Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for PENNY-18
in Australia, Papua New Guinea

Impact

Tropical Cyclone PENNY-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS (JTWC)
Exposed countries Australia, Papua New Guinea
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 120 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.5 m (01 Jan 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Papua New Guinea)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS Current 111 km/h 1.5 m n.a. 0.5
GDACS Overall 120 km/h 1.5 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat. 1 or higher
Countries
Green 1 31 Dec 2018 00:00 102 330 thousand No people Australia, Papua New Guinea
Green 2 31 Dec 2018 06:00 102 250 thousand No people Australia, Papua New Guinea
Green 3 31 Dec 2018 12:00 102 320 thousand No people Australia, Papua New Guinea
Green 4 31 Dec 2018 18:00 111 440 thousand No people Australia, Papua New Guinea

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category Max winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Location (lat, lon)
GREEN
1 31 Dec 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 65 18000 people no people -12.8, 139.6
GREEN
2 31 Dec 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 65 7400 people no people -12.5, 139.3
GREEN
3 31 Dec 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 65 17000 people no people -12.5, 140.2
GREEN
4 31 Dec 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 65 19000 people no people -12.7, 140.6
GREEN
4 01 Jan 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 83 23000 people no people -12.7, 141.6
GREEN
4 01 Jan 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 74 220000 people no people -12.8, 143.3
GREEN
4 02 Jan 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 83 420000 people no people -13.2, 145.7
GREEN
4 02 Jan 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 93 370000 people no people -13.8, 148.4
GREEN
4 03 Jan 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people -15.3, 153.3
GREEN
4 04 Jan 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people -16.8, 154.8
GREEN
4 05 Jan 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -17.8, 153.7
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.



Exposed population

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

1.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.5m in Tamarike, Indonesia. This height is estimated for 01 Jan 2019 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (254 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 4 of 31 Dec 2018 18:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
01 Jan 2019 00:00 Tamarike Indonesia  1.5
01 Jan 2019 00:00 Sarire Indonesia  1.5
