Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for OHO-15 in Canada, United States from 03 Oct 2015 09:00 UTC to 08 Oct 2015 15:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for OHO-15

in Canada, United States

Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone OHO-15 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Canada, United States
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	176 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.4 m (09 Oct 10:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Canada)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	111 km/h	0.4 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	176 km/h	0.4 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

111 km/h Current Max.

Up to 89000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	03 Oct 2015 09:00	130	No people	No people
2	03 Oct 2015 15:00	130	No people	No people
3	03 Oct 2015 21:00	139	No people	No people
4	04 Oct 2015 03:00	130	No people	No people
5	04 Oct 2015 09:00	120	No people	No people
6	04 Oct 2015 15:00	111	No people	No people
7	04 Oct 2015 21:00	102	No people	No people
8	05 Oct 2015 03:00	102	No people	No people
9	05 Oct 2015 09:00	102	No people	No people
10	05 Oct 2015 15:00	102	No people	No people
11	05 Oct 2015 21:00	111	No people	No people
12	06 Oct 2015 03:00	120	No people	No people
13	06 Oct 2015 09:00	130	No people	No people
14	06 Oct 2015 15:00	130	No people	No people
15	06 Oct 2015 21:00	139	No people	No people
16	07 Oct 2015 03:00	139	No people	No people	Canada, United States
17	07 Oct 2015 09:00	167	No people	No people
18	07 Oct 2015 15:00	176	No people	No people	Canada, United States
19	07 Oct 2015 21:00	167	No people	No people	Canada, United States
20	08 Oct 2015 03:00	139	No people	10 thousand	Canada, United States
21	08 Oct 2015 09:00	139	No people	Few people	United States
22	08 Oct 2015 15:00	111	No people	No people	Canada, United States

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	03 Oct 2015 09:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	13.4, -154.6
2	03 Oct 2015 15:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	14.2, -154.6
3	03 Oct 2015 21:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	14.6, -154.1
4	04 Oct 2015 03:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	12.9, -154.2
5	04 Oct 2015 09:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	13.3, -154.2
6	04 Oct 2015 15:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	13.5, -155.2
7	04 Oct 2015 21:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	13.6, -154.9
8	05 Oct 2015 03:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	13.8, -154.7
9	05 Oct 2015 09:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	13.8, -154.6
10	05 Oct 2015 15:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	14.1, -154.6
11	05 Oct 2015 21:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	14.8, -153.7
12	06 Oct 2015 03:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	15, -153.6
13	06 Oct 2015 09:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	15.2, -152.6
14	06 Oct 2015 15:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	15.3, -151.3
15	06 Oct 2015 21:00	Category 1	139	no people	no people	16.6, -150.2
16	07 Oct 2015 03:00	Category 1	139	no people	no people	18.1, -148.9
17	07 Oct 2015 09:00	Category 2	167	no people	no people	20.4, -147.2
18	07 Oct 2015 15:00	Category 2	176	no people	no people	23.5, -145.9
19	07 Oct 2015 21:00	Category 2	167	no people	no people	26.6, -144.7
20	08 Oct 2015 03:00	Category 1	139	no people	no people	30.5, -144.5
21	08 Oct 2015 09:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	32.5, -143.1
22	08 Oct 2015 15:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	35.4, -141
22	09 Oct 2015 00:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	88000 people	42.5, -137.7	United States
22	09 Oct 2015 12:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	89000 people	52.5, -137	United States
22	10 Oct 2015 00:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	<1000 people	57, -139	United States
22	10 Oct 2015 12:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	60, -142	United States

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Provinces

Country	Region Province
Canada	Yukon Territory
Canada	British Columbia
United States	Alaska

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Prince Rupert	British Columbia	Canada	Major city	15000 people
Sitka	Alaska	United States	City	8900 people
Juneau	Alaska	United States	Major city	32000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

