Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for FRANKLIN-17
in Mexico
06 Aug 2017 21 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS NOAA
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone FRANKLIN-17 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Glide number: TC-2017-000105-MEX
    Exposed countries Mexico
    Exposed population 1.1 million in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 139 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (10 Aug 16:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 111 km/h 0.7 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 139 km/h 0.7 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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    Wind

      111 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 6.5 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 06 Aug 2017 21:00 111 6.5 million No people Belize, Mexico

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 06 Aug 2017 21:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 15.6, -82
          GREEN
          		 1 07 Aug 2017 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 16.6, -83.6
          GREEN
          		 1 07 Aug 2017 18:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 440000 people 18, -85.9 Belize
          GREEN
          		 1 08 Aug 2017 06:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 1.1 million people 19, -88 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 1 08 Aug 2017 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 510000 people 19.9, -90.1 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 1 09 Aug 2017 18:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 5.3 million people 21, -93.8 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 1 10 Aug 2017 18:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 21.2, -97.8 Mexico
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Belize
          Mexico

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Belize Belize
          Corozal Belize
          Quintana Roo Mexico
          Orange Walk Belize
          Yucatan Mexico
          Campeche Mexico
          Veracruz Mexico
          Puebla Mexico
          Hidalgo Mexico
          Tamaulipas Mexico
          San Luis Potosi Mexico
          Queretaro Mexico

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          Chetumal Quintana Roo Mexico Major city 130000 people
          Peto Yucatán Mexico City 18000 people
          Tekax Yucatán Mexico City 23000 people
          Dzibalchén Campeche Mexico City -
          Oxkutzcab Yucatán Mexico City 21000 people
          Ticul Yucatán Mexico City 30000 people
          Muna Yucatán Mexico City 11000 people
          Hecelchakán Campeche Mexico City 9500 people
          Maxcanú Yucatán Mexico City 11000 people
          Campeche Campeche Mexico Major city 200000 people
          Misantla Veracruz Mexico City 23000 people
          Tlapacoyan Veracruz Mexico City 33000 people
          Papantla Veracruz Mexico City 47000 people
          Poza Rica Veracruz Mexico City 170000 people
          Tuxpan Veracruz Mexico City -
          Álamo Veracruz Mexico City 23000 people
          Zacatlán Puebla Mexico City 30000 people
          Xiocotepec de Juarez Puebla Mexico City -
          Tampico Tamaulipas Mexico Major city 310000 people
          Platón Sánchez Veracruz Mexico City 10000 people
          Pánuco Veracruz Mexico City 34000 people
          Tempoal Veracruz Mexico City 12000 people

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Islas del Cisne 12 Civ. Unpaved No 4600
          San Pedro SPR 1 0
          Sartaneja SJX unknown 0
          Chetumal International CTM 12 Civ. Paved Yes 7200
          Santa Cruz STU unknown 0
          Corozal Municipal CZH unknown 0
          Orange Walk ORZ unknown 0
          Carrillo Puerto 61 0
          Campeche International CPE 10 Civ. Paved Yes 8200
          Tajin PAZ 138 Civ. Paved Yes 5900
          Fausto Vega Santander 3 0
          Cerro Azul 137 0
          Cabo Roja 7 0
          Gen Francisco J Mina International TAM 24 Civ. Paved Yes 8300
          Ebano 50 0
          Tamuin TSL 50 Civ. Paved Yes 4500

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Islas Santanilla Honduras
          Herrero Point Mexico
          Chetumal MXCTM Mexico
          Corozal Belize
          Campeche Mexico
          Cayo Arcas Terminal MXCAT Mexico
          Tuxpan MXTUX Mexico
          Tampico MXTAM Mexico
          Ciudad Madero Mexico
          Altamira Mexico