31 Dec 2018 23:00 Kumbe Indonesia  1.5
01 Jan 2019 00:00 Anansai Indonesia  1.4
01 Jan 2019 00:00 Merauke Indonesia  1.4
01 Jan 2019 00:00 Urum Indonesia  1.4
01 Jan 2019 00:00 Wendu Indonesia  1.4
01 Jan 2019 00:00 Matara Indonesia  1.4
31 Dec 2018 23:00 Onggalie Indonesia  1.3
31 Dec 2018 23:00 Kotad Indonesia  1.3
31 Dec 2018 23:00 Dumande Indonesia  1.3
31 Dec 2018 23:00 Alatepi Indonesia  1.3
31 Dec 2018 07:00 Taroea Anim Indonesia  1.1
01 Jan 2019 04:00 Cape York Australia  1.1
01 Jan 2019 05:00 Mapoon Australia  1.1
01 Jan 2019 15:00 Port Kennedy Australia  1.0
31 Dec 2018 18:00 Birab Indonesia  1.0
31 Dec 2018 22:00 Papisote Indonesia  1.0
31 Dec 2018 23:00 Welab Indonesia  1.0
01 Jan 2019 15:00 Hammond I Australia  1.0
31 Dec 2018 23:00 Alakoe Indonesia  1.0
02 Jan 2019 00:00 Bula Papua New Guinea  1.0
02 Jan 2019 00:00 Jara Papua New Guinea  1.0
01 Jan 2019 20:00 Badu Australia  1.0
31 Dec 2018 23:00 Moegaigare Indonesia  1.0
31 Dec 2018 11:00 Otsjanep Indonesia  0.9
02 Jan 2019 03:00 Sidabadu Papua New Guinea  0.9
31 Dec 2018 23:00 Okaba Indonesia  0.9
31 Dec 2018 11:00 Jow Indonesia  0.9
31 Dec 2018 11:00 Biwarlaut Indonesia  0.9
01 Jan 2019 04:00 Cowel Creek Australia  0.9
31 Dec 2018 11:00 Per Indonesia  0.9
31 Dec 2018 11:00 Agats Indonesia  0.9
31 Dec 2018 11:00 Amborip Indonesia  0.9
31 Dec 2018 22:00 Gelib Indonesia  0.9
01 Jan 2019 04:00 Seisia Australia  0.9
31 Dec 2018 22:00 Wamal Indonesia  0.9
31 Dec 2018 16:00 Kladar Indonesia  0.9
31 Dec 2018 16:00 Sabon Indonesia  0.9
31 Dec 2018 16:00 Tor Indonesia  0.9
31 Dec 2018 23:00 Kobiem Indonesia  0.9
31 Dec 2018 15:00 Dolatanden Indonesia  0.9
31 Dec 2018 10:00 Jofar Indonesia  0.9
31 Dec 2018 21:00 Komoran Indonesia  0.8
01 Jan 2019 07:00 Weipa Australia  0.8
01 Jan 2019 07:00 Weipa South Australia  0.8
01 Jan 2019 01:00 Alyangula Australia  0.7
02 Jan 2019 03:00 Saibai Australia  0.7
02 Jan 2019 03:00 Hamlet of Togo Papua New Guinea  0.7
02 Jan 2019 03:00 Mabaduan Papua New Guinea  0.7
02 Jan 2019 03:00 Waidoro Papua New Guinea  0.7
31 Dec 2018 20:00 Pasirputih Indonesia  0.7
31 Dec 2018 20:00 Konerau Indonesia  0.6
31 Dec 2018 20:00 Selemit Indonesia  0.6
31 Dec 2018 20:00 Wan Indonesia  0.6
01 Jan 2019 00:00 Numbulwar Australia  0.6
31 Dec 2018 10:00 Amamapare Indonesia  0.5
31 Dec 2018 11:00 Ndapurutiri Indonesia  0.5
31 Dec 2018 06:00 Sanindara Indonesia  0.4
31 Dec 2018 09:00 Timuka Indonesia  0.4
31 Dec 2018 10:00 Keawkwa Indonesia  0.4
31 Dec 2018 18:00 Running Creek Australia  0.4
31 Dec 2018 10:00 Mimako Indonesia  0.4
01 Jan 2019 05:00 Caburinga Village Australia  0.4
31 Dec 2018 06:00 Agatebi Indonesia  0.4
31 Dec 2018 06:00 Sakaoeni Indonesia  0.4
31 Dec 2018 10:00 Ipirawea Indonesia  0.4
