Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for BERGUITTA-18
in Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands, Mauritius

Current storm status

This tropical cyclone is expected to have a medium humanitarian impact based on the storm strength and the affected population in the past and forecasted path.

Population affected by Category 1 (120 km/h) wind speeds or higher is: 340 thousand
Maximum windspeed: 185 km/h
Vulnerability of affected countries: Medium

Bulletin Timeline

Advisory Alert color Date (UTC) Category Wind speed Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Location (lat, lon)
1
GREEN
12 Jan 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 65 km/h (40 mph) no people no people -17, 66.9
1
GREEN
13 Jan 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 74 km/h (46 mph) 43000 people no people -17.5, 65.2
1
GREEN
13 Jan 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 83 km/h (52 mph) 43000 people no people -17.7, 64.1
1
GREEN
14 Jan 2018 06:00 Category 1 120 km/h (75 mph) 43000 people no people -17.6, 63.3
1
GREEN
14 Jan 2018 18:00 Category 1 148 km/h (92 mph) 43000 people no people -17.4, 62.9
1
GREEN
15 Jan 2018 18:00 Category 2 167 km/h (103 mph) 43000 people no people -17, 62.2
1
GREEN
16 Jan 2018 18:00 Category 2 176 km/h (109 mph) 1.3 million people no people -17.3, 61.5
1
GREEN
17 Jan 2018 18:00 Category 2 176 km/h (109 mph) no people no people -18.9, 60.7
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Wind

Up to no people can be affected by wind speeds of cyclone strength or above.

StormSurge

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Maheboug, Mauritius. This height is estimated for 18 Jan 2018 05:00:00.

Locations affected by Storm surge (29 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 31 of 20 Jan 2018 06:00:00. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Date Name Country Alert Storm surge height (m)
18 Jan 2018 05:00:00 Maheboug Mauritius  0.5m
18 Jan 2018 05:00:00 Riche-en-Eau Mauritius  0.4m
18 Jan 2018 06:00:00 Souillac Mauritius  0.3m
18 Jan 2018 06:00:00 Chemin Grenier Mauritius  0.2m
18 Jan 2018 06:00:00 Choisy Mauritius  0.2m
18 Jan 2018 14:00:00 Saint-Philippe Reunion  0.2m
18 Jan 2018 15:00:00 Les Avirons Reunion  0.2m
19 Jan 2018 15:00:00 Akondro Madagascar  0.2m
18 Jan 2018 13:00:00 Saint-Benoit Reunion  0.1m
18 Jan 2018 04:00:00 Saint-Antoine Mauritius  0.1m
18 Jan 2018 14:00:00 Petite Ile Reunion  0.1m
18 Jan 2018 14:00:00 Saint-Joseph Reunion  0.1m
19 Jan 2018 15:00:00 Befasy Madagascar  0.1m
18 Jan 2018 04:00:00 Riviere du Rempart Mauritius  0.1m
18 Jan 2018 15:00:00 Saint-Pierre Reunion  0.1m
18 Jan 2018 15:00:00 Saint-Leu Reunion  0.1m
18 Jan 2018 03:00:00 Grande Reviere Sud Est Mauritius  0.1m
18 Jan 2018 05:00:00 Black River Mauritius  0.1m
18 Jan 2018 14:00:00 Cascades Reunion  0.1m
18 Jan 2018 15:00:00 Saint-Louis Reunion  0.1m
20 Jan 2018 01:00:00 Ankazomanitsy Madagascar  0.1m
20 Jan 2018 01:00:00 Beaniky Madagascar  0.1m
18 Jan 2018 04:00:00 Port Louis Mauritius  0.1m
18 Jan 2018 04:00:00 Trou aux Biches Mauritius  0.1m
18 Jan 2018 14:00:00 Sainte-Rose Reunion  0.1m
18 Jan 2018 15:00:00 Etang Sale Reunion  0.1m
18 Jan 2018 15:00:00 Trois Bassins Reunion  0.1m
20 Jan 2018 01:00:00 Iambaro Madagascar  0.1m
20 Jan 2018 01:00:00 Ambazoamazava Madagascar  0.1m

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...