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StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.4m in Tlell, Canada. This height is estimated for 09 Oct 2015 10:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (101 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 22 of 08 Oct 2015 15:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	09 Oct 2015 10:00	Tlell	Canada	0.4
	10 Oct 2015 08:00	Yakutat	United States	0.3
	10 Oct 2015 08:00	Situk	United States	0.3
	09 Oct 2015 11:00	Tow Hill	Canada	0.3
	09 Oct 2015 10:00	Lawnhill	Canada	0.3
	09 Oct 2015 10:00	Haida	Canada	0.2
	09 Oct 2015 15:00	Refuge Bay	Canada	0.2
	09 Oct 2015 10:00	Skidegate	Canada	0.2
	09 Oct 2015 10:00	Alliford Bay	Canada	0.2
	09 Oct 2015 10:00	Sandspit	Canada	0.2
	09 Oct 2015 19:00	Prince Rupert	Canada	0.2
	09 Oct 2015 20:00	Thorne Bay	United States	0.2
	09 Oct 2015 20:00	Salt Chuck	United States	0.2
	09 Oct 2015 22:00	Point Baker	United States	0.2
	09 Oct 2015 22:00	Port Alexander	United States	0.2
	09 Oct 2015 22:00	Labouchere Bay	United States	0.2
	09 Oct 2015 22:00	Port Protection	United States	0.2
	10 Oct 2015 00:00	Goddard	United States	0.2
	09 Oct 2015 23:00	Saint John Harbor	United States	0.2
	09 Oct 2015 20:00	Kasaan	United States	0.2
	09 Oct 2015 21:00	Cape Pole	United States	0.2
	09 Oct 2015 22:00	Edna Bay	United States	0.2
	09 Oct 2015 22:00	Port Alice	United States	0.2
	10 Oct 2015 01:00	Excursion Inlet	United States	0.2
	10 Oct 2015 00:00	Mount Edgecombe	United States	0.2
	10 Oct 2015 00:00	Sitka	United States	0.2
	10 Oct 2015 01:00	Freshwater Bay	United States	0.2
	09 Oct 2015 14:00	Hartley Bay	Canada	0.2
	09 Oct 2015 15:00	Coffman Cove	United States	0.2
	09 Oct 2015 19:00	Oona River	Canada	0.2
	09 Oct 2015 19:00	Osland	Canada	0.2
	10 Oct 2015 00:00	Game Creek	United States	0.2
	10 Oct 2015 01:00	Hoonah	United States	0.2
	10 Oct 2015 01:00	Whitestone Logging Camp	United States	0.2
	10 Oct 2015 02:00	Bartlett Cove	United States	0.2
	09 Oct 2015 13:00	China Hat	Canada	0.2
	09 Oct 2015 16:00	Long Island	United States	0.2
	09 Oct 2015 15:00	Hadley	United States	0.2
	09 Oct 2015 19:00	Ward Cove	United States	0.2
	09 Oct 2015 19:00	Ketchikan	United States	0.2
	09 Oct 2015 19:00	Herring Cove	United States	0.2
	10 Oct 2015 01:00	Kimshan Cove	United States	0.2
	10 Oct 2015 01:00	Chichagof	United States	0.2
	10 Oct 2015 01:00	Chatham	United States	0.2
	10 Oct 2015 00:00	Funter	United States	0.2
	10 Oct 2015 00:00	Cube Cove	United States	0.2
	10 Oct 2015 00:00	Hood Bay	United States	0.2
	10 Oct 2015 01:00	Cobol	United States	0.2
	09 Oct 2015 19:00	Metlakatla	Canada	0.1
	09 Oct 2015 20:00	Waterfall	United States	0.1
	09 Oct 2015 15:00	Meyers Chuck	United States	0.1
	10 Oct 2015 00:00	Baranof	United States	0.1
	10 Oct 2015 00:00	Hawk Inlet	United States	0.1
	09 Oct 2015 23:00	Neltushkin	United States	0.1
	10 Oct 2015 00:00	Angoon	United States	0.1
	09 Oct 2015 23:00	Tyee	United States	0.1
	10 Oct 2015 01:00	Comet	United States	0.1
	09 Oct 2015 13:00	Campbell Island	Canada	0.1
	09 Oct 2015 13:00	Bella Bella	Canada	0.1
	09 Oct 2015 19:00	Lax Kwalaams	Canada	0.1
	09 Oct 2015 22:00	Big Port Walter	United States	0.1
	09 Oct 2015 22:00	Port Armstrong	United States	0.1
	09 Oct 2015 22:00	Port Alexander	United States	0.1
	09 Oct 2015 23:00	Rowan Bay	United States	0.1
	10 Oct 2015 01:00	Saint Terese	United States	0.1
	10 Oct 2015 01:00	Dotsons Landing	United States	0.1
	10 Oct 2015 00:00	Kake	United States	0.1
	10 Oct 2015 00:00	Cape Fanshaw	United States	0.1
	10 Oct 2015 01:00	Hobart Bay	United States	0.1
	10 Oct 2015 01:00	Windham	United States	0.1
	09 Oct 2015 13:00	Namu	Canada	0.1
	09 Oct 2015 15:00	Port Higgins	United States	0.1
	09 Oct 2015 15:00	Clover Pass	United States	0.1
	09 Oct 2015 15:00	Mud Bay	United States	0.1
	09 Oct 2015 15:00	Peninsula Point	United States	0.1
	09 Oct 2015 20:00	Pennock Island	United States	0.1
	09 Oct 2015 15:00	Loring	United States	0.1
	09 Oct 2015 20:00	Saxman	United States	0.1
	09 Oct 2015 20:00	China Town	United States	0.1
	09 Oct 2015 15:00	Annette	United States	0.1
	09 Oct 2015 20:00	Metlakatla	United States	0.1
	09 Oct 2015 20:00	Dairy	United States	0.1
	09 Oct 2015 20:00	Mountain Point	United States	0.1
	10 Oct 2015 01:00	Tee Harbor	United States	0.1
	10 Oct 2015 01:00	Auke Bay	United States	0.1
	09 Oct 2015 20:00	Georgetown Mills	Canada	0.1
	10 Oct 2015 00:00	Sunnyside	United States	0.1
	10 Oct 2015 00:00	Pelican	United States	0.1
	10 Oct 2015 02:00	Elfin Cove	United States	0.1
	10 Oct 2015 01:00	Gustavus	United States	0.1
	09 Oct 2015 13:00	Rose Harbour	Canada	0.1
	09 Oct 2015 20:00	Hunts Inlet	Canada	0.1
	09 Oct 2015 20:00	Porcher Island	Canada	0.1
	09 Oct 2015 20:00	Port Edward	Canada	0.1
	09 Oct 2015 10:00	Ocean City	United States	0.1
	09 Oct 2015 10:00	Sampson	United States	0.1
	09 Oct 2015 10:00	Oyhut	United States	0.1
	09 Oct 2015 10:00	Ocean Shores	United States	0.1
	09 Oct 2015 10:00	Westport	United States	0.1
	09 Oct 2015 10:00	Cohassett	United States	0.1
	09 Oct 2015 10:00	Ocosta	United States	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.