	Category 1	139	no people	no people	14.4, -47.5
8	07 Sep 2017 09:00	Category 1	148	no people	no people	14.8, -49.1
9	07 Sep 2017 15:00	Category 1	148	no people	no people	14.9, -50.6
10	07 Sep 2017 21:00	Category 3	194	no people	no people	15.5, -52.4
11	08 Sep 2017 03:00	Category 3	194	no people	no people	15.6, -53.9
12	08 Sep 2017 09:00	Category 3	204	no people	no people	16, -55.3
13	08 Sep 2017 15:00	Category 4	241	no people	no people	16.3, -57.1
14	08 Sep 2017 21:00	Category 4	241	no people	420000 people	16.6, -58.3	Antigua and Barbuda
15	09 Sep 2017 03:00	Category 4	250	no people	500000 people	16.9, -59.3	Montserrat
16	09 Sep 2017 09:00	Category 4	241	no people	620000 people	17.5, -60.3	Montserrat
17	09 Sep 2017 15:00	Category 4	231	no people	320000 people	18.3, -61.3	Montserrat
18	09 Sep 2017 21:00	Category 4	231	no people	240000 people	19.2, -62.4	Virgin Islands, British
19	10 Sep 2017 03:00	Category 4	213	no people	180000 people	19.8, -63.4	Anguilla
20	10 Sep 2017 09:00	Category 4	213	no people	2800 people	20.8, -64.5	Virgin Islands, British
20	10 Sep 2017 18:00	Category 3	204	no people	no people	22.2, -66.1
20	11 Sep 2017 06:00	Category 3	194	no people	no people	24.2, -67.9
20	11 Sep 2017 18:00	Category 3	185	no people	no people	25.6, -69
20	12 Sep 2017 06:00	Category 2	176	no people	no people	26.5, -68.8
20	13 Sep 2017 06:00	Category 2	167	no people	no people	26.3, -67
20	14 Sep 2017 06:00	Category 2	167	no people	no people	25, -66.5
20	15 Sep 2017 06:00	Category 2	167	no people	no people	24.5, -70

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

TOP

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

TOP

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in The Settlement, British Virgin Islands. This height is estimated for 10 Sep 2017 08:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (3 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 20 of 10 Sep 2017 09:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	10 Sep 2017 08:00	The Settlement	British Virgin Islands	0.2
	10 Sep 2017 04:00	Spanish Town	British Virgin Islands	0.1
	09 Sep 2017 16:00	Codrington	Antigua and Barbuda	0.1