Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for LESTER-16 in United States from 24 Aug 2016 21:00 UTC to 07 Sep 2016 21:00 UTC

07 Sep 2016 21 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LESTER-16 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	United States
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	222 km/h
Maximum storm surge
Vulnerability	Low (United States)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	93 km/h	0.0 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	222 km/h	0.0 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

93 km/h Current Max.

Up to 480000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	24 Aug 2016 21:00	130	Few people	No people
2	25 Aug 2016 03:00	139	No people	No people
3	25 Aug 2016 09:00	148	Few people	No people
4	25 Aug 2016 15:00	148	Few people	No people
5	25 Aug 2016 21:00	148	Few people	No people
6	26 Aug 2016 03:00	148	Few people	No people
7	26 Aug 2016 09:00	148	No people	No people
8	26 Aug 2016 15:00	148	No people	No people
9	26 Aug 2016 21:00	148	Few people	No people
10	27 Aug 2016 03:00	148	Few people	No people
11	27 Aug 2016 09:00	176	Few people	No people
12	27 Aug 2016 15:00	167	Few people	No people
13	27 Aug 2016 21:00	176	Few people	No people
14	28 Aug 2016 03:00	176	Few people	No people
15	28 Aug 2016 09:00	157	Few people	No people
16	28 Aug 2016 15:00	139	Few people	No people
17	28 Aug 2016 21:00	139	Few people	No people
18	29 Aug 2016 03:00	148	Few people	No people
19	29 Aug 2016 09:00	194	Few people	No people
20	29 Aug 2016 15:00	213	Few people	No people
21	29 Aug 2016 21:00	213	Few people	No people
22	30 Aug 2016 03:00	222	Few people	No people
23	30 Aug 2016 09:00	204	Few people	No people
24	30 Aug 2016 15:00	194	Few people	No people
25	30 Aug 2016 21:00	194	20 thousand	No people	United States
26	31 Aug 2016 03:00	222	1.2 million	No people	United States
27	31 Aug 2016 09:00	222	1.3 million	No people	United States
28	31 Aug 2016 15:00	213	1.3 million	No people	United States
29	31 Aug 2016 21:00	213	1.3 million	No people	United States
30	01 Sep 2016 03:00	194	1.3 million	No people	United States
31	01 Sep 2016 09:00	176	1.3 million	No people	United States
32	01 Sep 2016 15:00	167	1.3 million	No people	United States
33	01 Sep 2016 21:00	176	1.3 million	No people	United States
34	02 Sep 2016 03:00	204	1.2 million	No people	United States
35	02 Sep 2016 09:00	185	1.2 million	No people	United States
36	02 Sep 2016 15:00	176	150 thousand	No people	United States
37	02 Sep 2016 21:00	167	1 million	No people	United States
38	03 Sep 2016 03:00	167	290 thousand	No people	United States
39	03 Sep 2016 09:00	157	320 thousand	No people	United States
40	03 Sep 2016 15:00	157	290 thousand	No people	United States
41	03 Sep 2016 21:00	139	70 thousand	No people	United States
42	04 Sep 2016 03:00	120	330 thousand	No people	United States
43	04 Sep 2016 09:00	102	480 thousand	No people	United States
44	04 Sep 2016 15:00	93	480 thousand	No people	United States
45	04 Sep 2016 21:00	93	480 thousand	No people	United States
46	05 Sep 2016 03:00	83	480 thousand	No people	United States
47	05 Sep 2016 09:00	74	480 thousand	No people	United States
48	05 Sep 2016 15:00	93	480 thousand	No people	United States
49	05 Sep 2016 21:00	93	480 thousand	No people	United States
50	06 Sep 2016 03:00	93	480 thousand	No people	United States
51	06 Sep 2016 09:00	93	480 thousand	No people	United States
52	06 Sep 2016 15:00	93	480 thousand	No people	United States
53	06 Sep 2016 21:00	93	480 thousand	No people	United States
54	07 Sep 2016 03:00	93	480 thousand	No people	United States
55	07 Sep 2016 09:00	93	480 thousand	No people	United States
56	07 Sep 2016 15:00	93	480 thousand	No people	United States
57	07 Sep 2016 21:00	93	480 thousand	No people	United States

