Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for JOSE-17
in United States, Virgin Islands, British, Virgin Islands, U.S., Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe
08 Sep 2017 21 UTC
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  • GDACS NOAA
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone JOSE-17 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries United States, Virgin Islands, British, Virgin Islands, U.S., Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 250 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (09 Sep 17:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability High (United States)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 241 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 250 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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    Wind

      241 km/h Current Max.

      Up to no people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 05 Sep 2017 15:00 167 No people No people
        Green 2 05 Sep 2017 21:00 176 No people No people
        Green 3 06 Sep 2017 03:00 176 No people No people
        Green 4 06 Sep 2017 09:00 176 2 thousand No people Antigua and Barbuda
        Green 5 06 Sep 2017 15:00 176 2 thousand No people Antigua and Barbuda
        Green 6 06 Sep 2017 21:00 185 2 thousand No people Antigua and Barbuda
        Green 7 07 Sep 2017 03:00 194 190 thousand No people Antigua and Barbuda, Anguilla
        Green 8 07 Sep 2017 09:00 204 400 thousand No people Guadeloupe, Antigua and Barbuda, Montserrat, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Anguilla, Virgin Islands, British
        Green 9 07 Sep 2017 15:00 194 680 thousand Few people Antigua and Barbuda
        Green 10 07 Sep 2017 21:00 222 380 thousand No people Guadeloupe, Antigua and Barbuda, Montserrat, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Anguilla, Virgin Islands, British
        Green 11 08 Sep 2017 03:00 204 210 thousand No people Guadeloupe, Antigua and Barbuda, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Anguilla
        Green 12 08 Sep 2017 09:00 204 230 thousand No people Guadeloupe, Antigua and Barbuda, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Anguilla, Virgin Islands, British
        Green 13 08 Sep 2017 15:00 241 710 thousand Few people Antigua and Barbuda
        Green 14 08 Sep 2017 21:00 241 740 thousand No people Guadeloupe, Antigua and Barbuda, Montserrat, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Anguilla, Virgin Islands, British, Virgin Islands, U.S.

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 05 Sep 2017 15:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 12.3, -39.1
          GREEN
          		 2 05 Sep 2017 21:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 12.5, -40.6
          GREEN
          		 3 06 Sep 2017 03:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 12.3, -41.7
          GREEN
          		 4 06 Sep 2017 09:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 12.5, -42.8
          GREEN
          		 5 06 Sep 2017 15:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 13.1, -44.5
          GREEN
          		 6 06 Sep 2017 21:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 13.9, -45.8
          GREEN
          		 7 07 Sep 2017 03:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 14.4, -47.5
          GREEN
          		 8 07 Sep 2017 09:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 14.8, -49.1
          GREEN
          		 9 07 Sep 2017 15:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 14.9, -50.6
          GREEN
          		 10 07 Sep 2017 21:00 Category 3 194 no people no people 15.5, -52.4
          GREEN
          		 11 08 Sep 2017 03:00 Category 3 194 no people no people 15.6, -53.9
          GREEN
          		 12 08 Sep 2017 09:00 Category 3 204 no people no people 16, -55.3
          GREEN
          		 13 08 Sep 2017 15:00 Category 4 241 no people no people 16.3, -57.1
          GREEN
          		 14 08 Sep 2017 21:00 Category 4 241 no people 420000 people 16.6, -58.3 Antigua and Barbuda
          GREEN
          		 14 09 Sep 2017 06:00 Category 4 231 no people 660000 people 17.3, -60 Montserrat
          GREEN
          		 14 09 Sep 2017 18:00 Category 4 222 no people 340000 people 18.4, -61.9 Montserrat
          GREEN
          		 14 10 Sep 2017 06:00 Category 4 213 no people 85000 people 19.9, -64 Virgin Islands, British
          GREEN
          		 14 10 Sep 2017 18:00 Category 3 194 no people no people 21.7, -66
          GREEN
          		 14 11 Sep 2017 18:00 Category 2 176 no people no people 24.9, -68.8
          GREEN
          		 14 12 Sep 2017 18:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 27, -68.5
          GREEN
          		 14 13 Sep 2017 18:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 28, -66.5
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          0.2 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Codrington, Antigua and Barbuda. This height is estimated for 09 Sep 2017 17:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (29 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 14 of 08 Sep 2017 21:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          09 Sep 2017 17:00 Codrington Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
          10 Sep 2017 07:00 The Settlement British Virgin Islands  0.2
          09 Sep 2017 13:00 Barnes Hill Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
          09 Sep 2017 13:00 Dickenson Bay Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
          09 Sep 2017 13:00 Boons Bay Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
          09 Sep 2017 13:00 Cedar Grove Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
          09 Sep 2017 15:00 Five Islands Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
          09 Sep 2017 15:00 Jolly Harbour Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
          09 Sep 2017 15:00 Bolans Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
          09 Sep 2017 13:00 Urlings Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
          09 Sep 2017 15:00 Jennings Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
          09 Sep 2017 13:00 Ebenezer Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
          09 Sep 2017 15:00 Runaway Bay Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
          09 Sep 2017 13:00 Creekside Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
          09 Sep 2017 13:00 Golden Grove Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
          09 Sep 2017 15:00 Saint John's Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
          09 Sep 2017 13:00 John Hughes Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
          09 Sep 2017 13:00 Saint Johnston Village Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
          09 Sep 2017 13:00 Potters Village Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
          09 Sep 2017 13:00 Osbourn Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
          09 Sep 2017 13:00 Falmouth Harbour Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
          09 Sep 2017 13:00 Cobbs Cross Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
          09 Sep 2017 13:00 English Harbour Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
          09 Sep 2017 13:00 Pares Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
          09 Sep 2017 13:00 Betty's Hope Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
          09 Sep 2017 13:00 Newfield Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
          09 Sep 2017 13:00 Willikies Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
          09 Sep 2017 13:00 Half Moon Bay Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
          10 Sep 2017 04:00 Spanish Town British Virgin Islands  0.1