Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KROSA-19
in Japan, Russian Federation, Korea, Republic of

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KROSA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries Japan, Russian Federation, Korea, Republic of
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 185 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (09 Aug 15:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Japan)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 139 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 0.5
Overall 185 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

139 km/h Current Max.

Up to 2800 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 05 Aug 2019 18:00 130 3 thousand 3 thousand
Green 2 06 Aug 2019 00:00 130 3 thousand 3 thousand
Green 3 06 Aug 2019 06:00 139 3 thousand 3 thousand

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 05 Aug 2019 18:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 17.1, 144.3
GREEN
2 06 Aug 2019 00:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 17.9, 143.7
GREEN
3 06 Aug 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 18.6, 143.1
GREEN
3 06 Aug 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 19.8, 141.8
GREEN
3 07 Aug 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 111 no people <1000 people 20.9, 141
GREEN
3 07 Aug 2019 18:00 Category 1 130 no people 1100 people 21.7, 140.8
GREEN
3 08 Aug 2019 06:00 Category 1 139 <1000 people 2800 people 22.5, 140.9
GREEN
3 09 Aug 2019 06:00 Category 1 139 <1000 people 2800 people 24.1, 141.6
GREEN
3 10 Aug 2019 06:00 Category 1 139 2800 people 2900 people 25.2, 141.9
GREEN
3 11 Aug 2019 06:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 27.1, 141.3
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Iwo To (Iwo Jima) IWO 113 Mil. Paved Yes 8700

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Minami Lo Japan
Iwo Jima Japan
Haha Japan
Omura Japan
Muko Japan

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Higashi, Japan. This height is estimated for 09 Aug 2019 15:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (7 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 3 of 06 Aug 2019 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 6 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
09 Aug 2019 15:00 Higashi Japan  0.4
10 Aug 2019 04:00 Ishinomura Japan  0.3
10 Aug 2019 06:00 Oki Japan  0.2
10 Aug 2019 06:00 Hyogidaira Japan  0.2
10 Aug 2019 06:00 Omura Japan  0.1
10 Aug 2019 06:00 Ogigaura Japan  0.1
10 Aug 2019 06:00 Sakaiura Japan  0.1