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	24 Aug 2016 21:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	15.2, -109.9
2	25 Aug 2016 03:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	15.7, -110.9
3	25 Aug 2016 09:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	16.2, -111.6
4	25 Aug 2016 15:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	16.6, -112.5
5	25 Aug 2016 21:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	16.9, -113.4
6	26 Aug 2016 03:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	17, -113.8
7	26 Aug 2016 09:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	16.9, -114.5
8	26 Aug 2016 15:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	17.1, -115
9	26 Aug 2016 21:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	<1000 people	17.6, -115.8
10	27 Aug 2016 03:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	17.9, -116.5
11	27 Aug 2016 09:00	Category 1	139	no people	no people	17.9, -117.4
12	27 Aug 2016 15:00	Category 1	148	no people	no people	18, -118.4
13	27 Aug 2016 21:00	Category 2	167	no people	no people	17.9, -119.6
14	28 Aug 2016 03:00	Category 2	167	no people	no people	18, -120.8
15	28 Aug 2016 09:00	Category 2	157	no people	no people	17.9, -122.2
16	28 Aug 2016 15:00	Category 1	139	no people	no people	18.1, -123.7
17	28 Aug 2016 21:00	Category 1	139	no people	no people	17.8, -124.7
18	29 Aug 2016 03:00	Category 1	139	no people	no people	17.9, -126.4
19	29 Aug 2016 09:00	Category 3	185	no people	no people	18, -127.8
20	29 Aug 2016 15:00	Category 3	204	no people	no people	18.1, -129.2
21	29 Aug 2016 21:00	Category 4	213	no people	no people	18, -130.5
22	30 Aug 2016 03:00	Category 4	222	no people	no people	18.1, -131.8
23	30 Aug 2016 09:00	Category 3	204	no people	no people	18.2, -133.2
24	30 Aug 2016 15:00	Category 3	194	no people	no people	18.1, -134.4
25	30 Aug 2016 21:00	Category 3	194	no people	no people	17.8, -135.6
26	31 Aug 2016 03:00	Category 4	222	no people	no people	17.8, -136.5
27	31 Aug 2016 09:00	Category 4	222	no people	no people	17.7, -137.5
28	31 Aug 2016 15:00	Category 4	213	no people	no people	17.8, -138.6
29	31 Aug 2016 21:00	Category 4	213	no people	no people	18, -139.9
30	01 Sep 2016 03:00	Category 3	194	no people	no people	18.2, -141.2
31	01 Sep 2016 09:00	Category 2	176	no people	no people	18.2, -142.4
32	01 Sep 2016 15:00	Category 2	167	no people	no people	18.4, -143.7
33	01 Sep 2016 21:00	Category 2	176	no people	no people	18.4, -144.8
34	02 Sep 2016 03:00	Category 3	204	no people	no people	18.7, -146
35	02 Sep 2016 09:00	Category 3	185	no people	no people	19.1, -147.2
36	02 Sep 2016 15:00	Category 2	176	no people	no people	19.7, -148.4
37	02 Sep 2016 21:00	Category 2	167	no people	no people	20.1, -149.8
38	03 Sep 2016 03:00	Category 2	167	no people	no people	20.5, -151
39	03 Sep 2016 09:00	Category 2	157	no people	no people	21.2, -152.4
40	03 Sep 2016 15:00	Category 2	157	no people	160000 people	21.8, -153.9	United States
41	03 Sep 2016 21:00	Category 1	139	no people	65000 people	22.4, -155.4	United States
42	04 Sep 2016 03:00	Category 1	120	no people	220000 people	22.8, -156.7	United States
43	04 Sep 2016 09:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	14000 people	23.3, -158	United States
44	04 Sep 2016 15:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	24.4, -159.1
45	04 Sep 2016 21:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	25.7, -160.2
46	05 Sep 2016 03:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	26.6, -161.5
47	05 Sep 2016 09:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	27.9, -162.6
48	05 Sep 2016 15:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	28.9, -163.9
49	05 Sep 2016 21:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	29.8, -164.6
50	06 Sep 2016 03:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	30.8, -165.3
51	06 Sep 2016 09:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	32.2, -165.5
52	06 Sep 2016 15:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	33.2, -166
53	06 Sep 2016 21:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	34.1, -166.4
54	07 Sep 2016 03:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	35.1, -166.2
55	07 Sep 2016 09:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	36.5, -166
56	07 Sep 2016 15:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	37.6, -165.5
57	07 Sep 2016 21:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	39.1, -164.4
57	08 Sep 2016 06:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	42.6, -161.5
57	08 Sep 2016 18:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	48, -155

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
United States

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Hawaii	United States

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Wahiawa	Hawaii	United States	City	16000 people
Kaneohe	Hawaii	United States	City	35000 people
Lahaina	Hawaii	United States	City	9100 people
Wailuku	Hawaii	United States	City	12000 people
Kahului	Hawaii	United States	City	20000 people
Puunene	Hawaii	United States	City	-

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Turtle Bay Hilton		4				0
Kahuku Hospital		12				0
Dillingham	HDH	5	Mil.	Paved	No	9000
Wheeler AFB	HHI	255	Mil.	Paved	Yes	5600
Kualoa Ranch		38				0
Kaneohe Bay Mcas		5	Mil.	Paved	Yes	7700
Moanalua Medical Center		5				0
Waimanalo Bellows	BLW	unknown				0
Panda		76				0
Kalaupapa	LUP	7				0
Molokai	MKK	138	Civ.	Paved	Yes	4400
Kapalua West Maui	JHM	78				0
Kahului	OGG	16	Civ.	Paved	Yes	7000
Hana	HNM	23	Civ.	Paved	No	3600

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Kaunakakai		Wake Island
Kamalo		Wake Island
Pukoo		Wake Island
Kahului		Wake Island
Hana		Wake Island
Clarion Island		Mexico

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (0 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 55 of 07 Sep 2016 09:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 6 minute resolution)

Alert

Date (UTC)

Name

Country

Storm surge height (m)