Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for KENNETH-19
in , Mozambique, Comoros
23 Apr 2019 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone KENNETH-19 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries , Mozambique, Comoros
    Exposed population 260 thousand in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 231 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (26 Apr 04:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability --

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 167 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 1.5
    Overall 231 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 1.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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    Wind

      167 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 310000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Orange 1 23 Apr 2019 00:00 130 2.5 million 420 thousand Comoros, Mozambique
        Orange 2 23 Apr 2019 06:00 167 3.8 million 310 thousand Comoros, Mozambique

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 23 Apr 2019 00:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people -10, 50.7
          GREEN
          		 2 23 Apr 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people <1000 people -10.3, 49.9 Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
          GREEN
          		 2 23 Apr 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 93 no people <1000 people -10.6, 48.1 Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
          GREEN
          		 2 24 Apr 2019 06:00 Category 1 120 no people 790000 people -10.9, 46.2 Comoros
          ORANGE
          		 2 24 Apr 2019 18:00 Category 1 148 200000 people 800000 people -11.1, 44.2 Comoros
          ORANGE
          		 2 25 Apr 2019 06:00 Category 2 167 110000 people 1.5 million people -11.3, 42.2 Mozambique
          GREEN
          		 2 26 Apr 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 2.6 million people -11.5, 40.3 Mozambique
          GREEN
          		 2 27 Apr 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 3 million people -11.5, 39.4 Mozambique
          GREEN
          		 2 28 Apr 2019 06:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people -10.7, 38.5 Mozambique
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Comoros
          Mozambique

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Comoros Comoros
          Cabo Delgado Mozambique

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          Vila de Mocímboa da Praia Cabo Delgado Mozambique City -

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Moroni Hahaia HAH 27 Civ. Paved Yes 9500
          Mocimboa Da Praia MZB 27 Civ. Paved No 6500

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Moroni KMYVA Comoros
          Mocimboa Mozambique
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          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          0.4 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Libambai, Mozambique. This height is estimated for 26 Apr 2019 04:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (73 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 2 of 23 Apr 2019 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          26 Apr 2019 04:00 Libambai Mozambique  0.4
          26 Apr 2019 03:00 Vila de Mocimboa da Praia Mozambique  0.4
          26 Apr 2019 03:00 Marere Mozambique  0.4
          26 Apr 2019 03:00 Lucete Mozambique  0.4
          26 Apr 2019 05:00 Quiterajo Mozambique  0.4
          26 Apr 2019 03:00 Pangane Mozambique  0.2
          24 Apr 2019 23:00 Chezani Comoros  0.2
          23 Apr 2019 08:00 Voloina Madagascar  0.2
          23 Apr 2019 08:00 Manambia Madagascar  0.2
          25 Apr 2019 00:00 Mitsamiouli Comoros  0.2
          23 Apr 2019 08:00 Anantoraka Madagascar  0.2
          24 Apr 2019 22:00 Ifoundihe Comoros  0.2
          27 Apr 2019 04:00 Ibo Mozambique  0.2
          23 Apr 2019 08:00 Maroantsetra Madagascar  0.2
          25 Apr 2019 18:00 Palma Mozambique  0.2
          25 Apr 2019 18:00 Bawala Mozambique  0.2
          25 Apr 2019 18:00 Olumbe Mozambique  0.2
          25 Apr 2019 18:00 Boala Mozambique  0.2
          25 Apr 2019 18:00 Maganja Mozambique  0.2
          25 Apr 2019 18:00 Quiwia Mozambique  0.2
          27 Apr 2019 06:00 Nhangau Mozambique  0.2
          27 Apr 2019 06:00 Chamba Mozambique  0.2
          27 Apr 2019 06:00 Beira Mozambique  0.2
          27 Apr 2019 06:00 Damiao Mozambique  0.2
          23 Apr 2019 08:00 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.2
          27 Apr 2019 06:00 Kilindoni Tanzania  0.2
          23 Apr 2019 08:00 Rantabe Madagascar  0.1
          25 Apr 2019 00:00 Domoni Comoros  0.1
          27 Apr 2019 06:00 Manica Mozambique  0.1
          27 Apr 2019 00:00 Tavari Mozambique  0.1
          23 Apr 2019 08:00 Mahalevona Madagascar  0.1
          27 Apr 2019 06:00 Chofandicho Mozambique  0.1
          23 Apr 2019 08:00 Maintimbato Madagascar  0.1
          23 Apr 2019 08:00 Ambanizana Madagascar  0.1
          25 Apr 2019 17:00 Meronvi Mozambique  0.1
          25 Apr 2019 17:00 Quissengue Mozambique  0.1
          27 Apr 2019 06:00 Tomodo Mozambique  0.1
          27 Apr 2019 06:00 Panaca Mozambique  0.1
          27 Apr 2019 06:00 Ocone Mozambique  0.1
          27 Apr 2019 06:00 Mendozo Mozambique  0.1
          27 Apr 2019 06:00 Amado Mozambique  0.1
          27 Apr 2019 06:00 Chimuaza Mozambique  0.1
          27 Apr 2019 06:00 Vila do Chinde Mozambique  0.1
          27 Apr 2019 06:00 Nhamatamanga Mozambique  0.1
          27 Apr 2019 06:00 Nova Sofala Mozambique  0.1
          27 Apr 2019 06:00 Ambato Madagascar  0.1
          27 Apr 2019 06:00 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.1
          27 Apr 2019 06:00 Morrua Mozambique  0.1
          23 Apr 2019 08:00 Tampolo Madagascar  0.1
          23 Apr 2019 08:00 Benjana Madagascar  0.1
          23 Apr 2019 08:00 Fananehana Madagascar  0.1
          23 Apr 2019 08:00 Antalavia Madagascar  0.1
          25 Apr 2019 01:00 Combani Comoros  0.1
          25 Apr 2019 00:00 Vanamboini Comoros  0.1
          26 Apr 2019 01:00 Ingoane Mozambique  0.1
          27 Apr 2019 06:00 Mutiba Mozambique  0.1
          27 Apr 2019 06:00 Tama Mozambique  0.1
          27 Apr 2019 06:00 Jonja Mozambique  0.1
          27 Apr 2019 06:00 Rupia Mozambique  0.1
          27 Apr 2019 06:00 Machesse Mozambique  0.1
          27 Apr 2019 06:00 Maconharumo Mozambique  0.1
          27 Apr 2019 06:00 Quelimane do Sal Mozambique  0.1
          27 Apr 2019 06:00 Inhangulue Mozambique  0.1
          27 Apr 2019 06:00 Magromane Mozambique  0.1
          27 Apr 2019 06:00 Mulia Mozambique  0.1
          27 Apr 2019 06:00 Barra Mozambique  0.1
          27 Apr 2019 06:00 Nosy Faly Madagascar  0.1
          27 Apr 2019 06:00 Caliua Mozambique  0.1
          27 Apr 2019 06:00 Raraga Mozambique  0.1
          27 Apr 2019 06:00 Ambatoxavavy Madagascar  0.1
          23 Apr 2019 08:00 Manambolosy Madagascar  0.1
          23 Apr 2019 08:00 Anoromby Madagascar  0.1
          27 Apr 2019 06:00 Bingue Mozambique  0.1