31 Dec 2018 06:00 Naoer Indonesia  0.4
31 Dec 2018 19:00 Tanam Indonesia  0.4
31 Dec 2018 19:00 Kamboeriami Indonesia  0.4
31 Dec 2018 06:00 Sajengga Indonesia  0.4
02 Jan 2019 12:00 Lower Tully Australia  0.4
31 Dec 2018 23:00 Amar Indonesia  0.4
31 Dec 2018 16:00 Basada Indonesia  0.4
31 Dec 2018 16:00 Kobroor Indonesia  0.4
31 Dec 2018 16:00 Masian Indonesia  0.4
02 Jan 2019 13:00 South Mission Beach Australia  0.4
02 Jan 2019 12:00 Halifax Australia  0.4
31 Dec 2018 16:00 Pono Indonesia  0.4
31 Dec 2018 06:00 Moegoetira Indonesia  0.4
31 Dec 2018 17:00 Ok Village Australia  0.3
31 Dec 2018 23:00 Uta Indonesia  0.3
31 Dec 2018 23:00 Umuk Indonesia  0.3
31 Dec 2018 23:00 Wakia Indonesia  0.3
31 Dec 2018 17:00 Aloszville Australia  0.3
31 Dec 2018 06:00 Aoem Indonesia  0.3
02 Jan 2019 12:00 Cassady Australia  0.3
31 Dec 2018 06:00 Tambani Indonesia  0.3
31 Dec 2018 16:00 Doka Indonesia  0.3
31 Dec 2018 16:00 Djoering Indonesia  0.3
31 Dec 2018 17:00 Kobadangar Indonesia  0.3
31 Dec 2018 17:00 Longar Indonesia  0.3
31 Dec 2018 17:00 Baimoeh Indonesia  0.3
31 Dec 2018 06:00 Kinara Indonesia  0.3
01 Jan 2019 07:00 Nhulunbuy Australia  0.3
02 Jan 2019 12:00 Coolbie Australia  0.3
02 Jan 2019 12:00 Lucinda Australia  0.3
02 Jan 2019 12:00 Moongobulla Australia  0.3
31 Dec 2018 23:00 Paraoka Indonesia  0.3
31 Dec 2018 23:00 Kipia Maparpa Indonesia  0.3
31 Dec 2018 17:00 Gomo Gomo Indonesia  0.3
02 Jan 2019 12:00 Mutarnee Australia  0.3
01 Jan 2019 06:00 Gove Australia  0.3
01 Jan 2019 06:00 Yirrkala Mission Australia  0.3
01 Jan 2019 06:00 Yirrkala Australia  0.3
31 Dec 2018 16:00 Krai Indonesia  0.3
03 Jan 2019 08:00 Banana Pocket Australia  0.3
03 Jan 2019 08:00 Lethebrook Australia  0.3
31 Dec 2018 16:00 Oud Krai Indonesia  0.2
31 Dec 2018 16:00 Krei-lama Indonesia  0.2
01 Jan 2019 00:00 Aiduna Indonesia  0.2
31 Dec 2018 23:00 Umari Indonesia  0.2
02 Jan 2019 12:00 Yarrabah Aboriginal Community Australia  0.2
03 Jan 2019 09:00 Midgeton Australia  0.2
31 Dec 2018 13:00 Kedjabi Indonesia  0.2
01 Jan 2019 00:00 Rabal Indonesia  0.2
01 Jan 2019 00:00 Kangoerma Indonesia  0.2
31 Dec 2018 19:00 Kaisweri Indonesia  0.2
03 Jan 2019 09:00 Te Kowai Australia  0.2
03 Jan 2019 09:00 Rosella Australia  0.2
03 Jan 2019 09:00 Chelona Australia  0.2
03 Jan 2019 09:00 Glenella Australia  0.2
03 Jan 2019 09:00 Bakers Creek Australia  0.2
03 Jan 2019 09:00 North Mackay Australia  0.2
03 Jan 2019 09:00 Mackay Australia  0.2
03 Jan 2019 09:00 Cremorne Australia  0.2
03 Jan 2019 09:00 Hay Point Australia  0.2
03 Jan 2019 09:00 Taffy Islet Australia  0.2
03 Jan 2019 09:00 Alligator Creek Australia  0.2
01 Jan 2019 00:00 Bendjoering Indonesia  0.2
31 Dec 2018 19:00 Sege Indonesia  0.2
