Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for FRANCISCO-19
in , Japan, Korea, Republic of, Democratic People's Republic of, Russian Federation
02 Aug 2019 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone FRANCISCO-19 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries , Japan, Korea, Republic of, Democratic People's Republic of, Russian Federation
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 139 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (04 Aug 08:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability --

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 157 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 139 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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    Wind

      157 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 2.9 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 01 Aug 2019 18:00 130 27.3 million 2.7 million Japan
        Green 2 02 Aug 2019 00:00 157 34.1 million 2.9 million Japan

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 01 Aug 2019 18:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 19.5, 153.3
          GREEN
          		 2 02 Aug 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 20, 152.7
          GREEN
          		 2 02 Aug 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 21.5, 151.3
          GREEN
          		 2 03 Aug 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 23.3, 149.6
          GREEN
          		 2 03 Aug 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 2200 people 24.6, 147.2
          GREEN
          		 2 04 Aug 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 102 1700 people 2300 people 26.1, 144.2
          GREEN
          		 2 05 Aug 2019 00:00 Category 1 148 no people 3.2 million people 28.5, 138.4 Japan
          GREEN
          		 2 06 Aug 2019 00:00 Category 2 157 2.9 million people 34.1 million people 30.8, 132.8 Japan
          GREEN
          		 2 07 Aug 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 33.5, 128.4 Japan
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Japan

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Kyushu Japan

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          Jogasaki Miyazaki Japan City -
          Miyazaki Miyazaki Japan Major city 310000 people
          Takanabe Miyazaki Japan City 22000 people
          Shibushi Kagoshima Japan City 18000 people
          Tsuma Miyazaki Japan City -
          Takaoka Miyazaki Japan City -
          Miyakonojo Miyazaki Japan City 130000 people
          Sueyoshi Kagoshima Japan City 20000 people
          Kokubu Kagoshima Japan City 58000 people
          Naka-harada Miyazaki Japan City -
          Kajiki Kagoshima Japan City 23000 people
          Kamo Kagoshima Japan City -
          Hitoyoshi Kumamoto Japan City 38000 people
          Yatsushiro Kumamoto Japan City 100000 people
          Nagasaki Nagasaki Japan Major city 410000 people
          Omura Nagasaki Japan City 75000 people
          Nomo Nagasaki Japan City -
          Sasebo Nagasaki Japan City 230000 people

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Miyazaki KMI 6 Civ. Paved Yes 8200
          Nyutabaru 79 Mil. Paved Yes 8800
          Kagoshima KOJ 276 Civ. Paved Yes 9800
          Amakusa 103 0
          Nagasaki NGS 5 Civ. Paved Yes 9800

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Aburatsu JPABU Japan
          Uchiumi Japan
          Miyazaki JPKMI Japan
          Shibushi JPSBS Japan
          Yatsushiro Japan
          Minamata JPMIN Japan
          Kojiro Japan
          Misumi JPMIS Japan
          Naga Island Japan
          Shimabara JPSMB Japan
          Ushibuka Japan
          Kuchinotsu JPKUC Japan
          Mogi Japan
          Nagasaki JPNGS Japan
          Ha Shima Japan
          Matsushima JPMAT Japan
          Sasebo JPSSB Japan
          Sakito JPSTO Japan
          Ainoura JPAIN Japan
          Aokata Japan
          Goto Island Japan

          Dams

          Reservoir Dam Name River Year
          Sakataniko Nichinan Sakatanigawa 1984
          Oyodogawadaini Oyodogawadaini Oyodogawa 1932
          Tachibana Tachibana Jarogawa 1963
          Oyodogawadaiichi Oyodogawadaiichi Oyodogawa 1961
          Hitotsuse Hitotsuse Hitotsusegawa 1963
          Nojiriko Iwase Iwasegawa 1967
          Osumiko Takakuma Kushiragawa 1968
          Onoko Ayaminami Honjogawa 1958
          Ichifusa Ichifusa Kumagawa 1959
          Takeyama Takeyama Usonokigawa 1986
          Otsuruko Tsuruda Sendaigawa 1965
          Uchitani Uchitani Itsukiogawa 1975
          Kogawa Kogawa Kogawa 1973
          Kyoragi Kyoragi Iwaiguchigawa 1975
          Oshidorinoike Bessho Chijiwagawa 1968
          Ogakura Ogakura Ogakuragawa 1974
          Kayaze Kayaze Korigawa 2000
          Nodaketameike Nodaketameike 1661
          Urakamisuigenchi Urakami Oidegawa 2001
          Narumi Narumi Futamatagawa 1991
          Konoura Konoura Konouragawa 1969
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          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          0.3 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Oki, Japan. This height is estimated for 04 Aug 2019 08:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (41 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 2 of 02 Aug 2019 00:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          04 Aug 2019 08:00 Oki Japan  0.3
          04 Aug 2019 08:00 Hyogidaira Japan  0.3
          04 Aug 2019 08:00 Omura Japan  0.3
          04 Aug 2019 08:00 Ogigaura Japan  0.3
          04 Aug 2019 08:00 Sakaiura Japan  0.3
          06 Aug 2019 00:00 Oryuzako Japan  0.2
          06 Aug 2019 00:00 Imazu Japan  0.1
          06 Aug 2019 00:00 Kanda Japan  0.1
          06 Aug 2019 00:00 Yukuhashi Japan  0.1
          06 Aug 2019 00:00 Kisaki Japan  0.1
          06 Aug 2019 00:00 Buzen Japan  0.1
          06 Aug 2019 00:00 Higashiyoshitomi Japan  0.1
          06 Aug 2019 00:00 Nakatsu Japan  0.1
          06 Aug 2019 00:00 Tsunemi Japan  0.1
          06 Aug 2019 00:00 Tachibandori Japan  0.1
          06 Aug 2019 00:00 Haruguchi Japan  0.1
          06 Aug 2019 00:00 Takanabe Japan  0.1
          06 Aug 2019 00:00 Uwae Japan  0.1
          06 Aug 2019 00:00 Nagasu Japan  0.1
          06 Aug 2019 00:00 Hashitsu Japan  0.1
          06 Aug 2019 00:00 Takada Japan  0.1
          06 Aug 2019 00:00 Bungo-Takada Japan  0.1
          06 Aug 2019 00:00 Takedatsu Japan  0.1
          06 Aug 2019 00:00 Taketazu Japan  0.1
          06 Aug 2019 00:00 Miyazaki Japan  0.1
          06 Aug 2019 00:00 Niinauri Japan  0.1
          06 Aug 2019 00:00 Kamezu-Shinden Japan  0.1
          06 Aug 2019 00:00 Matsukage Japan  0.1
          06 Aug 2019 00:00 Sakai Japan  0.1
          06 Aug 2019 00:00 Meitsu Japan  0.1
          06 Aug 2019 00:00 Aburatsu Japan  0.1
          06 Aug 2019 00:00 Shimonoseki Japan  0.1
          06 Aug 2019 00:00 Moji Japan  0.1
          06 Aug 2019 00:00 Shiida Japan  0.1
          06 Aug 2019 00:00 Ube Japan  0.1
          06 Aug 2019 00:00 Tokonami Japan  0.1
          06 Aug 2019 00:00 Kurosaki Japan  0.1
          06 Aug 2019 00:00 Shiratsuka Japan  0.1
          06 Aug 2019 00:00 Ueno Japan  0.1
          06 Aug 2019 00:00 Udo Japan  0.1
          06 Aug 2019 00:00 Shiroko Japan  0.1