          Dams

          Reservoir Dam Name River Year
          La Soledad Apulco 1962
          Tenango Coacuila 1910
          Necaxa Necaxa 1909
          Animas Guayalejo 1978
          Chicayan Chicayan 1976
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          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          0.7 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.7m in El Naranjal, Mexico. This height is estimated for 10 Aug 2017 16:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (56 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 1 of 06 Aug 2017 21:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          10 Aug 2017 16:00 El Naranjal Mexico  0.7
          10 Aug 2017 16:00 Tamiahua Mexico  0.7
          10 Aug 2017 14:00 Laja Mexico  0.6
          08 Aug 2017 23:00 Champoton Mexico  0.5
          08 Aug 2017 23:00 Haltunchen Mexico  0.5
          08 Aug 2017 23:00 Seybaplaya Mexico  0.5
          10 Aug 2017 16:00 Agua Dulce Mexico  0.5
          09 Aug 2017 00:00 Sabancuy Mexico  0.4
          09 Aug 2017 00:00 Noham Mexico  0.4
          08 Aug 2017 23:00 Hoquel Mexico  0.4
          09 Aug 2017 01:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.4
          09 Aug 2017 00:00 Porfirio Diaz Mexico  0.4
          09 Aug 2017 00:00 Chenkan Mexico  0.4
          10 Aug 2017 15:00 La Mata Mexico  0.4
          10 Aug 2017 16:00 El Tular Mexico  0.4
          08 Aug 2017 09:00 Ciudad del Carmen Mexico  0.4
          10 Aug 2017 18:00 Pueblo Viejo Mexico  0.4
          10 Aug 2017 18:00 Primero de Mayo Mexico  0.4
          10 Aug 2017 18:00 Tampico Alta Mexico  0.4
          08 Aug 2017 08:00 Paso Real Mexico  0.3
          10 Aug 2017 16:00 Cabo Rojito Mexico  0.3
          08 Aug 2017 08:00 Boca Nueva Mexico  0.3
          08 Aug 2017 07:00 Ranas Mexico  0.2
          08 Aug 2017 06:00 Vigia Chico Mexico  0.2
          10 Aug 2017 18:00 La Presita Mexico  0.2
          09 Aug 2017 14:00 Balantanche Mexico  0.2
          09 Aug 2017 07:00 Monte de Oro Mexico  0.2
          08 Aug 2017 05:00 El Placer Mexico  0.2
          08 Aug 2017 07:00 Puerto Madero Mexico  0.2
          10 Aug 2017 12:00 Tecolutla Mexico  0.2
          08 Aug 2017 07:00 Majana Cuba  0.2
          08 Aug 2017 08:00 Guanimar Cuba  0.2
          09 Aug 2017 00:00 Dos Hermanas Mexico  0.1
          09 Aug 2017 01:00 Calderas Mexico  0.1
          09 Aug 2017 20:00 Celestum Mexico  0.1
          08 Aug 2017 06:00 Punta de Fisga Cuba  0.1
          08 Aug 2017 06:00 Xcalak Mexico  0.1
          08 Aug 2017 04:00 Majahual Mexico  0.1
          08 Aug 2017 08:00 El Cajio Cuba  0.1
          09 Aug 2017 21:00 Sisal Mexico  0.1
          08 Aug 2017 06:00 Aguas Claras Cuba  0.1
          08 Aug 2017 12:00 Chetumal Mexico  0.1
          08 Aug 2017 12:00 Calderita Mexico  0.1
          08 Aug 2017 12:00 Santeneja Belize  0.1
          08 Aug 2017 07:00 Surgidero de Batabano Cuba  0.1
          08 Aug 2017 07:00 Batabano Cuba  0.1
          08 Aug 2017 07:00 San Pedro Mexico  0.1
          08 Aug 2017 07:00 Hidalgo Mexico  0.1
          10 Aug 2017 11:00 La Guadalupe Mexico  0.1
          10 Aug 2017 11:00 Monte Gordo Mexico  0.1
          10 Aug 2017 18:00 Rancho Nuevo Mexico  0.1
          08 Aug 2017 07:00 Francisco I. Madero Mexico  0.1
          10 Aug 2017 18:00 Rancho de Piedra Mexico  0.1
          10 Aug 2017 14:00 Tenixtepec Mexico  0.1
          07 Aug 2017 20:00 El Cuyo Mexico  0.1
          07 Aug 2017 20:00 Telchac Puerto Mexico  0.1