02 Jan 2019 11:00 Deeral Australia  0.2
03 Jan 2019 09:00 Cannonvale Australia  0.2
03 Jan 2019 09:00 Airlie Australia  0.2
31 Dec 2018 06:00 Saga Indonesia  0.2
31 Dec 2018 07:00 Inanwatatan Indonesia  0.2
02 Jan 2019 12:00 Innisfail Australia  0.2
01 Jan 2019 00:00 Potawai Indonesia  0.2
02 Jan 2019 11:00 Kamma Australia  0.2
02 Jan 2019 13:00 Bellenden Ker Australia  0.2
02 Jan 2019 12:00 Ture Ture Papua New Guinea  0.2
01 Jan 2019 00:00 Komfane Indonesia  0.2
31 Dec 2018 13:00 Djamboeai Indonesia  0.2
31 Dec 2018 13:00 Barakan Indonesia  0.2
02 Jan 2019 09:00 Elim Australia  0.2
02 Jan 2019 12:00 Rollingstone Australia  0.2
02 Jan 2019 12:00 Kinduro Australia  0.2
31 Dec 2018 16:00 Diommon Indonesia  0.2
31 Dec 2018 16:00 Wadjin Indonesia  0.2
03 Jan 2019 09:00 Carmila Australia  0.2
03 Jan 2019 09:00 Flaggy Rock Australia  0.2
01 Jan 2019 11:00 Kulinchin Australia  0.2
01 Jan 2019 23:00 Mossman Australia  0.2
01 Jan 2019 23:00 Miallo Australia  0.2
01 Jan 2019 23:00 Wonga Australia  0.2
01 Jan 2019 23:00 Port Douglas Australia  0.2
01 Jan 2019 23:00 Hockley Australia  0.2
01 Jan 2019 00:00 Marlasi Indonesia  0.2
01 Jan 2019 00:00 Masidan Indonesia  0.2
01 Jan 2019 12:00 Tarera Indonesia  0.2
03 Jan 2019 12:00 Slade Point Australia  0.2
03 Jan 2019 12:00 Amhurst Australia  0.2
01 Jan 2019 00:00 Karaum Indonesia  0.2
01 Jan 2019 00:00 Keojabi Indonesia  0.2
01 Jan 2019 23:00 Aibinio Papua New Guinea  0.2
02 Jan 2019 01:00 Ayton Australia  0.2
01 Jan 2019 00:00 Goemsei Indonesia  0.2
02 Jan 2019 11:00 Oolbun Australia  0.2
02 Jan 2019 12:00 Carstairs Australia  0.2
02 Jan 2019 12:00 Jarvisfield Australia  0.2
02 Jan 2019 12:00 Alva Australia  0.2
02 Jan 2019 12:00 Rita Island Australia  0.2
03 Jan 2019 14:00 Inveroona Australia  0.2
03 Jan 2019 14:00 Queens Beach Australia  0.2
03 Jan 2019 10:00 Etowri Australia  0.2
03 Jan 2019 10:00 Nindaroo Australia  0.2
03 Jan 2019 10:00 Bucasia Australia  0.2
03 Jan 2019 10:00 Eimeo Australia  0.2
03 Jan 2019 10:00 Andergrove Australia  0.2
03 Jan 2019 10:00 Blacks Beach Australia  0.2
03 Jan 2019 16:00 Hekampan Papua New Guinea  0.2
03 Jan 2019 16:00 Tagula Papua New Guinea  0.2
01 Jan 2019 00:00 Sewer Indonesia  0.2
01 Jan 2019 00:00 Karwai Indonesia  0.2
01 Jan 2019 10:00 Cooktown Australia  0.2
01 Jan 2019 00:00 Moha Indonesia  0.2
03 Jan 2019 09:00 Elalie Australia  0.2
01 Jan 2019 00:00 Mohitien Indonesia  0.1
01 Jan 2019 09:00 Ngaibor Indonesia  0.1
03 Jan 2019 08:00 Keakalo Papua New Guinea  0.1
03 Jan 2019 08:00 Gogsiba Papua New Guinea  0.1
03 Jan 2019 08:00 Gadaisu Papua New Guinea  0.1
03 Jan 2019 08:00 Bona Bona I Papua New Guinea  0.1
03 Jan 2019 08:00 Auneri Papua New Guinea  0.1
03 Jan 2019 08:00 Silo Silo Papua New Guinea  0.1
