Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for IRMA-17
in United States, Bahamas, Cuba, Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S., British, Anguilla, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Antigua and Barbuda, Guadeloupe, Montserrat,
03 Sep 2017 15 UTC
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  • GDACS NOAA
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone IRMA-17 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries United States, Bahamas, Cuba, Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S., British, Anguilla, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Antigua and Barbuda, Guadeloupe, Montserrat,
    Exposed population 16.4 million in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 296 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (07 Sep 00:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Medium (Anguilla)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 222 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 2.5
    Overall 296 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 2.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

    TOP

    Wind

      222 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 17000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 30 Aug 2017 15:00 148 No people No people
        Green 2 30 Aug 2017 21:00 167 No people No people
        Green 3 31 Aug 2017 03:00 194 No people No people
        Green 4 31 Aug 2017 09:00 194 No people No people
        Green 5 31 Aug 2017 15:00 213 No people No people
        Green 6 31 Aug 2017 21:00 222 No people No people
        Green 7 01 Sep 2017 03:00 222 No people No people
        Green 8 01 Sep 2017 09:00 222 No people No people
        Green 9 01 Sep 2017 15:00 204 20 thousand No people Guadeloupe, Antigua and Barbuda
        Green 10 01 Sep 2017 21:00 213 220 thousand No people Antigua and Barbuda, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Anguilla
        Green 11 02 Sep 2017 03:00 213 50 thousand No people Antigua and Barbuda, Anguilla
        Green 12 02 Sep 2017 09:00 213 330 thousand No people Antigua and Barbuda, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Anguilla, Virgin Islands, British, Virgin Islands, U.S.
        Green 13 02 Sep 2017 15:00 213 230 thousand No people Antigua and Barbuda, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Anguilla, Virgin Islands, British
        Green 14 02 Sep 2017 21:00 213 2.2 million No people Guadeloupe, Antigua and Barbuda, Montserrat, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Anguilla, Virgin Islands, British, Virgin Islands, U.S., Puerto Rico
        Green 15 03 Sep 2017 03:00 213 3.9 million No people Guadeloupe, Antigua and Barbuda, Montserrat, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Anguilla, Virgin Islands, British, Virgin Islands, U.S., Puerto Rico, Turks and Caicos Islands
        Red 16 03 Sep 2017 09:00 222 5.1 million 5 thousand Antigua and Barbuda, Anguilla
        Red 17 03 Sep 2017 15:00 222 7.6 million 20 thousand Antigua and Barbuda, Anguilla, Turks and Caicos Islands

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 30 Aug 2017 15:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 16.4, -30.3
          GREEN
          		 2 30 Aug 2017 21:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 16.4, -31.2
          GREEN
          		 3 31 Aug 2017 03:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 16.4, -32.2
          GREEN
          		 4 31 Aug 2017 09:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 16.5, -32.9
          GREEN
          		 5 31 Aug 2017 15:00 Category 2 157 no people no people 16.9, -33.8
          GREEN
          		 6 31 Aug 2017 21:00 Category 3 185 no people no people 17.3, -34.8
          GREEN
          		 7 01 Sep 2017 03:00 Category 3 185 no people no people 17.8, -35.6
          GREEN
          		 8 01 Sep 2017 09:00 Category 3 185 no people no people 18.2, -36.5
          GREEN
          		 9 01 Sep 2017 15:00 Category 2 176 no people no people 18.5, -37.8
          GREEN
          		 10 01 Sep 2017 21:00 Category 3 194 no people no people 18.8, -39.1
          GREEN
          		 11 02 Sep 2017 03:00 Category 3 185 no people no people 19.1, -40.5
          GREEN
          		 12 02 Sep 2017 09:00 Category 2 176 no people no people 19, -41.8
          GREEN
          		 13 02 Sep 2017 15:00 Category 2 176 no people no people 18.8, -43.3
          GREEN
          		 14 02 Sep 2017 21:00 Category 2 176 no people no people 18.5, -44.6
          GREEN
          		 15 03 Sep 2017 03:00 Category 2 176 no people no people 18.3, -46.2
          GREEN
          		 16 03 Sep 2017 09:00 Category 3 185 no people no people 18, -47.5
          GREEN
          		 17 03 Sep 2017 15:00 Category 3 185 no people no people 17.7, -48.4
          GREEN
          		 17 04 Sep 2017 00:00 Category 3 194 no people no people 17.1, -50.1
          GREEN
          		 17 04 Sep 2017 12:00 Category 3 204 no people no people 16.6, -52.2
          GREEN
          		 17 05 Sep 2017 00:00 Category 4 213 no people no people 16.4, -54.3
          GREEN
          		 17 05 Sep 2017 12:00 Category 4 222 <1000 people 680000 people 16.7, -56.6 Antigua and Barbuda
          RED
          		 17 06 Sep 2017 12:00 Category 4 222 15000 people 4.5 million people 18.2, -61.8 Anguilla
          GREEN
          		 17 07 Sep 2017 12:00 Category 4 213 2000 people 5.8 million people 20.4, -67.1 Turks and Caicos Islands
          GREEN
          		 17 08 Sep 2017 12:00 Category 4 213 no people no people 22.5, -72 Turks and Caicos Islands
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Antigua & Barbuda
          Anguilla
          Turks & Caicos Is.

