Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for GELENA-19
in , Mauritius
13 Feb 2019 00 UTC
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  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone GELENA-19 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries , Mauritius
    Exposed population 40 thousand in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 222 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (10 Feb 00:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability --

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 102 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 222 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 1.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

    TOP

    Wind

      102 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 130000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 06 Feb 2019 00:00 148 40 thousand 40 thousand Mauritius
        Green 2 06 Feb 2019 06:00 139 40 thousand 40 thousand Mauritius
        Green 3 06 Feb 2019 12:00 148 40 thousand No people Mauritius
        Green 4 06 Feb 2019 18:00 204 40 thousand No people Mauritius
        Green 5 07 Feb 2019 00:00 250 50 thousand No people Mauritius
        Green 6 07 Feb 2019 06:00 241 130 thousand No people Mauritius
        Green 7 07 Feb 2019 12:00 222 70 thousand No people Mauritius
        Green 8 07 Feb 2019 18:00 241 250 thousand No people Mauritius
        Green 9 08 Feb 2019 00:00 241 520 thousand No people Mauritius
        Green 10 08 Feb 2019 06:00 259 570 thousand No people Mauritius
        Green 11 08 Feb 2019 12:00 241 600 thousand No people Mauritius
        Green 12 08 Feb 2019 18:00 241 120 thousand No people Mauritius
        Green 13 09 Feb 2019 00:00 241 470 thousand 20 thousand Mauritius
        Orange 14 09 Feb 2019 06:00 241 130 thousand 40 thousand Mauritius
        Orange 15 09 Feb 2019 12:00 222 130 thousand 40 thousand Mauritius
        Orange 16 09 Feb 2019 18:00 204 130 thousand 40 thousand Mauritius
        Orange 17 10 Feb 2019 00:00 185 130 thousand 40 thousand Mauritius
        Green 18 10 Feb 2019 06:00 176 130 thousand 40 thousand Mauritius
        Green 19 10 Feb 2019 12:00 167 130 thousand 40 thousand Mauritius
        Green 20 10 Feb 2019 18:00 130 130 thousand 40 thousand Mauritius
        Green 21 11 Feb 2019 00:00 120 130 thousand 40 thousand Mauritius
        Green 22 11 Feb 2019 06:00 111 130 thousand 40 thousand Mauritius
        Green 23 11 Feb 2019 12:00 102 130 thousand 40 thousand Mauritius
        Green 24 11 Feb 2019 18:00 93 130 thousand 40 thousand Mauritius
        Green 25 12 Feb 2019 00:00 74 130 thousand 40 thousand Mauritius
        Green 26 12 Feb 2019 06:00 93 130 thousand 40 thousand Mauritius
        Green 27 12 Feb 2019 12:00 83 130 thousand 40 thousand Mauritius
        Green 28 12 Feb 2019 18:00 93 130 thousand 40 thousand Mauritius
        Green 29 13 Feb 2019 00:00 102 130 thousand 40 thousand Mauritius

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 06 Feb 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -12.4, 53.7
          GREEN
          		 2 06 Feb 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -12.1, 53.4
          GREEN
          		 3 06 Feb 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -12.3, 53.4
          GREEN
          		 4 06 Feb 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people -12.4, 53.1
          GREEN
          		 5 07 Feb 2019 00:00 Category 1 120 no people no people -12.5, 53.1
          GREEN
          		 6 07 Feb 2019 06:00 Category 1 130 no people no people -12.5, 53.4
          GREEN
          		 7 07 Feb 2019 12:00 Category 1 139 no people no people -13.1, 53.7
          GREEN
          		 8 07 Feb 2019 18:00 Category 1 148 no people no people -13.9, 54.1
          GREEN
          		 9 08 Feb 2019 00:00 Category 1 148 no people no people -14.5, 54.2
          GREEN
          		 10 08 Feb 2019 06:00 Category 3 185 no people no people -15.2, 54.7
          GREEN
          		 11 08 Feb 2019 12:00 Category 3 194 no people no people -15.7, 55.3
          GREEN
          		 12 08 Feb 2019 18:00 Category 3 204 no people 76000 people -16.4, 56.3 Mauritius
          GREEN
          		 13 09 Feb 2019 00:00 Category 3 204 no people 430000 people -16.9, 57.1 Mauritius
          GREEN
          		 14 09 Feb 2019 06:00 Category 4 213 no people 44000 people -17.9, 58.8 Mauritius
          ORANGE
          		 15 09 Feb 2019 12:00 Category 4 222 42000 people 44000 people -18.7, 60.4 Mauritius
          ORANGE
          		 16 09 Feb 2019 18:00 Category 3 204 38000 people 44000 people -19.4, 61.8 Mauritius
          ORANGE
          		 17 10 Feb 2019 00:00 Category 3 185 44000 people 44000 people -20.2, 63.2 Mauritius
          GREEN
          		 18 10 Feb 2019 06:00 Category 2 176 no people 44000 people -21.1, 64.4 Mauritius
          GREEN
          		 19 10 Feb 2019 12:00 Category 2 167 no people no people -21.7, 65.5
          GREEN
          		 20 10 Feb 2019 18:00 Category 1 130 no people no people -22.2, 66.9
          GREEN
          		 21 11 Feb 2019 00:00 Category 1 120 no people no people -23.1, 68
          GREEN
          		 22 11 Feb 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people -23.7, 69
          GREEN
          		 23 11 Feb 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people -24.4, 69.9
          GREEN
          		 24 11 Feb 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people -25.2, 71.4
          GREEN
          		 25 12 Feb 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -25.4, 72.6
          GREEN
          		 26 12 Feb 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people -26, 73.5
          GREEN
          		 27 12 Feb 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -25.6, 74.2
          GREEN
          		 28 12 Feb 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people -25.5, 75.1
          GREEN
          		 29 13 Feb 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people -25.2, 76
          GREEN
          		 29 13 Feb 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people -25.5, 78
          GREEN
          		 29 14 Feb 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -26.1, 80.6
          GREEN
          		 29 14 Feb 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -27, 83.4
          GREEN
          		 29 15 Feb 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -28.4, 85.6
          GREEN
          		 29 16 Feb 2019 00:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people -32.9, 89.2
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Mauritius