01 Jan 2019 10:00 Alardjir Indonesia  0.1
03 Jan 2019 15:00 Merinda Australia  0.1
03 Jan 2019 15:00 Delta Australia  0.1
03 Jan 2019 15:00 Bootooloo Australia  0.1
03 Jan 2019 15:00 Bowen Australia  0.1
03 Jan 2019 15:00 Yumbabullo Australia  0.1
03 Jan 2019 11:00 Seaforth Australia  0.1
31 Dec 2018 17:00 Loetoer Indonesia  0.1
03 Jan 2019 05:00 Apeawa Papua New Guinea  0.1
03 Jan 2019 05:00 Babai Papua New Guinea  0.1
03 Jan 2019 05:00 Avioua Papua New Guinea  0.1
03 Jan 2019 05:00 Veraibari Papua New Guinea  0.1
03 Jan 2019 05:00 Tovai Papua New Guinea  0.1
03 Jan 2019 05:00 Mirimairau Papua New Guinea  0.1
03 Jan 2019 05:00 Uramu I Papua New Guinea  0.1
03 Jan 2019 05:00 Kaivu Papua New Guinea  0.1
03 Jan 2019 05:00 Mairipepea Papua New Guinea  0.1
03 Jan 2019 05:00 Moravamu Papua New Guinea  0.1
03 Jan 2019 05:00 Kamaua Papua New Guinea  0.1
02 Jan 2019 12:00 Iuku Papua New Guinea  0.1
02 Jan 2019 12:00 Herekera Papua New Guinea  0.1
02 Jan 2019 12:00 Haiara Papua New Guinea  0.1
02 Jan 2019 12:00 Ihu Papua New Guinea  0.1
02 Jan 2019 12:00 Vailala Hiloi Papua New Guinea  0.1
02 Jan 2019 12:00 Iori Papua New Guinea  0.1
02 Jan 2019 12:00 Vailala East Papua New Guinea  0.1
02 Jan 2019 12:00 Karokaro Papua New Guinea  0.1
02 Jan 2019 12:00 Opa Papua New Guinea  0.1
02 Jan 2019 12:00 Belepa Papua New Guinea  0.1
31 Dec 2018 17:00 Trinity Beach Australia  0.1
02 Jan 2019 12:00 Kea Kea Papua New Guinea  0.1
02 Jan 2019 12:00 Ovahuhu Papua New Guinea  0.1
02 Jan 2019 12:00 Aivau Papua New Guinea  0.1
02 Jan 2019 12:00 Kapide Papua New Guinea  0.1
02 Jan 2019 12:00 Petoe Papua New Guinea  0.1
02 Jan 2019 12:00 Murua Papua New Guinea  0.1
03 Jan 2019 09:00 Kalarka Australia  0.1
03 Jan 2019 09:00 Clairview Australia  0.1
03 Jan 2019 06:00 Kaduaga Papua New Guinea  0.1
31 Dec 2018 17:00 Rebi Indonesia  0.1
02 Jan 2019 00:00 Barron Falls Australia  0.1
02 Jan 2019 00:00 Freshwater Australia  0.1
02 Jan 2019 00:00 Yorkeys Knob Australia  0.1
02 Jan 2019 00:00 Stratford Australia  0.1
02 Jan 2019 14:00 Saint Lawrence Australia  0.1
01 Jan 2019 10:00 Fatural Indonesia  0.1
01 Jan 2019 10:00 Jerdera Indonesia  0.1
01 Jan 2019 10:00 Fekfekai Indonesia  0.1
02 Jan 2019 12:00 Mamura Papua New Guinea  0.1
02 Jan 2019 10:00 Kerema Papua New Guinea  0.1
02 Jan 2019 10:00 Uamai No 1 Papua New Guinea  0.1
02 Jan 2019 10:00 Elava Papua New Guinea  0.1
02 Jan 2019 10:00 Kukipi Papua New Guinea  0.1
02 Jan 2019 10:00 Malalaua Papua New Guinea  0.1
02 Jan 2019 10:00 Terapo Mission Papua New Guinea  0.1
02 Jan 2019 10:00 Kapuri Papua New Guinea  0.1
02 Jan 2019 10:00 Avihara Papua New Guinea  0.1
02 Jan 2019 10:00 Iokea Papua New Guinea  0.1
02 Jan 2019 13:00 Kadawa Papua New Guinea  0.1