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Antigua & Barbuda Antigua and Barbuda
          Anguilla Anguilla
          Turks & Caicos Is. Turks and Caicos Islands

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          The Valley Anguilla Capital 1400 people

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Wallblake AXA 33 Civ. Paved Yes 3600
          Anegada NGD unknown 0

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Barbuda AGBBQ Antigua and Barbuda
          Blowing Point AIBLP Anguilla
          Anegada Island British Virgin Islands
          TOP

          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

          TOP

          StormSurge

          0.6 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.6m in The Settlement, British Virgin Islands. This height is estimated for 07 Sep 2017 00:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (112 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 17 of 03 Sep 2017 15:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          07 Sep 2017 00:00 The Settlement British Virgin Islands  0.6
          06 Sep 2017 21:00 Annaberg Virgin Islands  0.3
          06 Sep 2017 21:00 Bordeaux Virgin Islands  0.3
          06 Sep 2017 21:00 Calabash Boom Virgin Islands  0.3
          06 Sep 2017 21:00 Hermitage Virgin Islands  0.3
          06 Sep 2017 21:00 East End Virgin Islands  0.3
          06 Sep 2017 23:00 Road Town British Virgin Islands  0.3
          06 Sep 2017 18:00 The Valley Anguilla  0.2
          06 Sep 2017 23:00 Belle Vue British Virgin Islands  0.2
          06 Sep 2017 23:00 Spanish Town British Virgin Islands  0.2
          06 Sep 2017 12:00 Codrington Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
          06 Sep 2017 18:00 West End Village Anguilla  0.2
          06 Sep 2017 18:00 Blowing Point Anguilla  0.2
          06 Sep 2017 18:00 Grand Case Guadeloupe  0.2
          06 Sep 2017 18:00 Anse Marcel Guadeloupe  0.2
          06 Sep 2017 18:00 French Cul de Sac Guadeloupe  0.2
          06 Sep 2017 22:00 Pacham Town British Virgin Islands  0.2
          06 Sep 2017 09:00 Barnes Hill Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
          06 Sep 2017 23:00 Contant Virgin Islands  0.2
          06 Sep 2017 23:00 Adrian Virgin Islands  0.2
          06 Sep 2017 23:00 Fish Bay Virgin Islands  0.2
          06 Sep 2017 11:00 Five Islands Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
          06 Sep 2017 11:00 Runaway Bay Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
          06 Sep 2017 11:00 Dickenson Bay Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
          06 Sep 2017 11:00 Saint John's Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
          06 Sep 2017 11:00 Boons Bay Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
          06 Sep 2017 11:00 Cedar Grove Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
          06 Sep 2017 11:00 Jolly Harbour Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
          06 Sep 2017 11:00 Bolans Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
          06 Sep 2017 11:00 Jennings Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
          06 Sep 2017 09:00 Ebenezer Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
          06 Sep 2017 09:00 Creekside Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
          06 Sep 2017 09:00 Golden Grove Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
          06 Sep 2017 09:00 Saint Johnston Village Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
          06 Sep 2017 09:00 Potters Village Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
          06 Sep 2017 09:00 Osbourn Antigua and Barbuda  0.2
          06 Sep 2017 10:00 Urlings Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
          06 Sep 2017 09:00 Falmouth Harbour Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
          06 Sep 2017 09:00 Cobbs Cross Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
          06 Sep 2017 09:00 English Harbour Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
          06 Sep 2017 09:00 Pares Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
