Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for VERONICA-19 in Australia from 19 Mar 2019 18:00 UTC to 26 Mar 2019 00:00 UTC

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GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone VERONICA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Australia
Exposed population	4 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	259 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.8 m (25 Mar 16:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	65 km/h	0.3 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	259 km/h	0.8 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

65 km/h Current Max.

Up to 49000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	19 Mar 2019 18:00	194	30 thousand	1 thousand	Australia
2	20 Mar 2019 00:00	194	30 thousand	Few people	Australia
3	20 Mar 2019 06:00	213	30 thousand	5 thousand	Australia
4	20 Mar 2019 12:00	204	30 thousand	20 thousand	Australia
5	20 Mar 2019 18:00	259	40 thousand	6 thousand	Australia
6	21 Mar 2019 00:00	259	50 thousand	Few people	Australia
7	21 Mar 2019 06:00	250	50 thousand	10 thousand	Australia
8	21 Mar 2019 12:00	213	40 thousand	9 thousand	Australia
9	21 Mar 2019 18:00	213	40 thousand	Few people	Australia
10	22 Mar 2019 00:00	213	40 thousand	Few people	Australia
11	22 Mar 2019 06:00	204	40 thousand	Few people	Australia
12	22 Mar 2019 12:00	176	40 thousand	10 thousand	Australia
13	22 Mar 2019 18:00	167	40 thousand	20 thousand	Australia
14	23 Mar 2019 00:00	148	40 thousand	20 thousand	Australia
15	23 Mar 2019 06:00	148	40 thousand	Few people	Australia
16	23 Mar 2019 12:00	167	40 thousand	Few people	Australia
17	23 Mar 2019 18:00	194	40 thousand	20 thousand	Australia
18	24 Mar 2019 00:00	213	50 thousand	20 thousand	Australia
19	24 Mar 2019 06:00	194	50 thousand	30 thousand	Australia
20	24 Mar 2019 12:00	157	50 thousand	4 thousand	Australia
21	24 Mar 2019 18:00	111	50 thousand	4 thousand	Australia
22	25 Mar 2019 00:00	83	50 thousand	4 thousand	Australia
23	25 Mar 2019 06:00	74	50 thousand	4 thousand	Australia
24	25 Mar 2019 12:00	74	50 thousand	4 thousand	Australia
25	25 Mar 2019 18:00	74	50 thousand	4 thousand	Australia
26	26 Mar 2019 00:00	65	50 thousand	4 thousand	Australia
27	26 Mar 2019 00:00	65	50 thousand	4 thousand	Australia

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	19 Mar 2019 18:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	-14.9, 119.7
2	20 Mar 2019 00:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	-15.4, 119
3	20 Mar 2019 06:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	-15.6, 118.3
4	20 Mar 2019 12:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	-15.9, 117.8
5	20 Mar 2019 18:00	Category 3	204	no people	no people	-15.9, 117.6
6	21 Mar 2019 00:00	Category 4	231	no people	no people	-16.4, 117.7
7	21 Mar 2019 06:00	Category 4	231	no people	no people	-16.8, 117.4
8	21 Mar 2019 12:00	Category 4	213	no people	no people	-17.3, 117.4
9	21 Mar 2019 18:00	Category 3	204	no people	no people	-17.5, 116.9
10	22 Mar 2019 00:00	Category 3	204	no people	no people	-17.6, 116.8
11	22 Mar 2019 06:00	Category 3	204	no people	no people	-17.8, 116.7
12	22 Mar 2019 12:00	Category 2	176	no people	40000 people	-18.1, 116.8	Australia
13	22 Mar 2019 18:00	Category 2	167	no people	40000 people	-18.2, 116.9	Australia
14	23 Mar 2019 00:00	Category 1	148	no people	41000 people	-18.7, 117	Australia
15	23 Mar 2019 06:00	Category 1	148	no people	42000 people	-19, 117.1	Australia
16	23 Mar 2019 12:00	Category 2	167	no people	43000 people	-19.3, 117.4	Australia
17	23 Mar 2019 18:00	Category 3	194	<1000 people	44000 people	-19.8, 117.5	Australia
18	24 Mar 2019 00:00	Category 4	213	3800 people	45000 people	-20.1, 117.5	Australia
19	24 Mar 2019 06:00	Category 3	194	<1000 people	42000 people	-20.4, 117.7	Australia
20	24 Mar 2019 12:00	Category 2	157	<1000 people	46000 people	-20.7, 117.9	Australia
21	24 Mar 2019 18:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	42000 people	-20.4, 117.7	Australia
22	25 Mar 2019 00:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	43000 people	-20.5, 117.5	Australia
23	25 Mar 2019 06:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	26000 people	-20.4, 117.1	Australia
24	25 Mar 2019 12:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	26000 people	-20.4, 116.9	Australia
25	25 Mar 2019 18:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	27000 people	-20.4, 116.4	Australia
27	26 Mar 2019 00:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	2400 people	-20.9, 115.7	Australia
27	26 Mar 2019 12:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	-21.5, 114.3	Australia
27	27 Mar 2019 00:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	-22, 113.1	Australia

