Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for BERYL-18
in Guadeloupe, Dominica, Martinique
07 Jul 2018 15 UTC
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  • GDACS NOAA
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone BERYL-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Guadeloupe, Dominica, Martinique
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 157 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.1 m (09 Jul 05:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Low (Guadeloupe)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 102 km/h 0.1 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 157 km/h 0.1 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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    Wind

      102 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 6.2 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 05 Jul 2018 15:00 65 No people No people
        Green 2 05 Jul 2018 21:00 120 No people No people
        Green 3 06 Jul 2018 03:00 120 No people No people
        Green 4 06 Jul 2018 09:00 139 590 thousand No people Martinique, Dominica, Guadeloupe
        Green 5 06 Jul 2018 15:00 157 10.7 million 70 thousand Dominica
        Green 6 06 Jul 2018 21:00 148 5.8 million 390 thousand Martinique
        Green 7 07 Jul 2018 03:00 139 4.9 million 370 thousand Martinique
        Green 8 07 Jul 2018 09:00 120 560 thousand No people Saint Lucia, Martinique, Dominica
        Green 9 07 Jul 2018 15:00 102 6.2 million No people Martinique, Dominica, Guadeloupe, Dominican Republic, Haiti

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 05 Jul 2018 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 10.2, -41.4
          GREEN
          		 2 05 Jul 2018 21:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 10.3, -42.8
          GREEN
          		 3 06 Jul 2018 03:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 10.4, -44
          GREEN
          		 4 06 Jul 2018 09:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 10.6, -45.1
          GREEN
          		 5 06 Jul 2018 15:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 10.7, -46.5
          GREEN
          		 6 06 Jul 2018 21:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 10.6, -47.8
          GREEN
          		 7 07 Jul 2018 03:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 10.9, -48.9
          GREEN
          		 8 07 Jul 2018 09:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 11.1, -49.8
          GREEN
          		 9 07 Jul 2018 15:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 12.1, -51.1
          GREEN
          		 9 08 Jul 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 12.6, -52.9
          GREEN
          		 9 08 Jul 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 13.6, -56
          GREEN
          		 9 09 Jul 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 540000 people 14.8, -59.6 Dominica
          GREEN
          		 9 09 Jul 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 5.7 million people 15.9, -63.6 Haiti
          GREEN
          		 9 10 Jul 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 18.3, -71.7 Haiti
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Martinique
          Dominica
          Guadeloupe
          Dominican Republic
          Haiti

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Martinique Martinique
          Dominica Dominica
          Guadeloupe Guadeloupe
          Distrito Nacional Dominican Republic
          Santo Domingo Dominican Republic
          San Cristobal Dominican Republic
          Peravia Dominican Republic
          Azua Dominican Republic
          La Vega Dominican Republic
          Barahona Dominican Republic
          San Juan Dominican Republic
          Baoruco Dominican Republic
          Pedernales Dominican Republic
          Independencia Dominican Republic
          La Estrelleta Dominican Republic
          Sud-Est Haiti
          Ouest Haiti
          Centre Haiti

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          Fort-de-France Martinique Capital 89000 people
          Roseau Saint George Dominica Capital 17000 people
          Saint-Claude Guadeloupe City 10000 people
          Basse-Terre Guadeloupe Capital 11000 people
          Bajos de Haina San Cristóbal Dominican Republic City 67000 people
          San Cristóbal San Cristóbal Dominican Republic City 110000 people
          Baní Peravia Dominican Republic City 58000 people
          San José de Ocoa San José de Ocoa Dominican Republic City -
          Azua Azua Dominican Republic City 59000 people
          Barahona Barahona Dominican Republic City 76000 people
          Cabral Barahona Dominican Republic City 12000 people
          Vicente Noble Barahona Dominican Republic City 11000 people
          San Juan San Juan Dominican Republic City -
          Neiba Baoruco Dominican Republic City -
          Duvergé Independencia Dominican Republic City 9800 people
          Pétionville Ouest Haiti City 91000 people
          Port-au-Prince Ouest Haiti Capital 1.2 million people

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Le Lamentin FDF 5 Civ. Paved Yes 10800
          Melville Hall DOM 24 Civ. Paved Yes 4800
          Dominica Cane DCF unknown 0
          Canefield 4 Civ. Paved No 2500
          Marie Galante GBJ 5 Civ. Paved Yes 4000
          Terre de Haut LSS unknown 0
          Terre-de-Bas HTB unknown 0
          Herrera HEX 66 Civ. Paved Yes 4100
          Barahona Habanero BRX 23 Civ. Paved Yes 9800
          San Juan de la M. SJM unknown 0
          Cabo Rojo CBJ 11 Civ. Paved No 4900
          Mais Gate PAP 33 Civ. Paved Yes 9900
          Bowen 32 0

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Le Marin Martinique
          Le Robert Martinique
          La Trinite Martinique
          Fort de France MQFDF Martinique
          Saint Pierre Martinique
          Roseau DMRSU Dominica
          Grand Bourg Guadeloupe
          Saint Louis Guadeloupe
          Portsmouth DMPOR Dominica
          Bourg Des Saintes Guadeloupe
          Basse Terre GPBBR Guadeloupe
          Rio Haina DOHAI Dominican Republic
          Palenque DOPAL Dominican Republic
          Las Calderas Dominican Republic
          Puerto Viejo de Azua DOPVA Dominican Republic
          Azua DOPVA Dominican Republic
          Puerto Viejo de Azua Dominican Republic
          Barahona DOBRX Dominican Republic
          Cabo Rojo DOCBJ Dominican Republic
          Port-au-Prince HTPAP Haiti

          Dams

          Reservoir Dam Name River Year
          Saint Pierre la Manzo Manche 1978
          Las Barias Nizao n/a
          Valdesia Nizao 1975
          Jiguey Nizao 1992
          Sabana Yegua Yaque del Sur 1978
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          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          0.1 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.1m in La Plaine, Dominica. This height is estimated for 09 Jul 2018 05:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (15 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 9 of 07 Jul 2018 15:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          09 Jul 2018 05:00 La Plaine Dominica  0.1
          10 Jul 2018 10:00 Los Negros Dominican Republic  0.1
          09 Jul 2018 05:00 Castle Bruce Dominica  0.1
          10 Jul 2018 09:00 Las Calderas Dominican Republic  0.1
          09 Jul 2018 06:00 Roseau Dominica  0.1
          09 Jul 2018 05:00 Scotts Head Dominica  0.1
          09 Jul 2018 05:00 Dubuc Dominica  0.1
          09 Jul 2018 06:00 Portsmouth Dominica  0.1
          09 Jul 2018 06:00 Baroui Dominica  0.1
          09 Jul 2018 06:00 Marigot Dominica  0.1
          10 Jul 2018 09:00 Agua Clara Dominican Republic  0.1
          10 Jul 2018 10:00 El Curro Dominican Republic  0.1
          10 Jul 2018 10:00 Barahona Dominican Republic  0.1
          10 Jul 2018 10:00 La Cienaga Dominican Republic  0.1
          09 Jul 2018 04:00 Basse-Pointe Martinique  0.1