          06 Sep 2017 09:00 Betty's Hope Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
          06 Sep 2017 09:00 Newfield Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
          06 Sep 2017 09:00 Half Moon Bay Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
          06 Sep 2017 15:00 Gustavia Guadeloupe  0.1
          06 Sep 2017 18:00 Marigot Guadeloupe  0.1
          06 Sep 2017 18:00 Koolbaai Netherlands Antilles  0.1
          06 Sep 2017 18:00 Concordia Guadeloupe  0.1
          06 Sep 2017 18:00 St Louis Guadeloupe  0.1
          06 Sep 2017 18:00 Fort Amsterdam Netherlands Antilles  0.1
          06 Sep 2017 18:00 Dutch Cul de Sac Netherlands Antilles  0.1
          06 Sep 2017 18:00 Colombier Guadeloupe  0.1
          06 Sep 2017 18:00 Philipsburg Netherlands Antilles  0.1
          06 Sep 2017 18:00 Orleans Guadeloupe  0.1
          06 Sep 2017 18:00 Point Blanche Netherlands Antilles  0.1
          06 Sep 2017 18:00 Green Cay Guadeloupe  0.1
          06 Sep 2017 18:00 Lowlands Netherlands Antilles  0.1
          06 Sep 2017 18:00 Sandy Ground Guadeloupe  0.1
          07 Sep 2017 01:00 Adelphi Virgin Islands  0.1
          07 Sep 2017 01:00 Cabritaberg Virgin Islands  0.1
          06 Sep 2017 22:00 Barrett Virgin Islands  0.1
          07 Sep 2017 01:00 Charlotte Amalie Virgin Islands  0.1
          07 Sep 2017 01:00 Enighed Virgin Islands  0.1
          07 Sep 2017 01:00 Bellevue Virgin Islands  0.1
          06 Sep 2017 22:00 Mandal Virgin Islands  0.1
          06 Sep 2017 22:00 Donoe Virgin Islands  0.1
          06 Sep 2017 22:00 Benner Virgin Islands  0.1
          07 Sep 2017 11:00 Cornelia Puerto Rico  0.1
          07 Sep 2017 11:00 Brisas de Mal Puerto Rico  0.1
          07 Sep 2017 11:00 Guanajibo Castillo Puerto Rico  0.1
          07 Sep 2017 11:00 Malecon Puerto Rico  0.1
          07 Sep 2017 11:00 Cuesta de las Piedras Puerto Rico  0.1
          07 Sep 2017 11:00 Mayagnez Puerto Rico  0.1
          07 Sep 2017 04:00 El Morro Puerto Rico  0.1
          07 Sep 2017 04:00 Vietnam Puerto Rico  0.1
          07 Sep 2017 04:00 Puerta de Tierra Puerto Rico  0.1
          07 Sep 2017 04:00 Condado Puerto Rico  0.1
          06 Sep 2017 09:00 Willikies Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
          07 Sep 2017 12:00 Cabo Rojo Puerto Rico  0.1
          07 Sep 2017 12:00 Cerrillos Puerto Rico  0.1
          07 Sep 2017 07:00 Sandin Puerto Rico  0.1
          07 Sep 2017 07:00 Los Naranjos Puerto Rico  0.1
          07 Sep 2017 07:00 Campo Alegre Puerto Rico  0.1
          07 Sep 2017 07:00 Coto Norte Puerto Rico  0.1
          07 Sep 2017 03:00 Catano Puerto Rico  0.1
          06 Sep 2017 10:00 John Hughes Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
          07 Sep 2017 01:00 Bolongo Virgin Islands  0.1
          07 Sep 2017 13:00 Belvedere Puerto Rico  0.1
          07 Sep 2017 09:00 Guaniquilla Puerto Rico  0.1
          07 Sep 2017 13:00 Conde Avila Puerto Rico  0.1
          07 Sep 2017 13:00 Delicias Puerto Rico  0.1
          07 Sep 2017 09:00 El Combate Puerto Rico  0.1
          07 Sep 2017 09:00 Pole Ojea Puerto Rico  0.1
          07 Sep 2017 09:00 Boqueron Puerto Rico  0.1
          07 Sep 2017 03:00 Palo Seco Puerto Rico  0.1
          07 Sep 2017 15:00 Mani Puerto Rico  0.1
          07 Sep 2017 15:00 La Tosca Puerto Rico  0.1
          07 Sep 2017 15:00 La Playa Puerto Rico  0.1
          07 Sep 2017 15:00 Centro Calvache Puerto Rico  0.1
          07 Sep 2017 00:00 Neltjeberg Virgin Islands  0.1
          07 Sep 2017 05:00 San Ildefonso Puerto Rico  0.1
          07 Sep 2017 05:00 Culebra Puerto Rico  0.1
          06 Sep 2017 22:00 Isabel Segunda Puerto Rico  0.1
          06 Sep 2017 22:00 Santa Maria Puerto Rico  0.1
          06 Sep 2017 22:00 Vieques Puerto Rico  0.1
          07 Sep 2017 10:00 La Soledad Puerto Rico  0.1
          06 Sep 2017 18:00 Windward Side Netherlands Antilles  0.1
          06 Sep 2017 21:00 Hacienda Arcadia Puerto Rico  0.1
          07 Sep 2017 08:00 Dorado Puerto Rico  0.1
          07 Sep 2017 07:00 Tierras Nuevas Poniente Puerto Rico  0.1
          07 Sep 2017 08:00 Rojo Cabo Puerto Rico  0.1
          07 Sep 2017 14:00 Colonia Dolores Puerto Rico  0.1