Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for VERONICA-19 in Australia from 19 Mar 2019 18:00 UTC to 23 Mar 2019 06:00 UTC

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GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone VERONICA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Australia
Exposed population	4 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	259 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.7 m (23 Mar 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	148 km/h	0.7 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	259 km/h	0.7 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

148 km/h Current Max.

Up to <1000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	19 Mar 2019 18:00	194	30 thousand	1 thousand	Australia
2	20 Mar 2019 00:00	194	30 thousand	Few people	Australia
3	20 Mar 2019 06:00	213	30 thousand	5 thousand	Australia
4	20 Mar 2019 12:00	204	30 thousand	20 thousand	Australia
5	20 Mar 2019 18:00	259	40 thousand	6 thousand	Australia
6	21 Mar 2019 00:00	259	50 thousand	Few people	Australia
7	21 Mar 2019 06:00	250	50 thousand	10 thousand	Australia
8	21 Mar 2019 12:00	213	40 thousand	9 thousand	Australia
9	21 Mar 2019 18:00	213	40 thousand	Few people	Australia
10	22 Mar 2019 00:00	213	40 thousand	Few people	Australia
11	22 Mar 2019 06:00	204	40 thousand	Few people	Australia
12	22 Mar 2019 12:00	176	40 thousand	10 thousand	Australia
13	22 Mar 2019 18:00	167	40 thousand	20 thousand	Australia
14	23 Mar 2019 00:00	148	40 thousand	20 thousand	Australia
15	23 Mar 2019 06:00	148	40 thousand	Few people	Australia

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	19 Mar 2019 18:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	-14.9, 119.7
2	20 Mar 2019 00:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	-15.4, 119
3	20 Mar 2019 06:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	-15.6, 118.3
4	20 Mar 2019 12:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	-15.9, 117.8
5	20 Mar 2019 18:00	Category 3	204	no people	no people	-15.9, 117.6
6	21 Mar 2019 00:00	Category 4	231	no people	no people	-16.4, 117.7
7	21 Mar 2019 06:00	Category 4	231	no people	no people	-16.8, 117.4
8	21 Mar 2019 12:00	Category 4	213	no people	no people	-17.3, 117.4
9	21 Mar 2019 18:00	Category 3	204	no people	no people	-17.5, 116.9
10	22 Mar 2019 00:00	Category 3	204	no people	no people	-17.6, 116.8
11	22 Mar 2019 06:00	Category 3	204	no people	no people	-17.8, 116.7
12	22 Mar 2019 12:00	Category 2	176	no people	40000 people	-18.1, 116.8	Australia
13	22 Mar 2019 18:00	Category 2	167	no people	40000 people	-18.2, 116.9	Australia
14	23 Mar 2019 00:00	Category 1	148	no people	41000 people	-18.7, 117	Australia
15	23 Mar 2019 06:00	Category 1	148	no people	42000 people	-19, 117.1	Australia
15	23 Mar 2019 18:00	Category 1	148	<1000 people	42000 people	-19.8, 117.5	Australia
15	24 Mar 2019 06:00	Category 1	139	<1000 people	41000 people	-20.2, 117.9	Australia
15	24 Mar 2019 18:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	41000 people	-20.3, 117.8	Australia
15	25 Mar 2019 06:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	43000 people	-20.4, 117.5	Australia
15	26 Mar 2019 06:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	-20.8, 115.4	Australia

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Australia

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Western Australia	Australia

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.7m in Wickham, Australia. This height is estimated for 23 Mar 2019 12:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (14 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 15 of 23 Mar 2019 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	23 Mar 2019 12:00	Wickham	Australia	0.7
	23 Mar 2019 12:00	Point Samson	Australia	0.7
	23 Mar 2019 12:00	Cossack	Australia	0.7
	25 Mar 2019 10:00	Derby	Australia	0.6
	25 Mar 2019 16:00	East Lewis I	Australia	0.5
	25 Mar 2019 08:00	Thangoo	Australia	0.5
	22 Mar 2019 19:00	Ah Chong I	Australia	0.5
	25 Mar 2019 08:00	Condon	Australia	0.4
	25 Mar 2019 08:00	Broome	Australia	0.4
	25 Mar 2019 08:00	Pender	Australia	0.4
	25 Mar 2019 08:00	Kennedys Cottage	Australia	0.3
	22 Mar 2019 16:00	Mardie	Australia	0.3
	25 Mar 2019 09:00	Kollan I	Australia	0.2
	22 Mar 2019 13:00	Waterbank	Australia	0.1