Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for ROSLYN-16 Off-shore from 25 Sep 2016 17:00 UTC to 29 Sep 2016 15:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ROSLYN-16

Off-shore

29 Sep 2016 15 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ROSLYN-16 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	83 km/h
Maximum storm surge	n.a.
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	46 km/h	n.a.	n.a.	0.5
Overall	83 km/h	0.0 m	n.a.	0
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

46 km/h Current Max.

Up to <1000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher
1	25 Sep 2016 17:00	74	---	No people
2	25 Sep 2016 21:00	74	---	No people
3	26 Sep 2016 03:00	65	---	No people
4	26 Sep 2016 09:00	65	---	No people
5	26 Sep 2016 15:00	65	---	No people
6	26 Sep 2016 21:00	83	---	No people
7	27 Sep 2016 03:00	83	---	No people
8	27 Sep 2016 09:00	74	---	No people
9	27 Sep 2016 15:00	74	---	No people
10	27 Sep 2016 21:00	74	---	No people
11	28 Sep 2016 03:00	65	---	No people
12	28 Sep 2016 09:00	65	---	No people
13	28 Sep 2016 15:00	56	---	No people
14	28 Sep 2016 21:00	56	---	No people
15	29 Sep 2016 03:00	56	---	No people
16	29 Sep 2016 09:00	46	---	No people
17	29 Sep 2016 15:00	46	---	No people

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)
1	25 Sep 2016 17:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	15.6, -119.7
2	25 Sep 2016 21:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	16.1, -119.6
3	26 Sep 2016 03:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	16.7, -120.1
4	26 Sep 2016 09:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	16.8, -119.5
5	26 Sep 2016 15:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	17, -119.4
6	26 Sep 2016 21:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	16.8, -118.8
7	27 Sep 2016 03:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	17.2, -118.4
8	27 Sep 2016 09:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	17.8, -117.7
9	27 Sep 2016 15:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	18.3, -117.3
10	27 Sep 2016 21:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	<1000 people	18.8, -116.6
11	28 Sep 2016 03:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	<1000 people	19.5, -115.9
12	28 Sep 2016 09:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	20.2, -115.5
13	28 Sep 2016 15:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	21, -115.2
14	28 Sep 2016 21:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	21.6, -115.2
15	29 Sep 2016 03:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	22.1, -115.1
16	29 Sep 2016 09:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	22.7, -115.3
17	29 Sep 2016 15:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	23.5, -115.5
17	30 Sep 2016 00:00	Tropical depression	37	no people	no people	24.1, -116.2
17	30 Sep 2016 12:00	Tropical depression	28	no people	no people	24.4, -117.4

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Clarion Island		Mexico

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.