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Australia

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Western Australia	Australia

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Dampier	Western Australia	Australia	City	-
Karratha	Western Australia	Australia	City	11000 people
Tom Price	Western Australia	Australia	City	-
Wedgefield	Western Australia	Australia	City	-
Port Hedland	Western Australia	Australia	City	14000 people
South Hedland	Western Australia	Australia	City	-
Wittenoom Gorge	Western Australia	Australia	City	-
Mount Goldsworthy	Western Australia	Australia	City	-

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Barrow Island	BWB	8	Civ.	Paved	Yes	6200
Karratha	KTA	9	Civ.	Paved	Yes	6000
Roebourne	RBU	unknown				0
Coolawanyah	COY	unknown				0
Tom Price	TPR	unknown				0
Port Hedland	PHE	10	Civ.	Paved	Yes	8200
Wittenoom Gorge	WIT	unknown				0
Shaw River	SWB	unknown				0
Marble Bar	MBB	unknown				0
Pardoo	PRD	unknown				0
Mt. Goldsworthy	GLY	unknown				0
Muccan	MUQ	unknown				0
Shay Gap	SGP	unknown				0

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Barrow Island	AUBWB	Coral Sea Islands
Varanus Island	AUVAR	Coral Sea Islands
Cape Preston	AUCPN	Coral Sea Islands
Airlie Island Terminal		Coral Sea Islands
Saladin Marine Terminal	AUSMT	Coral Sea Islands
Onslow		Coral Sea Islands
Dampier	AUDAM	Coral Sea Islands
Wandoo Marine Terminal		Coral Sea Islands
Withnell Bay		Coral Sea Islands
Griffin Venture	AUGRV	Coral Sea Islands
Roebourne	AURBU	Coral Sea Islands
Point Samson	AUPSM	Coral Sea Islands
Port Walcott	AUPWL	Coral Sea Islands
Cossack Pioneer	AUCOP	Coral Sea Islands
Port Exmouth		Coral Sea Islands
Port Hedland	AUPHE	Coral Sea Islands

Dams

Reservoir	Dam Name	River	Year
Poongkaliyarra	Harding	Harding	1985

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.8 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.8m in Wickham, Australia. This height is estimated for 25 Mar 2019 16:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (17 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 26 of 26 Mar 2019 00:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	25 Mar 2019 16:00	Wickham	Australia	0.8
	25 Mar 2019 16:00	Point Samson	Australia	0.8
	25 Mar 2019 16:00	Cossack	Australia	0.8
	23 Mar 2019 19:00	Condon	Australia	0.6
	25 Mar 2019 19:00	East Lewis I	Australia	0.6
	25 Mar 2019 03:00	Thangoo	Australia	0.6
	25 Mar 2019 08:00	Derby	Australia	0.6
	25 Mar 2019 03:00	Broome	Australia	0.5
	22 Mar 2019 21:00	Ah Chong I	Australia	0.4
	25 Mar 2019 03:00	Kennedys Cottage	Australia	0.4
	25 Mar 2019 03:00	Waterbank	Australia	0.4
	26 Mar 2019 03:00	Mardie	Australia	0.3
	25 Mar 2019 13:00	Pender	Australia	0.3
	25 Mar 2019 05:00	Kollan I	Australia	0.2
	26 Mar 2019 17:00	Learmonth	Australia	0.2
	26 Mar 2019 16:00	Exmouth	Australia	0.2
	26 Mar 2019 10:00	Glenroy	Australia	0.2