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Mauritius Mauritius

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Rodrigues Plaine Corail RRG 40 Civ. Paved Yes 3300

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Port Mathurin Mauritius
          TOP

          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          0.4 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in La Ferme, Mauritius. This height is estimated for 10 Feb 2019 00:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (40 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 29 of 13 Feb 2019 00:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          10 Feb 2019 00:00 La Ferme Mauritius  0.4
          06 Feb 2019 03:00 Manambia Madagascar  0.3
          06 Feb 2019 03:00 Anantoraka Madagascar  0.3
          06 Feb 2019 03:00 Maroantsetra Madagascar  0.3
          06 Feb 2019 03:00 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.3
          06 Feb 2019 03:00 Voloina Madagascar  0.3
          06 Feb 2019 03:00 Mahalevona Madagascar  0.3
          10 Feb 2019 00:00 Port Mathurin Mauritius  0.3
          06 Feb 2019 03:00 Rantabe Madagascar  0.2
          06 Feb 2019 03:00 Ambanizana Madagascar  0.2
          06 Feb 2019 03:00 Benjana Madagascar  0.2
          06 Feb 2019 03:00 Maintimbato Madagascar  0.2
          06 Feb 2019 03:00 Tampolo Madagascar  0.2
          06 Feb 2019 03:00 Anoromby Madagascar  0.2
          06 Feb 2019 03:00 Fananehana Madagascar  0.2
          06 Feb 2019 03:00 Antalavia Madagascar  0.2
          06 Feb 2019 01:00 Ankazomalemy Madagascar  0.2
          06 Feb 2019 03:00 Ilomotro Madagascar  0.2
          06 Feb 2019 03:00 Andohonko Madagascar  0.2
          06 Feb 2019 03:00 Manambolosy Madagascar  0.1
          06 Feb 2019 03:00 Rantranavona Madagascar  0.1
          06 Feb 2019 03:00 Fahambahy Madagascar  0.1
          06 Feb 2019 03:00 Tampolo Madagascar  0.1
          06 Feb 2019 03:00 Andilamboahangy Madagascar  0.1
          06 Feb 2019 03:00 Fampotabe Madagascar  0.1
          06 Feb 2019 03:00 Mananara Madagascar  0.1
          06 Feb 2019 03:00 Ivontaka Madagascar  0.1
          06 Feb 2019 03:00 Ambatoharana Madagascar  0.1
          06 Feb 2019 03:00 Vinanivao Madagascar  0.1
          06 Feb 2019 03:00 Anaovandrano Madagascar  0.1
          06 Feb 2019 03:00 Anjanozana Madagascar  0.1
          06 Feb 2019 01:00 Fadrina Madagascar  0.1
          06 Feb 2019 04:00 Soanierana Ivongo Madagascar  0.1
          06 Feb 2019 04:00 Andrangazaha Madagascar  0.1
          06 Feb 2019 04:00 Manompana Madagascar  0.1
          06 Feb 2019 03:00 Ambatofitarafana Madagascar  0.1
          06 Feb 2019 03:00 Seranambe Madagascar  0.1
          06 Feb 2019 06:00 Anse Volbert Village Seychelles  0.1
          06 Feb 2019 06:00 La Reunion Seychelles  0.1
          06 Feb 2019 04:00 Antanambe Madagascar  0.1