Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for JOSE-17
in United States, Virgin Islands, British, Virgin Islands, U.S., Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe
05 Sep 2017 15 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone JOSE-17 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries United States, Virgin Islands, British, Virgin Islands, U.S., Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 250 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.1 m (09 Sep 14:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (United States)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 167 km/h 0.1 m n.a. 0.5
Overall 250 km/h 0.1 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 05 Sep 2017 15:00 167 No people No people

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 05 Sep 2017 15:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 12.3, -39.1
GREEN
1 06 Sep 2017 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 12.8, -40.8
GREEN
1 06 Sep 2017 12:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 13.4, -43.4
GREEN
1 07 Sep 2017 00:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 13.9, -46.2
GREEN
1 07 Sep 2017 12:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 14.4, -49.2
GREEN
1 08 Sep 2017 12:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 16, -55
GREEN
1 09 Sep 2017 12:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 18.5, -59
GREEN
1 10 Sep 2017 12:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 21.5, -62.5
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.1m in Barnes Hill, Antigua and Barbuda. This height is estimated for 09 Sep 2017 14:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (16 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 1 of 05 Sep 2017 15:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
09 Sep 2017 14:00 Barnes Hill Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
09 Sep 2017 13:00 Five Islands Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
09 Sep 2017 13:00 Jennings Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
09 Sep 2017 13:00 Ebenezer Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
09 Sep 2017 13:00 Runaway Bay Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
09 Sep 2017 13:00 Creekside Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
09 Sep 2017 15:00 Dickenson Bay Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
09 Sep 2017 13:00 Golden Grove Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
09 Sep 2017 13:00 Saint John's Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
09 Sep 2017 15:00 Boons Bay Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
09 Sep 2017 15:00 Cedar Grove Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
09 Sep 2017 13:00 Saint Johnston Village Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
09 Sep 2017 13:00 Potters Village Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
09 Sep 2017 13:00 Osbourn Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
09 Sep 2017 13:00 Jolly Harbour Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
09 Sep 2017 13:00 Bolans Antigua and Barbuda  0.1